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In the recently concluded general election of Pakistan for the 272 direct election seats of National Assembly, former cricketer Imran Khan’s political party, Tehreek-e-Insaf , emerged as single largest party by winning 116 seats leaving behind PMLN of Nawaz Sharif and Pakistan People’s Party of Bilawal Bhutto on second and third position. The leader of Tehreek-e-Insaf, Imran Khan a famous former cricketer who won cricket world cup of 1992 for Pakistan, a casanova personality is now poised to become Prime Minister. His party is short of clear majority which requires 137 seats in the National Assembly. Looking at the developments,it is quite clear that Mr. Khan will certainly entice other small parties and independent candidates to form the government. In short, he is all set to become next Prime Minister of Pakistan. With this election, Pakistan has successfully demonstrated to the world that democracy in Pakistan has been institutionalized and Pakistan has been successful in transferring political power from one government to another through general elections consecutively for third time. However, it should be noted that democracy, general elections and transfer of power is nothing but a farce in Pakistan and the real centre of power remains to be strong Pakistan army who seem to be running the show behind the curtains and dictating Pakistani foreign and security Policy. The victory of Tehreek-e-Insaf is predetermined and eloquently orchestrated by Pakistan’s army. The series of dramatic events in last one month in Pakistan clearly signalled that army pressurized judiciary to enable Khan’s victory and thinned out rivals and political competitors. Several pre-election surveys predicted the possibility of Nawaz Sharif’s ‘Pakistan Muslim League’ as single largest party in the election but later the verdict of national accountability court to send Nawaz Sharif and his daughter in jail just two weeks ahead of elections changed the complete scenario. The decision of the court and subsequent arrest of Sharif was systematically plotted by army to facilitate Imran Khan’s victory. The army very well knew that Sharif is the only charismatic personality in PML N and can singlehandedly manage victory and therefore planned a downfall with the help of other institutions like judiciary and gave a major setback to his party. After the decision of the court, several big leaders from Pakistan Muslim league defected from Pakistan Muslim League and joined other parties while on the other hand Army created conditions for fundamentalist parties to field their candidates in order to polarize the votes. For the first in the history of Pakistan, more than 400 candidates from the religious and fundamentalist political parties filed their nominations. So now it is abundantly clear that Khan is the face of Pakistan Army who is unlikely to defy the army and act in consonance, leaving it at the centre of power. After electoral victory, Imran Khan addressed a press conference where he revealed his future internal and external political motives. Importantly, he did not utter a single word against increasing terrorist violence in Pakistan, pakistan support to cross border terrorism, Hafiz Saaeed, Lakhavi, Azhahar Masood and Dawood Ibrahim. It clearly indicates that he has no plan to intervene in army and ISI sponsored terrorist activities in India and Afghanistan. While it should be mentioned that the former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif had differences with army on the issue of terrorism and he invoked a military operations against terrorism in 2015 for which he now paying the price. In this backdrop, it is important to understand whether the leadership of Imran Khan will the deadlock break between India and Pakistan? The confidence building process and talks between two nuclear rivals has already been discontinued since 2008. The Indian stand maintains that terror and talks cannot go together. Now it will be interesting to see how Imran Khan will handle the situation as he is torn between political power and army’s influence. In this scenario, there is one way that Imran Khan can employ to normalize the relations with India without offending the Army i.e. strengthening trade relations with India. This appears to be the best option with Imran Khan to build trust with India. The present volume of trade between Pakistan and India is $5 billion. India exports cotton, food grain, milk, meat, and sugar and chemicals pharmaceuticals to Pakistan and import fruits, nuts and cement from Pakistan. Interestingly, the informal trade between India and Pakistan through UAE account $10 billion. The informal trade means Pakistan purchases Indian goods from UAE on higher prices. For e.g. if 50 ml coconut oil is worth of Rs.50 in Indian market, it costs Rs. 100 in Pakistan as it is imported from UAE not directly from India. Moreover as per the mandate of the WTO, Pakistan has still not given the status of most favoured nation to India. Earlier Pakistan had promised to lift import duties on Indian goods and recognize India as most favoured nation status by December 2012 but it did not fulfil that promise. Now Imran Khan can play crucial role by recognizing India as most favoured nation and reduce the import duties to boost the trade. With these gestures, trade can be manifold up to $30 billion dollars in one year. Today’s Pakistan economy is on the verge of bankruptcy as it has only $2 billion foreign exchange with which it cannot finance its import more than two months. In addition, it is also undergoing through severe food, water and energy crisis. Imran Khan has no options but to beg before America, Western world and international monetary institutions like IMF and World Bank for bailout programme. In such conditions, increasing the trade partnership with India will be boost of blessings for Pakistan. More trade can build more trust between two nations and can generate employment opportunities in both the countries as it was also the promise of Imran Khan election agenda. At present 65% of Pakistani population is below the age of 35 and similar is the case with India. So by boosting trade two nations can generate employment for youths in the country. Imran need to show the will power to separate political issues and economic issues which will shape the relations between India and Pakistan as well as Pakistan’s future prospects.
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‘मेरो छोराको बाबु पाकिस्तानको नयाँ प्रधानमन्त्री’ बुधबार पाकिस्तानमा संसदीय चुनाव भएको थियो । २७२ संसदीय सिटमा मतगणना जारी छ । संसदीय चुनावका साथै प्रान्तीय चुनावका लागि पनि मतदान भएको थियो । आम चुनावको परिणाम आउने क्रम जारी छ । पूर्व क्रिकेटर इमरान खान लहरका अगाडि कैयौं दिग्गज पछाडि परेका छन् । अहिलेसम्मको नतिजा अनुसार इमारन खानको पार्टी पाकिस्तान तहरीक–ए–इन्साफ(पीटीआई) ११३ सिटमा अगाडि रहेको छ । सबैभन्दा ठूलो दलका रुपमा उदाउँदै गरेको पीटीआईका नेता तथा पूर्व क्रिकेटर इमरान खान पाकिस्तानको प्रधानमन्त्री बन्ने पक्का जस्तै भएको छ । इमरान खानको पार्टी पीटीआईले अग्रता बनाउँदा इमरानकी पहिली श्रीमती जेमाइमा गोल्डस्मिथले ट्वीटमाफर्त बधाई दिएकी छिन् । गोल्डस्मिथले ट्वीट गरेकी छिन्, ‘अपमान बाधा तथा तथा त्यागको २२ वर्षपछि मेरो छोराको बाबु पाकिस्तानको नयाँ प्रधानमन्त्री बन्दैछन् । यो दृढता, भरोसा तथा हार स्वीकार गर्न नचाहने अविश्सवनीय उदाहरण हो । राजनीतिमा प्रवेश किन गरियो भन्ने नै अबको पहिलो चुनौती हो । बधाई इमरान ।’ जेमाइमा गोल्डस्मिथ बेलायती टेलिभिजन तथा डक्युमेन्ट्री निर्माताका साथै पत्रकार हुन् । उनी न्यू स्टेट्सम्यानकी उपसम्पादक पनि हुन् । उनले सन् १९९५ मा इमरान खानसँग बिहे गरेकी थिइन् । इमरानतर्फका उनका दुई छोरा छन् । सन् २००४ मा इमरान र जेमाइमाको डिभोर्स भएको थियो । त्यसपछि इमरानले सन् २०१५ मा रेहम खानसँग बिहे गरेका थिए । रेहमसँगको सम्बन्ध एक वर्ष पनि टिकेट । इमरानले यसै वर्ष बुश्रा मानेकासँग तेस्रो विवाह गरेका छन् । त्यस्तै पूर्व प्रधानमन्त्री नवाज शरीफको पार्टी पाकिस्तान मुस्लिम लिग(नवाज) ६९ सिटमा अगाडि रहेको छ । साथै पीएमएल–एन बाट प्रधानमन्त्रीका उम्मेदवार शहबाज शरीफ आफैले चुनाव हारेका छन् । त्यस्तै पूर्व राष्ट्रपति आसिफ अली जरदारीको पार्टी पाकिस्तान पिपल्स पाटी(पीपीपी) ३८ सिटमा अगाडि रहेका छन् । बिहीबार बेलुकासम्म पूर्ण नतिजा आइसक्ने पाकिस्तानी निर्वाचन आयोगले जनाएको छ । Source ujyaaloonline