  This work examines the hypothesis that partially observable Markov decision
process (POMDP) planning with human driver internal states can significantly
improve both safety and efficiency in autonomous freeway driving. We evaluate
this hypothesis in a simulated scenario where an autonomous car must safely
perform three lane changes in rapid succession. Approximate POMDP solutions are
obtained through the partially observable Monte Carlo planning with observation
widening (POMCPOW) algorithm. This approach outperforms over-confident and
conservative MDP baselines and matches or outperforms QMDP. Relative to the MDP
baselines, POMCPOW typically cuts the rate of unsafe situations in half or
increases the success rate by 50%.
