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Covid-19 Impacts on Cities and Suburbs: Impacts to the Urbanism Next Framework
Before the pandemic, Urbanism Next developed a framework organizing the disruptions to cities caused by emerging transportation technologies on land use, urban design, building design, transportation, and real estate. COVID-19 has disrupted the trajectory of these emerging technologies and will, in turn, change some our original assumptions. This paper revisits the original Urbanism Next framework, taking into account the cascading impacts of the pandemic. This report is one of two reports completed by Urbanism Next on the impacts of Covid-19.
On the land use side, we anticipate seeing the most significant impacts to land zoned for retail/commercial/office, as well as warehousing/industrial as more people work from home and demand for delivery continues to increase.
These shifts could influence the footprint of cities as proximity to workplaces and goods/services may no longer be enough to attract people to dense city centers.
COVID-19 has disrupted our previous predictions that new mobility would cause a reduction in the need for parking. There could be an increased demand for parking if people do not return to public transit and rates of driving alone accelerates.