  The Pierre Auger Observatory (PAO) has measured the spectrum and composition
of the ultrahigh energy cosmic rays with unprecedented precision. We use these
measurements to constrain their spectrum and composition as injected from their
sources and, in turn, use these results to estimate the spectrum of cosmogenic
neutrinos generated in their propagation through intergalactic space. We find
that the PAO measurements can be well fit if the injected cosmic rays consist
entirely of nuclei with masses in the intermediate (C, N, O) to heavy (Fe, Si)
range. A mixture of protons and heavier species is also acceptable but (on the
basis of existing hadronic interaction models) injection of pure light nuclei
(p, He) results in unacceptable fits to the new elongation rate data. The
expected spectrum of cosmogenic neutrinos can vary considerably, depending on
the precise spectrum and chemical composition injected from the cosmic ray
sources. In the models where heavy nuclei dominate the cosmic ray spectrum and
few dissociated protons exceed GZK energies, the cosmogenic neutrino flux can
be suppressed by up to two orders of magnitude relative to the all-proton
prediction, making its detection beyond the reach of current and planned
neutrino telescopes. Other models consistent with the data, however, are
proton-dominated with only a small (1-10%) admixture of heavy nuclei and
predict an associated cosmogenic flux within the reach of upcoming experiments.
Thus a detection or non-detection of cosmogenic neutrinos can assist in
discriminating between these possibilities.
