News: Bitcoin experienced significant volatility on Saturday, dropping nearly 3% before partially recovering, though the near-term bullish trend remains intact. Macroeconomic concerns, particularly around oil demand and economic recovery, are casting a bearish shadow over risk assets, potentially impacting Bitcoin. Meanwhile, news of a major Twitter hack used for Bitcoin scams continues to highlight security vulnerabilities, while institutional adoption signals like MicroStrategy's purchase and the listing of Bitcoin ETPs on European exchanges provide long-term bullish catalysts.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "MicroStrategy's substantial Bitcoin purchase represents a major validation of Bitcoin as a corporate"}