https___www.mynation.com_india-news_how-exit-polls-work-and-why-they-are-important-prr111.xml
https___sidhabato.com_archives_61_1.xml
1.1 2.1 3.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 5.1 5.2 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 7.1 8.1 9.1 9.2 10.1 10.2 10.3 11.1 11.2 11.3 12.1 12.2 13.1 13.2 14.1 15.1 16.1 16.2 16.3 16.4 16.5 17.1 18.1 18.2 18.3 19.1 20.1
The exit poll numbers will predict the total number of seats each political party will bag during the Lok Sabha elections 2019 New Delhi: As the polling for phase 7 of the Lok Sabha elections is about to conclude on Sunday, news channels are all set to bring in a tsunami of numbers starting from 6.30 PM. The exit poll numbers will predict the total number of seats each political party will bag during the Lok Sabha elections 2019. The biggest question is who has the commanding position and will form the government for the next five years. This will be decided on May 23 when the result of the election will be announced. However, until then, exit-polls will dominate all TV screens. Although, the poll survey in India is only an indicator because exit-poll results have been found to be generally unreliable. In 2014, however, most of the exit polls turned out to accurately predict the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance’s landslide victory. Narendra Modi led BJP registered its biggest victory in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections by getting 282 seats. The NDA together won 336 seats. The BJP swept all seats in Gujarat, Rajasthan, Delhi, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Goa, and virtually won all of Chhattisgarh, Uttar Pradesh (71 out of 80) as well as Bihar with allies. The Congress could win only 44 seats in its worst performance ever. Also read: BJP threw its might in these 3 Bengal seats to win the final phase of elections Exit poll predictions The India TV-C voter survey had predicted that NDA will bag a majority in the Lok Sabha with 289 seats while the BJP is expected to win 250 seats on its own. The Congress-led UPA would win just 107 seats in its worst performance ever. The News 24 Chanakya exit poll predicted a clean sweep for the BJP with 291 seats, making it capable of forming the government on its own. With its partners, the BJP is predicted to bag 340 seats. The Congress is expected to be at an all-time low with only 57 seats while the UPA is predicted to get to 70. The ABP News-Nielsen survey, the NDA will comfortably form the government by crossing the 272 mark. It predicted the NDA would win 281 seats while the UPA is not likely to cross even 100. According to this survey, the BJP will gain hugely in UP, Bihar and Maharashtra. The Times Now-ORG exit poll did not give a clear majority to the NDA but predicted 148 seats for the UPA and 249 for the NDA. It projected a clean sweep for the BJP and its prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi up north, with the party predicted to win 52 seats in Uttar Pradesh and six seats in Delhi. The CNN-IBN-CSDS-Lokniti survey projected the NDA would bag about 276 seats while the UPA would not cross the three-figure mark. It projected strong showings by the BJP in Uttar Pradesh, with 45 to 53 seats, and in Maharashtra, where the BJPShiv Sena alliance looked set to bag 33 to 37 seats. Also read: See how many sets satta bazaar is giving PM Modi in 2019 Lok Sabha polls What are exit polls and how it is done? It is an extensive sample survey of voters taken just after the polling is over to predict the voting pattern and the mood of the nation. In the exit poll, agencies work for several months to get a hint at who people are voting for. In these surveys, voters are asked who they are likely to vote for. Many MNCs and private organisation are engaged in making the exit polls. These polls are not always accurate as it is done using a random sampling method. When can exit poll results be released to the public? Under the Section 126A of the Representation of the People's Act, 1951, there is an embargo on exit polls from the beginning of the elections till half an hour after the final phase of voting has been held. Hence, exit polls can only be telecast post 6.30 pm Sunday. The embargo on exit polls applies to print as well as electronic media. Read Exclusive COVID-19 Coronavirus News updates, at MyNation. Last Updated May 19, 2019, 5:52 PM IST
1.1 2.1 3.1 4.1 5.1 6.1 7.1 8.1 9.1 10.1 11.1 12.1 13.1
भारतीय लोकसभा चुनाव २०१९ को मतगणना जारी छ । मतगणनाको सुरुवाति परिणामअनुसार भारतीय जनता पार्टी (बीजेपी) अगाडि देखिएको छ । सुरुवाति मतगणनामा बीजेपी नेतृत्वको राष्ट्रिय गणतान्त्रिक गठबन्धन (एनडीए) ३०० भन्दा बढी सिटमा अगाडि रहेको छ । बीजेपी एक्लै २८० भन्दा बढी सिटमा अगाडि रहेको छ । कांग्रेस नेतृत्वको संयुक्त प्रगतिशील गठबन्धन (यूपीए) १०० आसपास सिटमा अगाडि रहेको छ भने अन्य दल १०० भन्दा बढी सिटमा अगाडि रहेका छन् । ५४३ सिट रहेको भारतीय लोकसभामा सरकार बनाउन २७२ सिट आवश्यक पर्छ । चुनावी मतपरिणामअनुसार बीजेपी एक्लैले पनि भारतमा नयाँ सरकार बनाउने देखिएको छ । साथै उ नेतृत्वको एनडीएको समेत मिलाउँदा झण्डै ३४० सिट पुग्न सक्ने देखिन्छ । तर यो नतिजा अन्तिम भने होइन । मतगणना भैरहेकाले केही सिट उलटफेर भने हुन सक्नेछ । प्रधानमन्त्री ओलीद्वारा बधाई ! प्रधानमन्त्री केपी शर्मा ओलीले भने पूर्ण नतिजा नआउँदै भारतीय प्रधानमन्त्रीलाई बधाई दिनुभएको छ । बिहीबार उहाँले ट्वीट गर्दै भारतीय प्रधानमन्त्री नरेन्द्र मोदीलाई बधाई दिनु भएको छ । प्रधानमन्त्री ओलीले लेख्नु भएको छ, ‘लोकसभा चुनाव २०१९ मा प्रचण्ड जितका लागि प्रधानमन्त्री मोदीजीलाई बधाई दिन चाहन्छु । साथै उहाँको आउँदो कार्यकालको सफलताको कामना गर्दछु । तपाईँसँग सहकार्य गरेर अघि बढ्ने आशा राख्दछु ।’ भाजपा एक्लैले बहुमत प्राप्त गर्ने अनुमान एक महिना लामो चुनावी सरगर्मीपछि भारतमा बिहीबार सुरु भएको मतगणनामा सत्तारुढ भारतीय जनता पार्टी एक्लै बहुमत नजिक पुगेको छ । बिहीबार विहान स्थानीय समयअनुसार ८ बजेदेखि सुरु भएको मतगणनामा प्रधानमन्त्री नरेन्द्र मोदीको पार्टी नेतृत्वको नेशनल डेमोक्रेटिक एलायन्सले ५ सय ४३ मध्ये ३ सय ४२ सिटमा अग्रता लिएको छ । जसमा भारतीय जनता पार्टी (बीजेपी) २ सय ९० भन्दा बढी सिटमा अग्रता लिएको भारतीय सञ्चार माध्यमहरुले जनाएका छन् । यसअघि सन् २०१४ को निर्वाचनमा बीजेपीले २ सय ८२ सिटमा जित हासिल गरेको थियो । बहुमतका लागि २ सय ७२ सिटमा जित हासिल गर्नुपर्छ । अहिलेको निर्वाचन परिणामले भारतमा बीजेपीको लोकप्रियता नघटेको देखाएको छ । त्यसको विपरीत बरु मतगणनाको प्रारम्भिक नतिजाले सत्तारुढ गठबन्धन अघिल्लो निर्वाचन भन्दा बढी सिट जित्नेतर्फ उन्मुख देखिएको छ । भारतको गुजरात र राजस्थान राज्यका सबैजसो सिटमा बीजेपीले अग्रता लिएको छ । त्यस्तै पश्चिम बंगाल र ओडिसामा पनि भाजपाले धेरै सिटमा अग्रता लिएको छ । गुजरातका सबै २६ सिटमा बीजेपीले अग्रता लिएको छ । बीजेपीले उत्तर प्रदेशमा ५६ सिटमा अग्रता हासिल गरेको छ । त्यसपछि बहुजन समाजवादी पार्टीले १२, समाजवादी पार्टीले ८ र कांग्रेसले १ सिटमा अग्रता लिएको छ । त्यस्तै बिहारमा बीजेपीले १६, जनता दल युनाइटेडले १६ स्थानमा अग्रता लिएको छ । बीजेपीले पश्चिम बंगलालमा १७, महाराष्ट्रमा २३, राजस्थानमा २४ र मध्य प्रदेशमा २८ स्थानमा अग्रता लिएको छ ।