News: Bitcoin remains range-bound, trading flat around $25.7K, with mixed signals from the market. While positive developments like the ARK Invest Ether ETF filing and Grayscale's push for Bitcoin ETF approval offer bullish undertones, they are being overshadowed by persistent macroeconomic concerns. Statements from Fed officials about potential rate hikes and rising oil prices are fueling inflation fears, leading to a drop in US equities and a bearish technical outlook for Bitcoin (death cross formation). The market appears to be in a holding pattern, awaiting clearer direction.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Rising interest rates and persistent inflation concerns are bearish for risk assets like Bitcoin. Hi"}