  We analyze the interplay between K\"ahler moduli stabilization and chaotic
inflation in supergravity. While heavy moduli decouple from inflation in the
supersymmetric limit, supersymmetry breaking generically introduces
non-decoupling effects. These lead to inflation driven by a soft mass term,
$m_\varphi^2 \sim m m_{3/2}$, where $m$ is a supersymmetric mass parameter.
This scenario needs no stabilizer field, but the stability of moduli during
inflation imposes a large supersymmetry breaking scale, $m_{3/2} \gg H$, and a
careful choice of initial conditions. This is illustrated in three prominent
examples of moduli stabilization: KKLT stabilization, K\"ahler Uplifting, and
the Large Volume Scenario. Remarkably, all models have a universal effective
inflaton potential which is flattened compared to quadratic inflation. Hence,
they share universal predictions for the CMB observables, in particular a lower
bound on the tensor-to-scalar ratio, $r \gtrsim 0.05$.
