Second, you have to take at least one "out-there" chance. The winner had Chris Thompson. His ownership percentage? Just 0.6! Playing chalk is not going to win you a million. On that note, though, don't go too crazy. Everyone else on his roster was 12 percent or higher. He did have two tight ends, which is not the norm, but A.J. Green, Jordan Reed and Antonio Brown had ownerships of 47.6, 54.0 and 66.2, respectively. You only need one, maybe two, contrarian picks. So… I guess that's really three, but you get the idea, now on to the breakdown!
The Seahawks are actually quite weak against the tight end, and Olsen had 131 yards and a touchdown on 11 targets and seven catches the first go-around. The Chiefs are the toughest team against tight ends, allowing just three touchdowns all year and just two double-digit PPR scores (high of 13.6). Yes, Rob Gronkowski is matchup proof, but do you want to pay $7,500, when you can save $600 with a golden matchup and tight end with as much upside? The rest of the tight end pool is "use at your own risk." Sure, Travis Kelce could have another good game, but he's truly only dominated the Texans this year. Richard Rodgers is touchdown reliant. Heath Miller had a big game against the Pats in the opener, but the question is whether he will have Big Ben the entire game.