News: Bitcoin showed resilience, trading above $28,000 despite mixed economic signals. Strong U.S. jobs data suggests potential for continued Fed rate hikes, creating a bearish short-term outlook, while the ECB's rate hike adds to global tightening. However, long-term sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, buoyed by anticipation of a Fed pause and positive developments in Bitcoin's ecosystem like Layer 2 scaling and the potential for ETFs. Meme coin activity is causing network congestion and high fees on both Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicating speculative fervor.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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