News: Bitcoin is trading flat around $26,200, pressured by rising Treasury yields and the 'higher for longer' interest rate narrative. The potential for a U.S. government shutdown adds further uncertainty, potentially delaying ETF approvals. However, positive developments like institutional filings for ETFs and a favorable KPMG report on Bitcoin's ESG contributions offer some underlying bullish sentiment. MicroStrategy's continued accumulation provides a small positive signal.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 45% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The court's strong rebuke of the SEC's denial sets a precedent for future ETF applications. If appro"}