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The International Monetary Fund has released the Global Economic Outlook. Let us know what prospects for India have been expressed in this report. GDP is seen as an assessment of the economic condition of a country. It was a grand moment for India when it overtook the United Kingdom to become the fifth-largest economy in the world. Now, The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released the Global Economic Outlook. Let us know what prospects for India have been expressed in this report. What’s Happening? On Tuesday evening, IMF released the Global Economic Outlook. Regarding India, IMF has reduced India’s GDP growth rate of FY23 forecast to 6.8%, which was 7.4% in July. It also predicts that India’s GDP will grow at a 6.1% annual rate in 2023. This 0.6% downgrade in forecast reflects a weaker-than-expected outturn in the second quarter and a weak international demand. The IMF has expressed the possibility of a decline in the average growth rate of not only India and the world. According to the forecast, the global economy will be in bad shape in the coming year, and the world’s economic growth rate will decline to 2.7% in 2023. Fears of Global Economic Slowdown The report also said that more than a third of the world’s regions could face an economic slowdown during 2023. At the same time, economic problems will continue in the world’s three largest economies – America, European Union and China. The IMF has projected China’s growth rate to be 3.2%, which was 8.1% in 2021. What is in it For India? An IMF official said in an interview with PTI that inflation is increasing continuously. He expressed the possibility that one-third of the world’s economy could go into recession by the next year. But, according to the IMF report, if we look at the list of emerging markets and developing countries, it is known that India will be in a better position than other countries in terms of growth rate. What’s Next? India is facing the brunt of inflation, and the depreciating value of the rupee remains a matter of concern. But, the government of India and RBI are continuously working in this direction. This is why the future of the Indian economy does not look that difficult compared to the world. We hope you liked this article. Don’t forget to share this with your friends.
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अन्तर्राष्ट्रिय मुद्रा कोषले बढ्दो महंगाई र बेरोजगारीको बीचमा विश्वभर मन्दीको लहर चल्न थालेको जनाएको छ । रुस र युक्रेन को युद्धले युरोपलगायत विश्वका अर्थतन्त्रमा परेको प्रभाव, विश्वव्यापी आपूर्ति मा कमजोरी र मुद्रास्फीतिलाई नियन्त्रण गर्न ब्याजदर बढाउने अवधिले विकास दरमा प्रत्यक्ष असर पारेको देखिन्छ । आईएमएफले मंगलबार फेरि एक पटक आफ्नो विश्वव्यापी वृद्धि प्रक्षेपण घटाएको छ। नेपालको छिमेकी राष्ट्र भारतको वृद्धि प्रक्षेपण पनि घटाइएको छ यसको सिधा असर नेपालमा पनि पर्नेछ। आईएमएफले वर्ल्ड इकोनोमिक आउटलुकको अद्यावधिकमा भनेको छ कि विश्वव्यापी वास्तविक जीडीपी वृद्धि २०२२ मा ३.२ प्रतिशतमा हुनेछ, यो भन्दा पहिले जुन अप्रिलको पूर्वानुमानमा ३.६ प्रतिशत थियो। चीन र रुसको जीडीपी सुस्त परेको कारण दोस्रो त्रैमासिकमा विश्वको जीडीपी घटेको उल्लेख छ । अमेरिकाको लागि, आईएमएफले २०२२ मा २.३ प्रतिशत र २०२३ मा एक प्रतिशतको वृद्धिको प्रक्षेपण जुलाई मा गरेको थियो। यस्तै २०२२ को लागि चीनको जीडीपी वृद्धि प्रक्षेपण ४.४ बाट ३.३ मा घटाएको छ। आईएमएफले पश्चिमी देशहरूले वित्तीय र ऊर्जा प्रतिबन्धहरू कडाइका कारण रुसको अर्थतन्त्र २०२२ मा ६.० प्रतिशत र २०२३ मा ३.५ प्रतिशतले संकुचन हुने प्रक्षेपण गरेको छ। युक्रेनको अर्थतन्त्र युद्धका कारण करिब ४५ प्रतिशतले संकुचित हुने अनुमान गरिएको छ। नेपालको छिमेकी भारतमा कस्तो असर पर्ला? नेपाल ले सबैभन्दा धेरै व्यापार भारत सँग गर्छ, भारतबाट हुने पेट्रलियम पदार्थको आयात ले नेपाललाई ठूलो ब्यापार घाटा हुन्छ। सन् २०२२ मा भारतीय अर्थतन्त्र ७.४ प्रतिशतले वृद्धि हुने प्रक्षेपण गरिएको छ भने २०२३ मा ६.१ प्रतिशतमा झर्ने प्रक्षेपण गरिएको छ ।