News: The market is reacting to significant regulatory news, with the SEC raising concerns about Bitcoin ETFs, potentially delaying their approval. This has created a bearish sentiment in the short term, despite some signs of crypto market resilience against South Korean regulatory threats. India's tax notices also add to the regulatory pressure. Long-term, the increasing institutional interest signaled by futures launches and the growing recognition of crypto as an asset class remain bullish drivers, though regulatory clarity is paramount.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The launch of Bitcoin futures on major exchanges like CME was a critical step in legitimizing Bitcoi"}