News: The market sentiment appears mixed today, with some positive signals from institutional adoption and regulatory interest, but also ongoing price action analysis for major altcoins. The Bank of China's positive portrayal of Bitcoin is a notable development, potentially influencing sentiment in a key market. However, the broader market is still digesting recent price movements and technical indicators.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The halving event directly impacts Bitcoin's supply issuance, a core driver of its value proposition"}