News: The market sentiment remains mixed, with Bitcoin showing resilience despite a short-term downtrend. Institutional adoption signals, like Fidelity's 401(k) offering and positive mining updates, provide long-term bullish catalysts. However, concerns around crypto's environmental impact, highlighted by Wikipedia's decision to stop accepting donations, introduce short-term bearish headwinds. Seasonal trends suggest May could be a pivotal month for Bitcoin, with potential for gains.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The narrative of Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat currency instability and geopolitical risk is a pow"}