News: Today's analysis presents a mixed short-term outlook for Bitcoin, with strong bullish catalysts like Bakkt's confirmed launch and Bitcoin holding the $10,000 support level, offset by a technical 'bear cross' and ongoing regulatory scrutiny on the broader crypto space. Long-term prospects remain robust, driven by increasing institutional adoption, real-world utility in emerging markets, and Bitcoin's safe-haven narrative amidst global macroeconomic uncertainty. The approaching halving further underpins long-term value.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 40% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "Bitcoin's consistent outperformance against most altcoins over a significant period strengthens its "}