News: The market is heavily influenced by escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, leading to a broad risk-off sentiment across global financial markets. Sanctions against Russia, including SWIFT exclusions, are causing significant volatility in traditional assets and are expected to weigh on Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Ukraine's successful crypto fundraising efforts provide a counter-narrative of crypto utility, but the dominant short-term driver remains the geopolitical fallout.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 20% | Base 40% | Bear 40%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "down", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The SWIFT sanctions against Russia create significant geopolitical uncertainty and a risk-off enviro"}