  Atmospheric trace-gas inversion is the procedure by which the sources and
sinks of a trace gas are identified from observations of its mole fraction at
isolated locations in space and time. This is inherently a spatio-temporal
bivariate inversion problem, since the mole-fraction field evolves in space and
time and the flux is also spatio-temporally distributed. Further, the bivariate
model is likely to be non-Gaussian since the flux field is rarely Gaussian.
Here, we use conditioning to construct a non-Gaussian bivariate model, and we
describe some of its properties through auto- and cross-cumulant functions. A
bivariate non-Gaussian, specifically trans-Gaussian, model is then achieved
through the use of Box--Cox transformations, and we facilitate Bayesian
inference by approximating the likelihood in a hierarchical framework.
Trace-gas inversion, especially at high spatial resolution, is frequently
highly sensitive to prior specification. Therefore, unlike conventional
approaches, we assimilate trace-gas inventory information with the
observational data at the parameter layer, thus shifting prior sensitivity from
the inventory itself to its spatial characteristics (e.g., its spatial length
scale). We demonstrate the approach in controlled-experiment studies of methane
inversion, using fluxes extracted from inventories of the UK and Ireland and of
Northern Australia.
