News: The market sentiment remains cautious as October begins, influenced by lingering concerns over SEC ETF delays and macroeconomic pressures. While some on-chain data suggests underlying bullishness for Bitcoin, short-term price action is dominated by regulatory uncertainty and the anticipation of Fed policy signals. The upcoming options settlement adds another layer of potential volatility. Institutional interest remains a key long-term driver, but immediate price discovery is hampered by these near-term headwinds.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 45% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "The continued focus on institutional players like BlackRock and MicroStrategy, along with the antici"}