  We develop an elementary mean field approach for fully asymmetric kinetic
Ising models, which can be applied to a single instance of the problem. In the
case of the asymmetric SK model this method gives the exact values of the local
magnetizations and the exact relation between equal-time and time-delayed
correlations. It can also be used to solve efficiently the inverse problem,
i.e. determine the couplings and local fields from a set of patterns, also in
cases where the fields and couplings are time-dependent. This approach
generalizes some recent attempts to solve this dynamical inference problem,
which were valid in the limit of weak coupling. It provides the exact solution
to the problem also in strongly coupled problems. This mean field inference can
also be used as an efficient approximate method to infer the couplings and
fields in problems which are not infinite range, for instance in diluted
asymmetric spin glasses.
