News: Bitcoin experienced a significant pullback on Saturday, falling 4.2% and breaking key support levels, indicating a shift to bearish short-term sentiment. This contrasts with Ethereum's 3.79% gain, suggesting some altcoins are still showing strength. Longer-term, the hash rate remains at an all-time high, and Bitcoin's rally to multi-month highs continues, supported by anticipation of the halving and geopolitical factors. However, institutional skepticism and increasing regulatory focus on privacy present potential headwinds.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The sustained rally to multi-month highs, driven by both market momentum and anticipation of the hal"}