  This paper provides an analysis of the tradeoff between asymptotic bias
(suboptimality with unlimited data) and overfitting (additional suboptimality
due to limited data) in the context of reinforcement learning with partial
observability. Our theoretical analysis formally characterizes that while
potentially increasing the asymptotic bias, a smaller state representation
decreases the risk of overfitting. This analysis relies on expressing the
quality of a state representation by bounding L1 error terms of the associated
belief states. Theoretical results are empirically illustrated when the state
representation is a truncated history of observations, both on synthetic POMDPs
and on a large-scale POMDP in the context of smartgrids, with real-world data.
Finally, similarly to known results in the fully observable setting, we also
briefly discuss and empirically illustrate how using function approximators and
adapting the discount factor may enhance the tradeoff between asymptotic bias
and overfitting in the partially observable context.
