News: Bitcoin experienced a significant downturn on June 12th, dropping over 6% and breaking below key support levels, mirroring a broader sell-off in global equities. This suggests a strengthening correlation between Bitcoin and traditional markets, driven by macroeconomic concerns and a 'fear trade' sentiment. While long-term bullish catalysts like institutional adoption and inflation hedging narratives remain, the immediate outlook is clouded by this market correlation and technical breakdown.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "Microsoft's integration of a decentralized identity tool onto the Bitcoin blockchain signifies a maj"}