  We are building a hurricane number prediction scheme that relies, in part, on
statistical modelling of the empirical relationship between Atlantic sea
surface temperatures and landfalling hurricane numbers. We test out a number of
simple statistical models for that relationship, using data from 1900 to 2005
and data from 1950 to 2005, and for both all hurricane numbers and intense
hurricane numbers. The results are very different from the corresponding
analysis for basin hurricane numbers.
