News: Bitcoin has shown resilience, rebounding above $27,000 despite ongoing concerns about the US debt ceiling and liquidity. However, negative sentiment is evident with four consecutive weeks of outflows from crypto investment funds, and prominent investor Paul Tudor Jones expressing concerns about US regulation. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin blockchain is experiencing congestion due to memecoin activity, driving up transaction fees. Regulatory scrutiny on exchanges remains high, posing a potential short-term risk. Despite these headwinds, expansion of crypto services and new derivatives offerings suggest underlying adoption trends.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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