  When a corrosive solution reaches the limits of a solid sample, a chemical
fracture occurs. An analytical theory for the probability of this chemical
fracture is proposed and confirmed by extensive numerical experiments on a two
dimensional model. This theory follows from the general probability theory of
extreme events given by Gumbel. The analytic law differs from the Weibull law
commonly used to describe mechanical failures for brittle materials. However a
three parameters fit with the Weibull law gives good results, confirming the
empirical value of this kind of analysis.
