Den reelle risiko for, at der trækkes på garantien fremgår selv af to faktorer: risikoen for, at Alstom ikke kan honorere sine kontrakter (risiko for manglende opfyldelse) og risikoen for, at selskabet ikke kan betale denne garanti tilbage (tilbagebetalingsrisiko).
The real risk of the counter guarantee being mobilised derived from two factors: the risk that Alstom might not be able to honour its contracts (execution risk), and the risk that it might not be able to repay the guarantee (repayment risk).