News: The market is navigating mixed signals, with anticipation of Federal Reserve policy tightening creating a bearish undertone for risk assets, including Bitcoin. However, positive developments like institutional adoption (German banks offering crypto trading) and technological upgrades (Taproot) provide long-term bullish support. Short-term, Bitcoin faces resistance around $50,000, with technical indicators suggesting potential for a bounce if key levels hold, while altcoins like ETH show bearish trends. Macroeconomic concerns around inflation and potential Fed rate hikes are the dominant short-term drivers.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The successful implementation of the Taproot upgrade was a fundamental improvement to Bitcoin's prot"}