  We have proposed an SEIR compartmental mathematical model. The prime
objective of this study is to analyze and forecast the pandemic in Italy for
the upcoming months. The basic reproduction number has been calculated. Based
on the current situation in Italy, in this paper, we will estimate the possible
time for the end of the pandemic in the country. The impact of lockdown and
rapid isolation on the spread of the pandemic are also discussed. Further, we
have studied four of the most pandemic affected regions in Italy. Using the
proposed model, a prediction has been made about the duration of pandemic in
these regions. The variation in the basic reproduction number corresponding to
the sensitive parameters of the model is also examined.
