I faced the rise of the media, said the three options into the existing order is the best policy
Singapore’s” Lianhe Zaobao “28 Journal article said, the rise of China in Asia, how to position yourself and how to make their own strategic choices ? This will affect the relations between Asian countries, especially China-US relations, and the order of change and development in Asia.
article excerpts are as follows:
the rise of China in Asia, how to position yourself and how to make their own strategic choices? This will affect the relations between Asian countries, especially China-US relations, and the order of change and development in Asia.
from a geographic sense, America is not Asia, but from a strategic sense of order and the Asian American is a big country in Asia. The order stems from the Cold War, despite many changes during the period, but the core and the basic framework has not changed.
the end of World War II Soviet conflict into the open because the world is divided into two, one is a US-led capitalist camp, the other is based on the Soviet-led socialist bloc .
to deter the Soviet Union and China, in the military, the United States and its Asian allies to establish a similar number of An Baojun European NATO military alliance. Economically, the United States in addition to substantial assistance, but also open the U.S. market, which gave birth to the Japanese economic miracle and the Asian tigers.
in politics, Japan, Korea, etc. have to follow the U.S. system. In the 1970s, due to the Sino-Soviet conflict and the breakdown in relations, Sino-US relations have improved, China was accepted in the United States Asian order, become an associate member of this order, China’s relations with Japan and other Asian countries tend to reconciliation and development.
the 1990s, Asia has entered a relatively peaceful period of rapid economic development and economic globalization, China and other Asian countries to promote rapid economic development and rise of economic linkages led to the Asian region economic integration, and economic integration has led to the development and political integration in Asia tended to the West of the development.
Asian financial crisis, the awakening of the Asian countries, they recognize that the United States and the West is not reliable to rely on their own Asia’s development, it should say this is an awakening of Asia, the rise of Asia Times, is an “Asia is Asians “era, Asia has become the world’s most economically dynamic region, the world’s economic center is moving from the Atlantic to the Pacific, but the golden age to return to Asia as the U.S., is moving towards the end.
the United States in recession, but the U.S. remains the world’s most powerful nation and the leader in the international system, so it’s strategic goal is to maintain its world leadership position, any rising power or small, are possible threat to the United States. The United States to return to Asia, the global strategic objectives toward Asia, targeting China, the purpose is to reaffirm its leading position in Asia, led by strengthening its Asian order.
U.S. policy is, first of all, in public opinion advocating the “China threat theory” and secondly, to provoke conflict between China and neighboring countries, the regional and international problems left by history. Third, the implementation of values ??diplomacy, re-piece together past alliance to contain China’s rise. Finally, the joint military exercise turns the respective country.
to return to Asia as the U.S. strategy in Asia are returning to the United States as the leading order; its core is the US-Japan alliance with South Korea, Australia; its framework is the formation of the C-shaped encirclement of China or The so-called first island chain; its purpose is to isolate and contain China’s rise, thus forming the so-called strategic balance.
this situation, what are the strategic options? Strategic choice is now clear that there are three:
First, tit for tat, instead. Obviously there is no strength in China is also no such intention. In fact, the so-called “China threat” in order to curb the rise of China is an excuse for public opinion, the “China threat theory”, in essence, is the “China threat theory.”
Second, the integration into the existing system in Asia, and on this basis, gradually seeking to change to make it more inclusive and open. In fact, precisely because of the rise of China into the existing order of the results in Asia. And economy, China is closely linked with the Asian countries have not separated.
Third, return to “Splendid Isolation” policy, to avoid conflict, vigorously developing. This consideration, just as the United States after World War situation and countermeasures. The United States after the war from the debtor as a creditor, from the capital-importing countries to become exporters, then U.S. President Wilson’s 14 points in an attempt to lead the U.S. into the international political arena center, but was resisted by European powers. Then choose to return to the U.S. policy of isolationism, the energy used for domestic development, suggested that the U.S. politics is business, resulting in American history there was a big transition, great change and great prosperity period, known as “Coolidge prosperity” , it makes the U.S. economy has been full of development, the American people to achieve a “well-being of human history, a rare state,” the United States to the international stage for the subsequent creation of a solid foundation.
comparison of the three options, the second choice is the best policy. But this will depend on changes in Sino-US relations as well as Asian countries rational choice. The reason that the second best choice, because this one can ensure the stability and prosperity in Asia as the world’s most economically dynamic region, on the other hand, for China, but also to ensure their continued peaceful development, and so the cost is minimized. (Baosheng Gang)