News: The market is experiencing a dual impact from significant regulatory news concerning BitMEX, leading to outflows to competitors, and macro uncertainty due to President Trump's COVID-19 diagnosis, causing a general risk-off sentiment. Bitcoin saw a price decline, breaking key support levels, while miner revenue also showed a dip. However, there's also resilience shown by Bitcoin's rebound to $10.5K and parabolic growth in stablecoins, indicating potential capital waiting to enter the market. The long-term outlook remains influenced by increasing institutional adoption and the growing utility of tokenized Bitcoin in DeFi.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The news of President Trump testing positive for COVID-19 creates significant market uncertainty and"}