  There are many factors that affect the probability of being uncited during
the first years after publication. In this study, we analyze three of these
factors for journals, conference proceedings and book series: the field (in 316
subject categories of the Scopus database), the access modality (open access
vs. paywalled), and the visibility of the source (through the percentile of the
average impact in the subject category). We quantify the effect of these
factors on the probability of being uncited. This probability is measured
through the percentage of uncited documents in the serial sources of the Scopus
database at about two years after publication. As a main result, we do not find
any strong correlation between open access and uncitedness. Within the group of
most cited journals (Q1 and top 10%), open access journals generally have
somewhat lower uncited rates. However, in the intermediate quartiles (Q2 and
Q3) almost no differences are observed, while for Q4 the uncited rate is again
somewhat lower in the case of the OA group. This is important because it
provides new evidence in the debate about open access citation advantage.
