Our economic models
The key framework for our analysis of international economic and sectoral prospects is the Oxford Global Economic Model - the most widely used commercial international macroeconometric model.
The Global Economic Model covers 46 economies in detail and provides headline forecasts for another 30 countries. It provides a rigorous and consistent structure for forecasting, and allows the implications of alternative global scenarios and policy developments to be readily analysed at both the macro and sectoral level.
Key questions the model has been used to address include:
- What is the impact of the credit crunch on global trade and growth?
- How damaging are high oil prices for global economic growth?
- How would a revaluation of the Remnimbi affect US-China trade relations?
- What is the impact of government budget cuts on economic growth and the operation of monetary policy
- How would a global flu epidemic impact the global economy?
Our sectoral work, covering detailed analysis of 85 sectors and sub-sectors, dovetails with this macro background. We also have a range of models to analyse regional and local-area economic issues in Europe, Asia and the US.
This modelling framework, and the associated easy-to-use Windows-based software, is straightforward to extend to your own bespoke models, covering additional variables, countries or sectors as required. We can train your staff in the creation, maintenance or building of models or handle it all for you.