<p>Where can I find free information to learn if the forecasted ENSO El Nino event for 2nd semester 2017 will be a MODOKI one?</p>

<p>The Japan Meteo Service also publishes the EL-NINO-MODOKI Index (below), but:
 - what are the chances/probability that we are going through JULY and AUGUST under a Modoki El Niño ?</p>

<p><a href="https://i.sstatic.net/ACSdE.gif" rel="nofollow noreferrer"><img src="https://i.sstatic.net/ACSdE.gif" alt="enter image description here"></a></p>

CC BY-SA 3.0
2017-03-10T14:50:29.667Z
You can start here: https://www.forbes.com/sites/marshallshepherd/2017/01/17/what-experts-think-of-speculation-that-el-nino-will-return-in-2017/#6ee5a8fc791b
arkaia
CC BY-SA 3.0
2017-03-10T17:17:40.867Z
@aretxabaleta very good reference. There's two helpful links in the story, thanks! I also found a calculation of EMI (el-nino Modoki Index) from the Japan Meteo Service: http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/e/seasonal/outlook.html :::: would love to hear some more interpretation on it.
Dan
<meteorology><climate><enso>
Will the next ENSO event be of modoki type?
Dan
# Will the next ENSO event be of modoki type?

(Asked by: username_0 on 2017-03-10)

Where can I find free information to learn if the forecasted ENSO El Nino event for 2nd semester 2017 will be a MODOKI one?

The Japan Meteo Service also publishes the EL-NINO-MODOKI Index (below), but:
- what are the chances/probability that we are going through JULY and AUGUST under a Modoki El Niño ?

[![enter image description here](https://i.sstatic.net/ACSdE.gif)](https://i.sstatic.net/ACSdE.gif)

**Tags:** meteorology, climate, enso

> **Comments:**
> **username_1**: You can start here: https://www.forbes.com/sites/marshallshepherd/2017/01/17/what-experts-think-of-speculation-that-el-nino-will-return-in-2017/#6ee5a8fc791b  
> **username_0**: @aretxabaleta very good reference. There's two helpful links in the story, thanks! I also found a calculation of EMI (el-nino Modoki Index) from the Japan Meteo Service: http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/e/seasonal/outlook.html :::: would love to hear some more interpretation on it.  

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## 0 answers

