News: Bitcoin is trading below $40,000, influenced by the World Bank's rejection of El Salvador's request for assistance with Bitcoin implementation due to environmental concerns. Meanwhile, positive developments include the potential for MSCI to launch crypto indexes and continued institutional interest from major banks like Goldman Sachs and Citigroup. HIVE Blockchain's Nasdaq listing and NASCAR driver Landon Cassill being paid in crypto highlight growing adoption and legitimacy for the crypto space. However, the SEC's delay on the VanEck Bitcoin ETF decision and ongoing regulatory scrutiny from the IRS introduce elements of uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The potential for a country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender is a monumental development for cryptoc"}