  Industry evolution caused by various reasons, among which technology progress
driving industry development has been approved, but with the new trend of
industry convergence, inter-industry convergence also plays an increasing
important role. This paper plans to probe the industry synergetic evolution
mechanism based on industry convergence and technology progress. Firstly, we
use self-organization method and Haken Model to establish synergetic evolution
equations, select technology progress and industry convergence as the key
variables of industry evolution system; then use patent licensing data of
china's listed ICT companies to measure industry convergence rate and apply DEA
Malmquist index method to calculate technology progress level; furthermore
apply simultaneous equation estimation method to investigate the synergetic
industry evolution process. From 2002 to 2012, China's ICT industry develops
rapidly; it has the most obvious convergence and powerful technology progress
compared with other industries. We choose china's listed ICT industry to make
empirical analysis. Our main findings are: a) technology progress is the order
parameter which dominates industry system evolution. Moreover, industry
convergence is the control parameter which is influenced by technology
progress; b) Development of technology progress is the core factor for causing
evolution of industry system, and industry convergence is the outcome of
technology progress; c) Especially, it is important that the dominated role of
technology progress will be sustained, even though in the environment of
convergence, companies also need focus on self-innovation, rather than only
adapt to the new industry evolution trend.
