City A.M. on “Superforecasting: How seemingly ordinary people can predict everything from world events to election results”

“[T]he GJP employed psychologists to follow the supers’ progress to see what average folks like us could learn from them. They found that people who were good at forecasting were fairly intelligent, but not Mensa candidates. Essentially, they possessed a healthy amount of cynicism that led them to ask the right questions and weigh up data fairly, and an open mindedness that allowed them to change their minds easily when the facts seemed to be contradicting their forecast.”

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INTRODUCING THE BLOG
From thinking about the markets to understanding politics to navigating daily life, virtually anyone can get better at weighing the odds of what will happen next. This blog is dedicated to helping us all improve our forecasting prowess.