News: The market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, primarily driven by ongoing institutional interest in Bitcoin ETFs, as highlighted by BlackRock's filing and Standard Chartered's bullish forecast. However, regulatory headwinds, exemplified by the SEC's lawsuit against Binance, continue to pose a short-term risk. Miner behavior and broader macro concerns about interest rates are also key factors influencing price action. The lack of significant immediate catalysts suggests a period of consolidation, with potential for upside if ETF approvals gain traction.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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