  We propose a novel approach for modeling multivariate longitudinal data in
the presence of unobserved heterogeneity for the analysis of the Health and
Retirement Study (HRS) data. Our proposal can be cast within the framework of
linear mixed models with discrete individual random intercepts; however,
differently from the standard formulation, the proposed Covariance Pattern
Mixture Model (CPMM) does not require the usual local independence assumption.
The model is thus able to simultaneously model the heterogeneity, the
association among the responses and the temporal dependence structure. We focus
on the investigation of temporal patterns related to the cognitive functioning
in retired American respondents. In particular, we aim to understand whether it
can be affected by some individual socio-economical characteristics and whether
it is possible to identify some homogenous groups of respondents that share a
similar cognitive profile. An accurate description of the detected groups
allows government policy interventions to be opportunely addressed. Results
identify three homogenous clusters of individuals with specific cognitive
functioning, consistent with the class conditional distribution of the
covariates. The flexibility of CPMM allows for a different contribution of each
regressor on the responses according to group membership. In so doing, the
identified groups receive a global and accurate phenomenological
characterization.
