  Estimating phylogenetic trees is an important problem in evolutionary
biology, environmental policy and medicine. Although trees are estimated, their
uncertainties are discarded by mathematicians working in tree space. Here we
explicitly model the multivariate uncertainty of tree estimates. We consider
both the cases where uncertainty information arises extrinsically (through
covariate information) and intrinsically (through the tree estimates
themselves). The importance of accounting for tree uncertainty in tree space is
demonstrated in two case studies. In the first instance, differences between
gene trees are small relative to their uncertainties, while in the second, the
differences are relatively large. Our main goal is visualization of tree
uncertainty, and we demonstrate advantages of our method with respect to
reproducibility, speed and preservation of topological differences compared to
visualization based on multidimensional scaling. The proposal highlights that
phylogenetic trees are estimated in an extremely high-dimensional space,
resulting in uncertainty information that cannot be discarded. Most
importantly, it is a method that allows biologists to diagnose whether
differences between gene trees are biologically meaningful, or due to
uncertainty in estimation.
