  The predictability of climate anomalies in the regions of Northern Eurasia in
connection with El Nino phenomena is analyzed. Particular attention is paid to
the most likely transition in 2024 from an El Nino phase at the beginning of
the year to a La Nina phase at the end of the year, with the greatest
probability of high temperatures and dry conditions in European Russia during
the spring and summer months, as in 2010. The predictability levels of regional
climate anomalies using different El Nino indices are compared. The
relationship of the noted seasonal anomalies with atmospheric blockings is
considered, taking into account the different phases of the key modes of
climate variability like El Nino phenomena and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.
Changes in the predictability of regional climate anomalies under global
climate change are discussed.
