News: Bitcoin experienced a volatile trading day with significant intraday swings, closing up 2.63% after a strong rally. However, bearish sentiment is present due to regulatory warnings from BIS manager Agustín Carstens and news of India's potential crypto ban, which could negatively impact market sentiment. The crash of Dogecoin also highlights the risks of social media-driven speculation. Despite short-term headwinds, long-term indicators remain bullish, with institutional adoption and price milestones continuing to drive positive sentiment.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The significant monthly and yearly gains demonstrate strong upward momentum and increasing market in"}