News: Bitcoin experienced a slight downturn today, falling below the $28,000 mark, influenced by broader market weakness and anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Positive operational updates from miners like Marathon and SATO provided some counter-balance, while the surge in BRC-20 tokens indicated growing network activity. However, the significant increase in Bitcoin held on exchanges signals potential selling pressure. Major exchanges like Coinbase and Gemini launching offshore operations highlight ongoing regulatory challenges in the U.S., contributing to market uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 45% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "Gensler's firm stance implies continued regulatory scrutiny and potential enforcement actions agains"}