News: The market is showing mixed signals today. Long-term, institutional adoption continues with Tesla and Square increasing their Bitcoin holdings, and VanEck refiling for a Bitcoin ETF, signaling sustained bullish sentiment. However, macroeconomic factors like rising Treasury yields and criticism from figures like Bill Gates and Charlie Munger are introducing bearish undertones and highlighting volatility concerns. Short-term, Bitcoin is consolidating below $50K, with cautious investor sentiment and lower trading volumes. Evidence of institutional buying on dips (Coinbase outflows) and positive developments like the potential Coinbase IPO filing are providing some bullish support, but technical indicators suggest a period of consolidation.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "Tesla's substantial investment in Bitcoin signals strong institutional validation and adoption. This"}