  The Perception of Security (PoS) refers to people's opinions about security
or insecurity in a place or situation. While surveys have traditionally been
the primary means to capture such perceptions, they need to be improved in
their ability to offer real-time monitoring or predictive insights into future
security perceptions. Recent evidence suggests that social network content can
provide complementary insights into quantifying these perceptions. However, the
challenge of accurately predicting these perceptions, with the capacity to
anticipate them, still needs to be explored. This article introduces an
innovative approach to PoS within short time frames using social network data.
Our model incorporates external factors that influence the publication and
reposting of content related to security perceptions. Our results demonstrate
that this proposed model achieves competitive predictive performance and
maintains a high degree of interpretability regarding the factors influencing
security perceptions. This research contributes to understanding how temporal
patterns and external factors impact the anticipation of security perceptions,
providing valuable insights for proactive security planning.
