News: The market sentiment remains mixed, influenced by a combination of macroeconomic data, corporate earnings, and ongoing developments in the crypto ETF space. While long-term prospects for Bitcoin remain robust due to increasing institutional adoption and supply dynamics, short-term price action is subject to broader market volatility and regulatory news. The focus on inflation data and potential Fed policy shifts continues to be a key driver of uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The halving event significantly reduces new Bitcoin supply, while increasing demand from ETFs and di"}