News: Bitcoin showed resilience with a bullish Saturday, breaking key resistance levels, suggesting short-term positive momentum. However, the DeFi space was hit by a significant exploit on dForce, draining $25 million, which introduces bearish sentiment and highlights security risks. On the institutional front, Hong Kong approved its first crypto fund, signaling growing regulatory acceptance and potential for increased capital inflow. Bitcoin ATMs continue to expand, indicating sustained user demand. The overall sentiment is mixed, with positive price action tempered by DeFi security concerns.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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