  Experimental studies on enzyme evolution show that only a small fraction of
all possible mutation trajectories are accessible to evolution. However, these
experiments deal with individual enzymes and explore a tiny part of the fitness
landscape. We report an exhaustive analysis of fitness landscapes constructed
with an off-lattice model of protein folding where fitness is equated with
robustness to misfolding. This model mimics the essential features of the
interactions between amino acids, is consistent with the key paradigms of
protein folding and reproduces the universal distribution of evolutionary rates
among orthologous proteins. We introduce mean path divergence as a quantitative
measure of the degree to which the starting and ending points determine the
path of evolution in fitness landscapes. Global measures of landscape roughness
are good predictors of path divergence in all studied landscapes: the mean path
divergence is greater in smooth landscapes than in rough ones. The
model-derived and experimental landscapes are significantly smoother than
random landscapes and resemble additive landscapes perturbed with moderate
amounts of noise; thus, these landscapes are substantially robust to mutation.
The model landscapes show a deficit of suboptimal peaks even compared with
noisy additive landscapes with similar overall roughness. We suggest that
smoothness and the substantial deficit of peaks in the fitness landscapes of
protein evolution are fundamental consequences of the physics of protein
folding.
