  Jones' rely-guarantee calculus for shared variable concurrency is extended to
include probabilistic behaviours. We use an algebraic approach which combines
and adapts probabilistic Kleene algebras with concurrent Kleene algebra.
Soundness of the algebra is shown relative to a general probabilistic event
structure semantics. The main contribution of this paper is a collection of
rely-guarantee rules built on top of that semantics. In particular, we show how
to obtain bounds on probabilities by deriving rely-guarantee rules within the
true-concurrent denotational semantics. The use of these rules is illustrated
by a detailed verification of a simple probabilistic concurrent program: a
faulty Eratosthenes sieve.
