6 
1.6 
1.6 
1.7
 
1.7 
1.7 
1.8 
1.9
2100
 
1.3 
1.2 
1.4 
1.4
1.6 
1.6 
1.6 
1.8 
<1.5°C 
38 
[33-58]
38 
[34-60]
37 
[33-56]
24 
[15-42]
20 
[13-41]
21 
[14-42]
17 
[12-35]
11
[7-22]
<2.0°C 
90 
[86-97]
90 
[85-97]
89 
[87-96]
82 
[71-93]
76 
[68-91]
78 
[69-91]
73 
[67-87]
59
[50-77]
<3.0°C 
100 
[99-100]
100 
[99-100]
100 
[99-100]
100 
[99-100]
99 
[98-100]
100 
[98-100]
99 
[98-99]
98
91
 
[95-99]
 p50
[p5-p95] (1)
GHG emissions 
reductions
from 2019 (%) (3) 
Emissions milestones (4) 
Cumulative CO2
emissions [Gt CO2](6)
Likelihood of peak 
global warming staying 
below (%)
Global mean 
temperature 
changes 50% 
probability (°C)
69
[58-90]
66
[58-89]
70
[62-87]
55
[40-71]
46
[34-63]
47
[35-63]
46
[34-63]
31
[20-5]
18
[4-33]
3
[-14 to 14]
6
[-1 to 18]
2
[-10 to 11]
Median 5-year intervals at 
which projected CO2 & GHG 
emissions  of pathways in 
this category reach net-zero, 
with the 5th-95th percentile 
interval in square brackets. 
Percentage of net zero 
pathways is denoted in 
round brackets.