  The title, a headline, and a typical one, from a newspaper's "Health &
Wellness" section, usually written by a reporter who has just read a medical
journal, can only be the result of an inductive argument, which is an argument
from known contingent premisses to the unknown. What are the premisses and what
is unknown for this headline and what does it mean to statistics?
  The importance--and rationality--of inductive arguments and their relation to
the frequently invoked, but widely and poorly misunderstood, notion of
`falsifiability' are explained in the context of statistical model selection.
No probability model can be falsified, and no hope for model buidling should be
sought in that concept.
