News: Bitcoin experienced mixed signals today. China's clarification on its blockchain support aimed to temper speculation, potentially creating short-term bearish pressure. However, positive developments like the upcoming Bitcoin ETN in Europe and improved transaction efficiency via SegWit on Bitfinex offer underlying bullish sentiment. Technical indicators present a mixed picture, with some suggesting potential upside while others point to immediate bearishness due to buyer exhaustion.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The execution of the first block trade on Bakkt futures is a crucial step towards institutional adop"}