News: Bitcoin and Ether showed mixed signals, with BTC retreating from recent highs around $24K due to rising Treasury yields, while ETH continued to rally on anticipation of the 'merge' and positive inflation data. BlackRock's announcement of a spot Bitcoin trust provided a bullish catalyst, but profit-taking tempered the immediate reaction. Regulatory news, including a lawsuit against Voyager and concerns over Circle's Tornado Cash actions, added to market uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The bankruptcy of a major crypto lender like Celsius indicates systemic issues within the crypto len"}