News: The crypto market remains under significant pressure, with Bitcoin struggling to hold key support levels around $27K-$30K. This is largely driven by a combination of the ongoing stablecoin crisis (UST/LUNA) and broader macroeconomic concerns, including hawkish commentary from the Federal Reserve and weak retail earnings sparking recession fears. Major stock indices have seen substantial declines, mirroring the risk-off sentiment impacting Bitcoin. While some long-term catalysts like Ethereum's 2.0 upgrade and institutional interest remain, the short-term outlook is decidedly bearish.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 20% | Base 30% | Bear 50%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: HOLD
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