<p>Which climate is easier to be predicted. In other words. Which climate forecast results better accuracy? 
Is there any climate more convenient to be predicted? Is there any paper concerning this topic?</p>

CC BY-SA 4.0
2018-05-15T18:28:07.333Z
Depending on the method, my ansatz is that the tropics are more predictable, since persistence is a generally good indicator for daily weather. Nonetheless, I think it is important to specify what quantity.
BarocliniCplusplus
CC BY-SA 4.0
2018-05-15T19:00:58.117Z
I am mostly interested on wind forecast accuracy over different climate types. Mostly meditteranean, continental and oceanic
Bekromoularo
CC BY-SA 4.0
2018-05-16T16:14:33.857Z
@gansub I think that highlights the difference between accuracy and model uncertainty. Of course the tropics have a lot of uncertainty with regards to processes, force balances, etc. While it is not an academic article, I found this to be a supporter of my ansatz: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/which-city-has-the-most-unpredictable-weather/. Note where the most and least predictable weather is for the U.S.
BarocliniCplusplus
<climate><weather-forecasting><predictability>
Forecast accuracy in different climate types
Bekromoularo
# Forecast accuracy in different climate types

(Asked by: username_0 on 2018-05-15)

Which climate is easier to be predicted. In other words. Which climate forecast results better accuracy?
Is there any climate more convenient to be predicted? Is there any paper concerning this topic?

**Tags:** climate, weather-forecasting, predictability

> **Comments:**
> **username_1**: Depending on the method, my ansatz is that the tropics are more predictable, since persistence is a generally good indicator for daily weather. Nonetheless, I think it is important to specify what quantity.  
> **username_0**: I am mostly interested on wind forecast accuracy over different climate types. Mostly meditteranean, continental and oceanic  
> **username_1**: @gansub I think that highlights the difference between accuracy and model uncertainty. Of course the tropics have a lot of uncertainty with regards to processes, force balances, etc. While it is not an academic article, I found this to be a supporter of my ansatz: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/which-city-has-the-most-unpredictable-weather/. Note where the most and least predictable weather is for the U.S.  

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## 0 answers

