  There are numerous contexts where one wishes to describe the state of a
randomly evolving system. Effective solutions combine models that quantify the
underlying uncertainty with available observational data to form scientifically
reasonable estimates for the uncertainty in the system state. Stochastic
differential equations are often used to mathematically model the underlying
system.
  The Kusuoka-Lyons-Victoir (KLV) approach is a higher order particle method
for approximating the weak solution of a stochastic differential equation that
uses a weighted set of scenarios to approximate the evolving probability
distribution to a high order of accuracy. The algorithm can be performed by
integrating along a number of carefully selected bounded variation paths. The
iterated application of the KLV method has a tendency for the number of
particles to increase. This can be addressed and, together with local dynamic
recombination, which simplifies the support of discrete measure without harming
the accuracy of the approximation, the KLV method becomes eligible to solve the
filtering problem in contexts where one desires to maintain an accurate
description of the ever-evolving conditioned measure.
  In addition to the alternate application of the KLV method and recombination,
we make use of the smooth nature of the likelihood function and high order
accuracy of the approximations to lead some of the particles immediately to the
next observation time and to build into the algorithm a form of automatic high
order adaptive importance sampling.
