News: Bitcoin has reached a new year-to-date high, breaking above $4,100 with receding volatility, supported by positive monthly candles and broader market optimism. While institutional adoption remains cautious, increased accessibility through fiat on-ramps and growing altcoin futures volume are positive signs. However, regulatory uncertainty from the SEC and upcoming tax deadlines present potential headwinds.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 60% | Base 30% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
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