News: Bitcoin experienced a mixed day, trading flat around $9,500 despite a rally in traditional markets fueled by stimulus expectations. Key developments include a significant increase in Bitcoin's mining difficulty, suggesting increased network activity and miner participation, though this could also impact miner profitability. Institutional interest remains a positive signal with Wilshire Phoenix filing for a new Bitcoin Investment Trust. The growing options market and the launch of crypto debit cards by BitPay point towards increasing adoption and market maturity.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "Historically, increased public interest surrounding the Bitcoin halving event has correlated with su"}