News: Bitcoin is trading around $27,000, showing resilience ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. Positive news regarding institutional adoption, such as Nomura's new Bitcoin fund, provides some bullish sentiment. However, regulatory headwinds, particularly the SEC's actions against Binance and the ongoing ETF application delays, introduce uncertainty. Technical indicators suggest potential short-term consolidation or a slight pullback, while the Fed's decision remains the key catalyst for immediate price direction.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The ongoing applications for spot Bitcoin ETFs represent a significant potential inflow of capital i"}