  Model-based clustering approaches concern the paradigm of exploratory data
analysis relying on the finite mixture model to automatically find a latent
structure governing observed data. They are one of the most popular and
successful approaches in cluster analysis. The mixture density estimation is
generally performed by maximizing the observed-data log-likelihood by using the
expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. However, it is well-known that the EM
algorithm initialization is crucial. In addition, the standard EM algorithm
requires the number of clusters to be known a priori. Some solutions have been
provided in [31, 12] for model-based clustering with Gaussian mixture models
for multivariate data. In this paper we focus on model-based curve clustering
approaches, when the data are curves rather than vectorial data, based on
regression mixtures. We propose a new robust EM algorithm for clustering
curves. We extend the model-based clustering approach presented in [31] for
Gaussian mixture models, to the case of curve clustering by regression
mixtures, including polynomial regression mixtures as well as spline or
B-spline regressions mixtures. Our approach both handles the problem of
initialization and the one of choosing the optimal number of clusters as the EM
learning proceeds, rather than in a two-fold scheme. This is achieved by
optimizing a penalized log-likelihood criterion. A simulation study confirms
the potential benefit of the proposed algorithm in terms of robustness
regarding initialization and funding the actual number of clusters.
