News: Bitcoin experienced a volatile day, starting bearishly before rallying and then pulling back, indicating a struggle to maintain upward momentum. Simultaneously, Ethereum's network saw a surge in pending transactions due to DeFi activity, leading to higher gas fees. Regulatory news, such as Kraken's banking charter in Wyoming, continues to provide a positive backdrop for institutional adoption, while the tokenization of Bitcoin on Ethereum highlights growing interoperability. Macroeconomic factors, like the Fed's dovish stance, remain a long-term bullish driver.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 40% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "MicroStrategy's substantial investment validates Bitcoin as a corporate treasury asset, potentially "}