  Considering the problem of risk-sensitive parameter estimation, we propose a
fairly wide family of lower bounds on the exponential moments of the quadratic
error, both in the Bayesian and the non--Bayesian regime. This family of
bounds, which is based on a change of measures, offers considerable freedom in
the choice of the reference measure, and our efforts are devoted to explore
this freedom to a certain extent. Our focus is mostly on signal models that are
relevant to communication problems, namely, models of a parameter-dependent
signal (modulated signal) corrupted by additive white Gaussian noise, but the
methodology proposed is also applicable to other types of parametric families,
such as models of linear systems driven by random input signals (white noise,
in most cases), and others. In addition to the well known motivations of the
risk-sensitive cost function (i.e., the exponential quadratic cost function),
which is most notably, the robustness to model uncertainty, we also view this
cost function as a tool for studying fundamental limits concerning the tail
behavior of the estimation error. Another interesting aspect, that we
demonstrate in a certain parametric model, is that the risk-sensitive cost
function may be subjected to phase transitions, owing to some analogies with
statistical mechanics.
