News: Bitcoin experienced a slight pullback on Friday, ending the day below $7,100, reinforcing a near-term bearish trend. However, significant long-term bullish signals are emerging, notably the potential entry of a $166B asset manager, Renaissance Technologies, into Bitcoin futures. This institutional interest, coupled with ongoing retail enthusiasm for the upcoming halving and the integration of crypto into traditional finance (like the Fold Visa card), suggests underlying strength. Macroeconomic factors, such as massive stimulus packages, continue to create a favorable environment for Bitcoin as an inflation hedge.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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