  One of the major questions in the study of economics, logistics, and business
forecasting is the measurement and prediction of value creation, distribution,
and lifetime in the form of goods. In "real" economies, a perfect model for the
circulation of goods is impossible. However, virtual realities and economies
pose a new frontier for the broad study of economics, since every good and
transaction can be accurately tracked. Therefore, models that predict goods'
circulation can be tested and confirmed before their introduction to "real
life" and other scenarios. The present study is focused on the characteristics
of early-stage adopters for virtual goods, and how they predict the lifespan of
the goods. We employ machine learning and decision trees as the basis of our
prediction models. Results provide evidence that the prediction of the lifespan
of virtual objects is possible based just on data from early holders of those
objects. Overall, communication and social activity are the main drivers for
the effective propagation of virtual goods, and they are the most expected
characteristics of early adopters.
