History suggests Newcastle United will get a 'new manager bounce' after Eddie Howe appointment
Recent history has suggested that Newcastle United will get a 'new manager bounce' after Eddie Howe was appointed on Monday afternoon
Newcastle United head coach Eddie Howe will be hoping to see a response from his side. (Image: Getty Images)
It has been a dismal start to the season for Newcastle United, who stretched their winless run to 11 matches with a 1-1 draw at Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday.
The Magpies have picked up just five points so far and currently sit second bottom in the Premier League table heading into the international break.
However, Eddie Howe's appointment has given Newcastle supporters a renewed sense of optimism that they can turn it around and put some victories on the board.
During his time at Bournemouth, the 43-year-old guided the club from a mid-table League One side to an established top-flight outfit before his departure last summer.
Howe has gained plenty of experience throughout his managerial career and Newcastle will be hoping he can get a response from his team when they host Brentford in his first game in charge on November 20.
With Arsenal, Norwich City, Burnley and Leicester City also to come in their next five matches, it's a run that the Magpies must collect points from before a tricky Christmas period.
There has been plenty of talk about the impact Howe could have on a struggling side, but history has suggested that he will bring an immediate lift in performances.
Tottenham Hotspur will be looking to do the same following the appointment of Antonio Conte, while Watford, Aston Villa and Norwich have all made significant changes to their coaching staff since the beginning of the season.
In the last four complete campaigns stretching back to 2017/18, there have been 26 managerial alterations in the Premier League.
In 20 of those cases, or more than three-quarters, the new man has averaged more points per-match (ppm) in their first five matches at the helm than the side's average that season before the appointment.
Additionally, nine of those bosses instantly doubled the previous points average, with some doing even better than that, proving that they were an instant success.
That statistic should only bode well at Newcastle considering Howe's track record and how he managed to transform a Bournemouth team into a competitive top-flight side.
Carlos Carvalhal joined Swansea City in a similar predicament back in December 2017 and he improved their average from 0.7ppm to 2ppm in his opening five matches.
Ralph Hassenhuttl is another example of a coach who got an instant reaction as he helped Southampton to six points from five, which is 50% more than they collected before.
Conversely, when Mikel Arteta and David Moyes were appointed at Arsenal and West Ham, they initially saw a dip in results and didn't manage to turn it around straight away.
But in the long-term, they have both proved to be a success, with both sides sitting in the top five in the league table, targeting Champions League qualification.
There is proof that the so-called 'new manager bounce' is real and Newcastle will be looking to become the latest club to join that list.
So far, the Magpies have collected an average of 0.45ppm, which means Howe will need to register at least three points from his first five matches to better that total.
However, some will be hoping he can record more to give Newcastle fans hope that they can stay up heading into the New Year and the January transfer window.
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