AUSTRALIA Drastic sea surge a real possibility, study indicates
Researchers analyse fossil corals dating back 125,000 years
Sydney Sea levels may rise much higher than previously thought, suggests a new study on fossil corals, which shows how warmer climes in the past promoted dramatic melting of polar ice sheets.
Andrea Dutton, formerly of the The Australian National University College of Physical and Mathematical Sciences, teamed up with Kurt Lambeck, ANU professor to analyse fossil corals around the world from the last interglacial period, 125,000 years ago.
They built an extensive database by compiling age and elevation data of fossil corals that live near the sea surface, and used a model to factor in the physics of how changing masses of ice sheets would affect regional sea level at the various fossil coral sites, the journal Science reported.
“In this way, we were able to account for the geographic variability in sea level observations from this time period and compute the highest point that average global sea-level attained. The observations from the corals confirmed the sea level patterns that we predicted using the geophysical model,” Dutton, who is currently based at University of Florida, said.
“Sea level change - in the past, present, and future - is geographically variable and we must consider this variability to infer what the average global sea-level was doing in the past. We observed 5.5 to 9 metres of sea level rise,” said Dutton, according to an university statement.
“To explain that, polar ice sheets must have melted: part of Greenland, most of the West Antarctic ice sheet, and perhaps some of the East Antarctic ice sheet. Our findings have important implications for future sea levels,” added Dutton.
“For the period we studied, the poles were probably only three to five degrees warmer than present. That amount of polar warming is well within what we are predicted to reach this century. This implies that the polar ice sheets may be very sensitive to small increases in temperature,” concluded Dutton.