  A model of the opinion dynamics underlying the political decision is
proposed. The analysis is restricted to a bipolar scheme with a possible third
political area. The interaction among voters is local but the final decision
strongly depends on global effects such as, for example, the rating of the
governments. As in the realistic case, the individual decision making process
is determined by the most relevant personal interests and problems. The
phenomenological analysis of the national vote in Italy and Germany has been
carried out and a prediction of the next Italian vote as a function of the
government rating is presented.
