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Spike in volatility today is right on the money but a few days late. Where ya been? We argued last week that the S&P was running into exhaustion levels somewhere north of 9% from the 200mda. We think that headwind would have made sense under any technical scenario. By relative measures to this bull run, at 10% over the 200mda its time to pause. Add in Ukraine and China risks and its not a question. The S&P is now down small YTD flat ytd but was at all-time highs 3 days ago. EM meanwhile is -4.5% in 5 sessions and now sits at historic spread lows to the SPY, quote (vs EEM, quote) at .2065. EM prices in risk fast, Europe tends to be a little jumpy as well. The US market must understand that there needs to be some fear in how investors view the conditions of growth and the political backdrop that is only a degree or two away from talking a geo-political risk off into something that has financial ramifications. We continue to caution investors to protect their books with broader "risk sympathizers" like small caps (IWM, quote), materials (XLB, quote) , and EM FX. All will perform well here on the short side. Share this: - Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window) - Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window) - Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window) - Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window) - Click to share on Pinterest (Opens in new window) - Click to share on Google+ (Opens in new window) - Click to email this to a friend (Opens in new window) - More Our Twitter Feed EM News - WATCH: Boity’s gym game is bossSource: South Africa Times Live – newsPublished on 2017-01-22 - Zonke gives fans a glimpse of her R2.1 million car collectionSource: South Africa Times Live – newsPublished on 2017-01-22 - Huang Xingguo under graft investigationSource: China.orgPublished on 2017-01-22 - PLA helicopter crashes during night trainingSource: China.orgPublished on 2017-01-22 - 12 feared dead in central China landslideSource: China.orgPublished on 2017-01-22 - Chinese surgeons use 3D printer in pediatric heart surgerySource: China.orgPublished on 2017-01-21 - Beer giant AB InBev trims the fat at SABMillerSource: South Africa Times Live – newsPublished on 2017-01-21 - Angry Kuga owners get bad news as PR disaster escalates for carmakerSource: South Africa Times Live – newsPublished on 2017-01-21 - Guptas to sue Gordhan for ‘plotting’ to ruin themSource: South Africa Times Live – newsPublished on 2017-01-21 - Egypt snatch late winner to eliminate UgandaSource: South Africa Times Live – newsPublished on 2017-01-21 - Trump to preside over a ‘fiscal bloodbath’ instead of Reagan ‘reincarnation’: StockmanSource: Fast MoneyPublished on 2017-01-21 - Gyan steers Ghana into Africa Cup of Nations quarter-finalsSource: South Africa Times Live – newsPublished on 2017-01-21 - Web users select China’s ‘Good Samaritans’Source: China.orgPublished on 2017-01-21 - Chinese gov’t to cut more red-tapeSource: China.orgPublished on 2017-01-21 - Beijing’s neighbor bans straw burning for cleaner airSource: China.orgPublished on 2017-01-21 - WATCH: Boity’s gym game is boss
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