News: Bitcoin experienced significant volatility and a sharp decline, hitting a three-month low, largely driven by Elon Musk's tweets regarding Tesla's Bitcoin holdings and environmental concerns. This triggered record outflows from crypto funds and a bearish sentiment among short-term traders. While long-term holders are reportedly buying the dip, key technical indicators like the 200 EMA break suggest continued downward pressure. Institutional adoption news from Visa and Venmo continues to provide long-term bullish support, but the immediate outlook is dominated by Musk's influence and market sentiment.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Elon Musk's tweets directly triggered a significant price drop and increased volatility in Bitcoin a"}