News: Bitcoin shows resilience, trading near key resistance levels, buoyed by positive developments in Hong Kong regarding retail crypto trading and the ongoing narrative of potential Fed rate pauses. However, lingering concerns over the US debt ceiling and regulatory actions against major exchanges like Binance introduce short-term headwinds. The rise of BRC-20 tokens and increased Bitcoin NFT activity highlight growing on-chain utility, while a record number of long-term holders suggests strong investor conviction.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
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