  Anderson, et al. find the measured trajectories of Pioneer 10 and 11
spacecraft deviate from the trajectories computed from known forces acting on
them. This unmodelled acceleration (and the less well known, but similar,
unmodelled torque) can be accounted for by non-isotropic radiation of
spacecraft heat. Various forms of non-isotropic radiation were proposed by
Katz, Murphy, and Scheffer, but Anderson, et al. felt that none of these could
explain the observed effect. This paper calculates the known effects in more
detail and considers new sources of radiation, all based on spacecraft
construction. These effects are then modelled over the duration of the
experiment. The model reproduces the acceleration from its appearance at a
heliocentric distance of 5 AU to the last measurement at 71 AU to within 10
percent. However, it predicts a larger decrease in acceleration between
intervals I and III of the Pioneer 10 observations than is observed. This is a
2 sigma discrepancy from the average of the three analyses (SIGMA, CHASMP, and
Markwardt). A more complex (but more speculative) model provides a somewhat
better fit. Radiation forces can also plausibly explain the previously
unmodelled torques, including the spindown of Pioneer 10 that is directly
proportional to spacecraft bus heat, and the slow but constant spin-up of
Pioneer 11. In any case, by accounting for the bulk of the acceleration, the
proposed mechanism makes it much more likely that the entire effect can be
explained without the need for new physics.
