  This paper proposes a stochastic variant of the stable matching model from
Rasulkhani and Chow [1] which allows microtransit operators to evaluate their
operation policy and resource allocations. The proposed model takes into
account the stochastic nature of users' travel utility perception, resulting in
a probabilistic stable operation cost allocation outcome to design ticket price
and ridership forecasting. We applied the model for the operation policy
evaluation of a microtransit service in Luxembourg and its border area. The
methodology for the model parameters estimation and calibration is developed.
The results provide useful insights for the operator and the government to
improve the ridership of the service.
