News: The crypto market is navigating a complex landscape with mixed signals. Regulatory actions, particularly the DOJ's crackdown on crypto, have introduced short-term bearish pressure and volatility. Macroeconomic concerns, such as recession predictions, also contribute to a cautious sentiment. However, positive developments in institutional adoption, like Fidelity's continued bullish stance and advancements in hardware wallet security, offer long-term optimism. The market sentiment remains divided on whether current price increases represent a sustainable bottom or a temporary bull trap.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The Fed's continued hawkish stance and projected higher terminal rates increase the cost of capital,"}