Tory surges, Ford falters

TORONTO OCTOBER 21st, 2014 - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 852 likely Toronto voters and those who have voted already, more than 4-in-10 of those decided and leaning support John Tory for mayor (43%), in comparison to fewer than 3-in-10 who favour Doug Ford (29%) for a 14 point lead. This stands in contrast to last week, when just 6 points separated the two (October 14 - Ford 33%, Tory 39%). Olivia Chow's support has stayed relatively stable at about one quarter (23% last week, 25% today), and just one thirtieth will vote for any other candidate (3%).





Tory's support is strong among older voters (55 to 64 - 52%, 65+ - 53%), in North York (48%) and among past provincial Liberal voters (51%). Ford's support is especially strong in Scarborough (39%) and among past PC voters (51%). Chow's support is characteristic of the youngest (33%), women (30%), in the downtown (41%) and past New Democrats (54%).







"This last week has proved decisive for John Tory. He appears to be locking up the few undecided voters left, and scooping some of Doug's voters as well. The two have neatly swapped 4 points since last week, Tory taking them from Ford," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.