Iraq and the policy of axes .. desired state strategic balance
Hussein Darwish al-Adly
with the growing collapse of the political and societal structures in the region and the growing role of regional strategies .. magnified the importance of the emergence of Iraq's
national civil uniform a force strategy balancing parallel ensure the stability of the region and the world, a UN Iraqi mission together to ensure stability and peace in this spot the most dangerous in the world. Signals General 1. Iraq a pivotal country in the Middle East, because of its geopolitical and weight civilizational and historic major economic resources. 2. Iraq has a self ingredients rich (natural resources, manpower, date), qualify him to build a self-model stand-alone and able to regional and international strategic influence. 3. The situation in the region will have on the basis of the resolution of the fate of the Iraqi state as a system and the identity and geopolitical space. modern problem of Iraq 1. State model has failed since its founding in 1921, the project has resulted in the failure of the state to the collapse of all the children of the community, power and economy, culture and identity. And the fall of the state in 2003 came because of poor standards and curricula and internal and external policies built on tyranny and discrimination and adventure. 2. negative regional and international engagement that make Iraq the subject of conflicts influence and interests of the cross. The nature of the current Iraqi crisis three factors combine to produce the current Iraqi crisis: 1. The legacy of the disastrous the regime of Saddam's dictatorial at various levels, which smashed all the necessary infrastructure to conduct a qualitative transformation of formats society and the state, and made it difficult for all attempts to the advancement of the change. 2. stumbled current political process to produce the National Civil State, because of the visions opposed to differing policies and conflicting agendas from within the political process itself. The essence of the relapse of the political process is the harmonic system Aerqtaivi partisan Mahassa which was adopted for the construction of the state, a system leads -ovq requirements Alhalah- to do mini-states system of ethnic and sectarian (Lebanese model), or inconsistent to take (the Yugoslav model), or diluted to crumble (Somali model ), or biased to be swallowed regionally (the Bahraini model). 3. deed qualitative counter to most of the countries of the region to contain the change in Iraq and the aborted through policy: political boycott, and organized terrorism, and the media counter, passive containment. strategies of containment and guidance 1. There are more than strategic major and regional seek to Iraq is located in the vital area, which is active directly to ensure the containment of Iraq or directed, are: the US and European strategy (with the European strategy privacy that differentiate the axes with the US in several files), and the strategic Russian active in the regional centered Syrian specifically and strategic Saudi Arabia (and the Arab countries newly industrialized Barakbha), and the Iranian strategy, Qatari and Turkish strategy. 2. These strategies seek by all means to ensure the occurrence of Iraq in its vital area. 3. testifies Iraq conflict sharply polarized between these strategies. The four models of the state there are four hypothetical models of the State Iraqi to be produced after 2003, are: (State Allanmozj, state-aligned, state neutrality, and the state of the strategic balance), the birth of one of them on the results of the Iraqi Iraqi conflict and the friction and collision of the four strategies, models are stopped: 1. Allanmozj model (state Allanmozj): I mean its model absence form of the state and the failure of the regularity of contexts and institutions and unity of the standard, a model of coexistence fragile threatened every moment to go back to square one, model split (nation / state) on itself, a form of corruption and economic failure, a form of interference and intervention and regional and international alienation, model Permanent internationalization precluding sovereignty, dump strategies conflicting zone collision shipments model, model pass agendas cosmic to create new cosmic conditions, sample absorption crises and liquidation Al_husabat..k, which is closer to the Lebanese model. 2. Model bias (state bias): It is an Iraqi state model in the vital area of one of the strategies of the four, as if to be (biased Arab) to be (new East Gate) against Iranian axis, or be (biased Iranian) as the location Iranians ahead against the Arab axis, or be (biased US) to be advanced station for US policy in Almntqh..k. The bias model is a bomber model leads to reproduce crises of Iraq and the region. 3. Model passive neutrality (the State of the weak neutral): It Athaldaevh Almenkvih on the same model, which is not a viable model, because of the severity of attracting regional and international strategies, either to take sides or be destroyed. 4. equilibrium model (state strategic balance): It is the player of the Iraqi state model for the role of regional and international balance and effective, including Iraq qualifies to be a real strength and a balanced budget Strtejah. The effective balance means (strong Iraqi state politically, economically and militarily capable of maintaining a positive balance between the strategies the region), which is the best model for Iraq and the region. What is needed equilibrium model (state balance) of the State of the strategic balance has to be the project's success to the draft standard National Civil State, failure of State project or done on according to regional and international conflicting strategies requirements or carrying on according to ethnic mini-states or sectarian system, .. will fall the whole of Iraq as a society and state in the orbit of other strategies, and will destroy itself and the region. it requires the success of the national civil state project to reorganize the visions and policies of Iraq and wills according to the National Project on Civil and entitlements requirements, including the launching of the re-reading of the political process and the requirements of bold policies and surgery vitality in her body for the purification of self Msaddatha that generate crises that prevent the integration of state project. It also requires the reproduction and unity of the nation and the state on the basis of a historic peace settlement to end the Iraqi Iraqi antagonism that divided the nation and scattered the act of a State, also requires an understanding regionally and internationally that a strong Iraq will maintain positive balances in the region and would prevent a deadly collision between the strategies conflicting, also requires a clear roadmap for the protection and care of the National Iraqi state civil model of self-destruction or external predation (political, military and economic protection) until the integration of the state project. With the growing collapse of the political and societal structures in the region and the growing role of regional strategies .. magnified the importance of the emergence of Iraq's national civil uniform a force strategy and a parallel budget ensure the stability of the region and the world, a UN Iraqi mission together to ensure stability and peace in this most dangerous spot in the world.
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