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Syria war: Fall of Eastern Ghouta pivotal moment for Assad By Martin Patience BBC News, Beirut - Published The recapture of Eastern Ghouta by Syrian government forces means President Bashar al-Assad is now more securely in power than at any time since the start of this seven-year conflict. President Assad will be exuberant that the rebels have been ousted from their last remaining stronghold close to the capital. He can rest easily in Damascus knowing the city will no longer be hit by rebel mortar-fire. The fall of Eastern Ghouta is not as significant as the government's recapture of eastern Aleppo in 2016, which changed the course of the war. But it does cement the growing control of the Syrian regime - heavily backed by Russia and Iran - over large parts of the country. President Assad will also presumably take added satisfaction from the fact the Eastern Ghouta was the scene of the some of the first major protests in the capital against his rule. The chants of "the people want the fall of the regime" are now a distant echo. The opposition has never been weaker. Idlib next? But his latest victory - and that is how President Assad and his supporters will see this - was achieved in a brutal fashion. It is the latest chapter of suffering in the Syrian conflict. More than 1,700 civilians were reportedly killed in the eight-week offensive. Many more civilians are once again on the road in a nation where almost half the country has already been displaced by the fighting. The United Nations calls the deals that ended the violence in Eastern Ghouta as the "biggest mass evacuation of the Syrian conflict." The rebel enclave was home to an estimated 400,000 people and tens of thousands of them have left on buses to the northern opposition-controlled province of Idlib. That corner of the country is being used as a dumping ground for rebels and their families - as well as many civilians - and is already being targeted by pro-regime air strikes. Some believe it will be the target of the Syrian government's next big offensive. And this time people may have nowhere to run. Powers hold sway Many in government-controlled areas now believe the conflict is wrapping up and they are preparing to rebuild the shattered country and its economy. But if anything, the fall of Eastern Ghouta revealed the complexity of the war - and how Syria's fate will be decided not by the government or rebels but by outside players. Russia, Iran, Turkey and the United States are all pursuing their own agendas in Syria. Both Russia and Iran want to maintain their influence over the Syrian government and control of their bases in the country when the war is over. During the Eastern Ghouta campaign, Russia played a key role in the bombardment but also as the main mediator in bringing the violence to an end. It was Russian soldiers who organised the evacuations of civilians and, significantly, it was Moscow - and not the Syrian government - that brokered the deals that allowed the major rebel factions to leave. Elsewhere in the country, Turkey, alarmed by the growth of Kurdish influence in Syria, recently seized the north-western Afrin region controlled by the Syrian Kurdish YPG militia. Nearby, the US continues to support the Kurdish-dominated Syrian Democratic Forces in their continuing operation against the Islamic State group. But whether that alliance will endure is not clear. US President Donald Trump recently said he wanted to pull American forces out of Syria as soon possible. But this chunk of territory remains the largest outside the Syrian government's control. After Eastern Ghouta, an emboldened President Assad will need to take all this into consideration. He may well want to push on and recover territory but he does not have much space to manoeuvre. He risks a collision with major foreign powers, which will bring fresh dangers.
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सिरिया, रुस र इरानलाई ट्रम्पको कडा चेतावनी अमेरिकी राष्ट्रपति डोनल्ड ट्रम्पले विद्रोही नियन्त्रित इड्लिब प्रान्तमा 'गैरजिम्मेवार ढङ्गले' कारबाही नगर्न सिरियाली सरकार र उसका साझेदारहरू रुस तथा इरानलाई चेतावनी दिएका छन्। ट्वीट गर्दै उनले त्यस्तो हमलाबाट हजारौँ मानिस मारिन सक्ने बताएका छन्। सिरियाली सरकारी फौजले इड्लिबमा ठूलो हमलाको तयारी गरिरहेका विवरणमाझ ट्रम्पको चेतावनी आएको हो। इड्लिब सिरियाली विद्रोहीहरूको पकड रहेको अन्तिम महत्त्वपूर्ण क्षेत्र हो। भयावह संयुक्त राष्ट्रसंघले पनि सिरियाली फौजले गर्ने भनिएको हमलाले हजारौँ नागरिकलाई भयावह परिणाम निम्त्याउन सक्ने जनाएको छ। यसअघि सोमवार अमेरिकी विदेश मन्त्रालयले पनि सिरियाली सरकार र उसका साझेदारहरूले रासायनिक हमला गरे वाशिङटनले त्यसको जवाफ दिने चेतावनी दिएको थियो। राष्ट्रसंघका लागि अमेरिकी राजदूत निक्की हेलीले ट्वीट गरेकी छन्, "सबैको नजर असाद, रुस र इरानले इड्लिबमा के गर्छन् भन्ने कुरामा छ।" अधिकतर सिरियामा विद्रोहीहरू परास्त भइसकेको पृष्ठभूमिमा उत्तरी प्रान्तमा गरिने आक्रमण सिरियाली गृहयुद्ध अन्तर्गत अन्तिम महत्त्वपूर्ण लडाइँ हुनेछ। चरणबद्ध राष्ट्रपति बशर अल असदले त्यहाँ चरणबद्ध आक्रमण गराउने तयारी गरिरहेको स्रोतहरूलाई उद्धृत गर्दै समाचार संस्था रोयटर्सले जनाएको छ। संयुक्त राष्ट्रसंघको अनुमान अनुसार अल-नुस्रा र अल-कायदाका करिब १० हजार जिहादीहरू इड्लिबमा छन्। रुसी विदेशमन्त्री सेर्गेइ लाभ्रोभले मानिसहरूलाई सुरक्षा कवच बनाएको भन्दै इड्लिबबाट 'आतङ्कवादीहरू' सफाया गर्नुपर्ने बताएका छन्। सिरियामा सात वर्षभन्दा बढी समयदेखिको लडाइँका कारण चार लाखभन्दा बढी मानिसहरू मारिएको अथवा हराइरहेको र आधाभन्दा बढी जनसङ्ख्या विस्थापित भएको बताइन्छ।