  We present an updated analysis of the CMSSM and the NUHM using the latest
experimental data and numerical tools. We map out favored regions of Bayesian
posterior probability in light of data from the LHC, flavor observables, the
relic density and dark matter searches. We present some updated features with
respect to our previous analyses: we include the effects of corrections to the
light Higgs mass beyond the 2-loop order using FeynHiggs v2.10.0; we include in
the likelihood the latest limits from direct searches for squarks and gluinos
at ATLAS with ~20/fb; the latest constraints on the spin-independent scattering
cross section of the neutralino from LUX are applied taking into account
uncertainties in the nuclear form factors. We find that in the CMSSM the
posterior distribution now tends to favor smaller values of Msusy than in the
previous analyses. As a consequence, the statistical weight of the A-resonance
region increases to about 30% of the total probability, with interesting new
prospects for the 14 TeV run at the LHC. The most favored region, on the other
hand, still features multi-TeV squarks and gluinos, and ~1TeV higgsino dark
matter whose detection prospects by current and one-tonne detectors look very
promising. The same region is predominant in the NUHM, although the A-resonance
region is also present there as well as a new solution, of neutralino-stau
coannihilation through the channel stau stau -> hh at very large \mu. We derive
the expected sensitivity of the future CTA experiment to ~1 TeV higgsino dark
matter for both models and show that the prospects for probing both models are
realistically good. We comment on the complementarity of this search to planned
direct detection one-tonne experiments.
