  We present a unified thermodynamical description of the configurations
consisting on self-gravitating radiation with or without a black hole. We
compute the thermal fluctuations and evaluate where will they induce a
transition from metastable configurations towards stable ones. We show that the
probability of finding such a transition is exponentially small. This indicates
that, in a sequence of quasi equilibrium configurations, the system will remain
in the metastable states till it approaches very closely the critical point
beyond which no metastable configuration exists. Near that point, we relate the
divergence of the local temperature fluctuations to the approach of the
instability of the whole system, thereby generalizing the usual fluctuations
analysis in the cases where long range forces are present. When angular
momentum is added to the cavity, the above picture is slightly modified.
Nevertheless, at high angular momentum, the black hole loses most of its mass
before it reaches the critical point at which it evaporates completely.
