  We introduce the fundamental ideas and challenges of Predictable AI, a
nascent research area that explores the ways in which we can anticipate key
indicators of present and future AI ecosystems. We argue that achieving
predictability is crucial for fostering trust, liability, control, alignment
and safety of AI ecosystems, and thus should be prioritised over performance.
While distinctive from other areas of technical and non-technical AI research,
the questions, hypotheses and challenges relevant to Predictable AI were yet to
be clearly described. This paper aims to elucidate them, calls for identifying
paths towards AI predictability and outlines the potential impact of this
emergent field.
