http___www.tportal.hr_biznis_gospodarstvo_102339_Ukupni-javni-dug-nadomak-60-posto-BDP-a.html_1.xml
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Croatia's public debt reached HRK 287.3 billion at the end of August, or 86.5 per cent of the estimated GDP for 2015, the latest figures from the Croatian National Bank (HNB) show. General government debt, which includes the debt of central government, social security funds and local government, decreased by HRK 1.8 billion or 0.6 per cent from July, but compared with August 2014 it went up by as much as HRK 16.3 billion or 6 per cent, analysts at Raiffeisenbank Austria (RBA) said in their comment on the HNB report. The greatest contribution to the monthly decrease came from the foreign component of central government debt, which fell by HRK 2.3 billion, or 1.9 per cent, from July to HRK 115.7 billion. Central government debt reached HRK 282.3 billion in August, accounting for 98 per cent of the total public debt, the RBA analysts noted. Owing to the decrease of the foreign component, public debt at the central government level recorded a monthly decline of 0.7 per cent or 1.9 billion, but compared with August 2014 it increased by a considerable HRK 16.6 billion or 6.3 per cent. "Apart from the low growth rates, weak fiscal consolidation and comparatively high public debt servicing costs have remained downside risks to the level of public debt. Specifically, the latest Finance Ministry figures show that in the first nine months of this year total consolidated central government expenditure on interest payments exceeded HRK 9 billion, which is nearly 8 per cent more than at the same time last year. We, therefore, expect that public debt might reach nearly 90 per cent of the estimated GDP by the end of this year," the RBA analysts concluded. The Croatian Chamber of Commerce (HGK) said that in the first eight months of this year public debt had increased by HRK 7.7 billion, noting that general government borrowed more on the domestic than on the foreign market. As a result, the domestic component of public debt increased by HRK 5.4 billion and the foreign component by HRK 2.3 billion. "The gravity of the situation with public debt was confirmed by the European Commission's Autumn Economic Forecast showing that the increase in the general government debt to GDP ratio is not expected to be stopped by 2017. According to those projections, the public debt to GDP ratio in Croatia would reach 89.2 per cent this year and would rise to 91.7 per cent in 2016 and 92.9 per cent in 2017," HGK analysts said. They said that the public debt to GDP ratio in Croatia would increase by as many as 4.1 percentage points this year, adding that such a trend would put the country at a risk of a further downgrade of its already low credit rating, while debt servicing costs would hamper possibilities of speedier growth. (EUR 1 = HRK 7.62) Related Croatia's end-2015 public debt at 86.7% of GDP Croatia Wednesday, April 6, 2016 - 09:11 Croatia's gross foreign debt reaches 107.6 pct of GDP Croatia Thursday, January 14, 2016 - 10:30 Gross foreign debt grows 4.1% on year Business Thursday, December 3, 2015 - 14:16
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Posljednji podaci Ministarstva financija pokazali su nastavak snažnog rasta ukupnog zaduženja države. U prvih osam ovogodišnjih mjeseci ukupan dug konsolidirane opće države, koji uključuje dug središnje države, izvanproračunskih fondova te lokalne države porastao je za 18,1 milijardi kuna (+15,3 posto) te je krajem kolovoza dostigao 135,9 milijardi kuna Udio promatranog duga u procijenjenom BDP-u dosegnuo 41 posto, a dodaju li se izdana državna jamstva te dug HBOR-a, ukupan javni dug iznosi 193 milijarde kuna odnosno 58,2 posto procijenjenog BDP-a U promatranom razdoblju najveći doprinos rastu ukupnog javnog duga došao je od rasta duga središnje države koji krajem kolovoza iznosi 127,8 milijardi kuna te je za 15,9 posto bio viši u odnosu na kraj prethodne godine. Rastu duga središnje države prvenstveno su doprinijela srpanjska izdanja državnih obveznica (milijardu i pol kuna i 650 milijuna eura s valutnom klauzulom na domaćem tržištu te 1,25 milijardi dolara na inozemnom tržištu). Dodatno je rastu duga središnje države doprinijelo zaduživanje po osnovi izdanih trezorskih zapisa Rastu ukupnog javnog duga doprinijela su i izdana državna jamstva te dug HBOR-a U prethodnih osam mjeseci ukupna državna jamstva porasla su za 13,9 posto te krajem kolovoza dosegnula 43,5 milijardi kuna. Ukupan dug HBOR-a u iznosu od 13,5 milijardi kuna koliko je iznosio krajem kolovoza, u usporedbi s krajem 2009. zabilježio je rast za 9,8 posto godišnje. U strukturi duga i dalje prevladava unutarnja komponenta. Budući da je inozemno financiranje i dalje relativno skuplje te teže dostupno država nastavlja s praksom zaduživanja na domaćem tržištu. Stoga je i udio unutarnjeg duga u ukupnom javnom dugu i dalje relativno visok (u kolovozu je iznosio 57,9 posto). Nastavak nepovoljnih trendova u realnom sektoru gospodarstva te posljedično slabiji priljev prihoda u državni proračun (uz istovremeni rast proračunskih rashoda) doveo je do većih potreba za zaduživanjem što je i rezultiralo snažnim rastom ukupnog javnog duga u dosadašnjem dijelu godine. S obzirom na očekivani rast javnog duga, analitičari RBA prognoziraju da bi njegov udio na razini cijele 2010. mogao porasti na 41,6 posto (bez jamstava i HBOR-a), a s uključenim jamstvima i HBOR-om navedeni omjer mogao iznositi 58,6 posto BDP-a. - Sviđa vam se članak? Preporučite ga prijateljima putem ovih servisa: Pošaljite mailom