News: Bitcoin experienced significant downward pressure today, driven by China's intensified crackdown on mining and trading activities, leading to a price drop below $40,000. This regulatory news overshadowed positive developments like Elon Musk's endorsement of the Lightning Network and institutional interest in crypto funds. Exchange outages and operational errors at platforms like BlockFi added to the short-term volatility and negative sentiment. The market remains cautious, with investor indecision evident.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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