http___www.irmo.hr_hr_objave_poglavlje-n-cuckovic-i-v-vuckovic-u-godisnjaku-central-and-south-eastern-europe-2018-britanskog-nakladnika-routledge__1.xml
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25th October 2018, Department for International Economic and Political Relations The authors Nevenka Čučković, PhD (IRMO) and Valentina Vučković, PhD (EFZG) published a chapter on Croatian economy in the Yearbook “Central and South-Eastern Europe 2019” edited by Imogen Gladman and published by Routledge, London, UK. The authors are regular contributors to the Yearbook since 2009. The chapter brings an analysis of the most important economic indicators for the Croatian economy in 2017 and an assessment of economic outlook for 2018 and 2019. The text includes the analysis of the main macroeconomic indicators as well as the trends in sectoral economic performance, with particular emphasis on the macroeconomic policy, foreign trade, fiscal and monetary policy, private sector development, FDI, labour market, housing, education and social policy. The post-recession recovery of Croatian economy continued also in 2017 with GDP growth rate of 3% which was in line with macroeconomic forecasts. Growth prospects for 2018 remain stable and around 2.8-3.0%, but with signs of slowing down to the level of 2.6-2.8% for the year 2019. The forcast is based on continuence of positive effects on the country’s economic outlook stemming from increase of tourism earnings, further growth of personnal consumption and investments, as well as on effects of better budget balancing and public debt management. On the other hamd, major risks for sustainibility of these positive effects are related to implementation of health, pension and public sector reforms as well as inadequate apsorption of avalable EU funds. Yearbook “Central and South-Eastern Europe 2019”
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Autorice dr.sc. Nevenka Čučković (IRMO) i dr.sc. Valentina Vučković (EFZG) objavile su poglavlje o hrvatskom gospodarstvu u godišnjaku “Central and South-Eastern Europe 2018” kojeg je uredila Imogen Gladman u izdanju britanskog nakladnika Routledge, London. Autorice redovito surađuju u pripremi ovog godišnjaka još od 2009. Tekst prezentira analizu najvažnijih pokazatelja kretanja hrvatskog gospodarstva u 2016. te procjenu gospodarskih izgleda u 2017-2018. Analiza obuhvaća glavne makroekonomske pokazatelje kao i trendove sektorskih ekonomskih performansi, sa osobitim naglaskom na makroekonomsku politiku, vanjsku trgovinu, fiskalnu i monetarnu politiku, razvoj privatnog sektora, FDI, tržište rada i zaposlenost, politiku obrazovanja, stanovanja i socijalnu politiku. Tijekom 2017. se nastavlja rast BDP-a već treću godinu za redom nakon izlaska Hrvatske iz jedne od najduljih recesija u EU. Izgledi za gospodarski rast u 2017. i 2018. ostaju stabilni te na razini od 2,8-3,1% zbog očekivanja pozitivnih kratkoročnih učinaka povećanih prihoda od turizma, te mudrijeg vođenja gospodarske politike na području smanjivanja proračunskog deficita, te upravljanja javnim dugom. Međutim, glavni izvor zabrinutosti je vezan uz ostvarivanje uspješnog restrukturiranja koncerna Agrokor.