News: The Bitcoin halving has officially occurred, a significant programmed event that reduces new supply. Immediately following, Bitcoin's price showed stability with a slight dip, but transaction fees have surged due to the launch of the Runes protocol, boosting miner revenue. While some analysts like JPMorgan are bearish short-term, citing overbought conditions, the overall sentiment remains cautiously optimistic due to the halving's historical bullish impact and the strong network activity. Broader market weakness in tech stocks presents a short-term headwind.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 30% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "A stable or declining interest rate environment typically encourages investment in riskier assets li"}