<p>Taiwan's <a href="https://www.cwb.gov.tw/V8/E/P/Typhoon/TY_NEWS.html" rel="nofollow noreferrer">Central Weather Bureau's Current Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones page</a> shows a tropical depression with the following information:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>TROPICAL DEPRESSION</p>
<p>TD02</p>
<p>Position 061800Z at 4.0N 148.0E, Movement: W 4km/hr. Minimum pressure 1002 hpa, Max sustained winds near center 15 meter per second, Gusts 23 meter per second.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>and the map shows it headed straight for Taiwan &quot;as usual&quot; :-)</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://earthscience.stackexchange.com/q/21296/6031">Why do 30% of all typhoons in the western north pacific (WNP) affect Taiwan?</a></li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Question:</strong> Is the current (April 7, 2022 at 4.0N 148.0E) tropical depression headed towards Taiwan unusually early for the season?</p>
<p>If so, is this a significantly early event, is it too soon to tell, or does everything seem to happen more quickly the older I get</p>
<p>A nontechnical source <a href="https://biglittleisland.com/when-is-typhoon-season-in-taiwan/" rel="nofollow noreferrer">When is Typhyoon Season in Taiwan? – A Guide to Surviving Taiwanese Typhyoons</a> says:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>And remember, <strong>the typhoon season starts as early as May</strong> and can last till November. That means for at least half of the year, people in Taiwan have to live in fear of a major typhoon.</p>
</blockquote>
<hr />
<p><a href="https://i.sstatic.net/pd4DT.jpg" rel="nofollow noreferrer"><img src="https://i.sstatic.net/pd4DT.jpg" alt="Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau tropical depression map, 2022-04-06, TD02; Position 061800Z at 4.0N 148.0E" /></a></p>
<p><strong>above:</strong> Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau tropical depression map, 2022-04-06, TD02; Position 061800Z at 4.0N 148.0E</p>

CC BY-SA 4.0
2022-04-07T04:31:08.000Z
"*does everything seem to happen more quickly the older I get*" - most definitely!!
Fred
CC BY-SA 4.0
2022-04-07T04:32:16.787Z
"*for at least half of the year, people in Taiwan have to live in fear of a major typhoon*" - mmm, Taiwan must lie within typhoon alley.
Fred
CC BY-SA 4.0
2022-04-07T04:34:33.203Z
@Fred along with the Earthquakes and regular airspace incursions, there's never a dull moment! :-)
uhoh
CC BY-SA 4.0
2022-04-07T04:36:49.947Z
One positive about all of that, ... at least you know you're alive ;-)
Fred
CC BY-SA 4.0
2022-04-29T01:52:20.383Z
@Fred any further thoughts?
uhoh
CC BY-SA 4.0
2022-04-29T18:22:36.767Z
From personal observation, when weather services state that a typhoon (or similar) session starts and ends in particular months of the year it's usually a statement of a "typical" or average occurrence. Within the normal variability of weather, start & end times of a session can vary,  as can the number of typhoons in a session & their strengths. A two to four week difference in start or end times every, "now & again", might not be anomalous but six to eight weeks would appear to be, as would a persistent occurrence of such changes. ...
Fred
CC BY-SA 4.0
2022-04-29T18:22:52.100Z
... When that starts to happen it would be fair to ask whether the changes are due to anthopogenic climate change.
Fred
<meteorology><climate-change><climate><tropical-cyclone>
Is the current tropical depression headed towards Taiwan unusually early for the season? (April 7, 2022 at 4.0N 148.0E)
uhoh
# Is the current tropical depression headed towards Taiwan unusually early for the season? (April 7, 2022 at 4.0N 148.0E)

(Asked by: username_0 on 2022-04-07)

Taiwan's [Central Weather Bureau's Current Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones page](https://www.cwb.gov.tw/V8/E/P/Typhoon/TY_NEWS.html) shows a tropical depression with the following information:

> TROPICAL DEPRESSION
>
> TD02
>
> Position 061800Z at 4.0N 148.0E, Movement: W 4km/hr. Minimum pressure 1002 hpa, Max sustained winds near center 15 meter per second, Gusts 23 meter per second.

and the map shows it headed straight for Taiwan "as usual" :-)

* [Why do 30% of all typhoons in the western north pacific (WNP) affect Taiwan?](https://earthscience.stackexchange.com/q/21296/6031)

**Question:** Is the current (April 7, 2022 at 4.0N 148.0E) tropical depression headed towards Taiwan unusually early for the season?

If so, is this a significantly early event, is it too soon to tell, or does everything seem to happen more quickly the older I get

A nontechnical source [When is Typhyoon Season in Taiwan? – A Guide to Surviving Taiwanese Typhyoons](https://biglittleisland.com/when-is-typhoon-season-in-taiwan/) says:

> And remember, **the typhoon season starts as early as May** and can last till November. That means for at least half of the year, people in Taiwan have to live in fear of a major typhoon.

---

[![Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau tropical depression map, 2022-04-06, TD02; Position 061800Z at 4.0N 148.0E](https://i.sstatic.net/pd4DT.jpg)](https://i.sstatic.net/pd4DT.jpg)

**above:** Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau tropical depression map, 2022-04-06, TD02; Position 061800Z at 4.0N 148.0E

**Tags:** meteorology, climate-change, climate, tropical-cyclone

> **Comments:**
> **username_1**: "*does everything seem to happen more quickly the older I get*" - most definitely!!  
> **username_1**: "*for at least half of the year, people in Taiwan have to live in fear of a major typhoon*" - mmm, Taiwan must lie within typhoon alley.  
> **username_0**: @username_1 along with the Earthquakes and regular airspace incursions, there's never a dull moment! :-)  
> **username_1**: One positive about all of that, ... at least you know you're alive ;-)  
> **username_0**: @username_1 any further thoughts?  
> **username_1**: From personal observation, when weather services state that a typhoon (or similar) session starts and ends in particular months of the year it's usually a statement of a "typical" or average occurrence. Within the normal variability of weather, start & end times of a session can vary,  as can the number of typhoons in a session & their strengths. A two to four week difference in start or end times every, "now & again", might not be anomalous but six to eight weeks would appear to be, as would a persistent occurrence of such changes. ...  
> **username_1**: ... When that starts to happen it would be fair to ask whether the changes are due to anthopogenic climate change.  

---

## 0 answers

