News: Bitcoin experienced a bearish morning, failing to break key resistance levels and pulling back towards support, indicating potential short-term downward pressure. This weakness in BTC is mirrored in altcoins like Shiba Inu. However, positive long-term signals persist, including PayPal's UK expansion, Square's hardware wallet plans, and Germany's new law facilitating institutional investment. The IMF's criticism of El Salvador's Bitcoin adoption and ongoing regulatory uncertainty in the US present short-term headwinds. Facebook's upcoming Novi wallet launch and continued institutional accumulation offer potential catalysts for future growth.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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