  The results of an alternative methodology for making predictions about the
COVID-19 pandemic in Greece are presented. Instead of focusing on the various
population profiles (subjected to instabilities introduced by the fitting
process), this methodology focuses on the time scale that characterises the
intensity and duration of the outbreak phase. Therefore, instead of predicting
the peak of active cases, here their inflection point is predicted (the point
where the increase of active cases stops accelerating and starts decelerating).
Since the inflection point precedes the peak, this methodology can serve as an
early warning of the peak. In addition, the paths between the various
populations (healthy, exposed, infected, etc) that contribute the most to the
outbreak phase are identified.
