News: Bitcoin experienced a significant sell-off over the weekend, dropping over 10% due to geopolitical tensions and a broader risk-off sentiment, exacerbated by rising Treasury yields. This has led to a bearish short-term outlook, with technical analysts warning of further downside. However, the upcoming Bitcoin halving remains a strong bullish catalyst for the medium term, and some traders see geopolitical events as a potential driver for a 'doomsday rally' if tensions escalate. ETF inflows have slowed, indicating a normalization of demand after the initial hype.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Breaking previous all-time highs, especially with the backdrop of ETF approvals, signals strong unde"}