News: Bitcoin has fallen below the critical $20,000 support level, mirroring weakness in traditional markets. This breach, coupled with ongoing concerns about persistent inflation and potential SEC scrutiny on altcoins, paints a bearish short-term picture. Long-term, regulatory clarity and macro conditions remain key drivers, with institutional sentiment and miner health also being important factors to monitor.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 20% | Base 40% | Bear 40%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "down", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "Breaking below a key psychological level like $20,000 indicates strong bearish momentum and can trig"}