News: The crypto market is experiencing significant downward pressure, with Bitcoin falling below $4,000 and losing substantial market value. Reports of G20 leaders discussing crypto taxation and bearish commentary from finance professionals are contributing to negative sentiment. However, some positive long-term developments are emerging, such as regulatory progress in Wyoming and the potential for institutional adoption in the Middle East, though these are unlikely to offset the immediate bearish trend.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 20% | Base 40% | Bear 40%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "down", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The breach of the $4,000 support level for Bitcoin, coupled with a significant market-wide value los"}