News: The crypto market showed signs of a short-term recovery, with Bitcoin trading above $21,000, supported by positive equity market movements and optimism surrounding the Ethereum Merge. However, underlying concerns remain, including the ongoing liquidity crisis in the lending sector (Voyager, Celsius) and the potential for further deleveraging. Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation data and Fed policy, continue to be a dominant influence on market sentiment, leading to choppy price action.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "sideways", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Soaring inflation in major economies like the UK directly impacts investor risk appetite, leading to"}