News: Bitcoin is holding steady near the $50,000 mark, showing resilience despite some indicators of waning retail interest (lower Google searches). Institutional adoption continues with Citi considering bitcoin futures and MicroStrategy making another significant purchase. Regulatory developments remain a key focus, with the US infrastructure bill's crypto tax provision likely to pass, and Janet Yellen convening a meeting on stablecoins. The return of funds from the Poly Network hack provides a minor sentiment boost.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 50% | Base 30% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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