News: Bitcoin continues its downward trend, with multiple sources indicating bearish sentiment and key support levels being breached. The US Marshals' upcoming auction of seized Bitcoin adds a potential supply overhang. While long-term institutional adoption signals remain, the short-term outlook is dominated by negative price action and market sentiment.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 25% | Base 40% | Bear 35%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "down", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The application of existing securities laws to cryptocurrencies provides a degree of regulatory clar"}