  Accurate citation count prediction of newly published papers could help
editors and readers rapidly figure out the influential papers in the future.
Though many approaches are proposed to predict a paper's future citation, most
ignore the dynamic heterogeneous graph structure or node importance in academic
networks. To cope with this problem, we propose a Dynamic heterogeneous Graph
and Node Importance network (DGNI) learning framework, which fully leverages
the dynamic heterogeneous graph and node importance information to predict
future citation trends of newly published papers. First, a dynamic
heterogeneous network embedding module is provided to capture the dynamic
evolutionary trends of the whole academic network. Then, a node importance
embedding module is proposed to capture the global consistency relationship to
figure out each paper's node importance. Finally, the dynamic evolutionary
trend embeddings and node importance embeddings calculated above are combined
to jointly predict the future citation counts of each paper, by a log-normal
distribution model according to multi-faced paper node representations.
Extensive experiments on two large-scale datasets demonstrate that our model
significantly improves all indicators compared to the SOTA models.
