News: The market is reacting to the assassination attempt on Donald Trump, which has increased political uncertainty and boosted his election odds. This geopolitical event is overshadowing other economic news, like China's GDP figures. In crypto, the narrative of Bitcoin as a millionaire-maker and the ongoing impact of spot ETFs continue to influence sentiment. While long-term trends remain bullish due to institutional adoption, short-term price action is likely to be dominated by geopolitical risk and speculative trading around meme coins.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "Spot Bitcoin ETFs have significantly lowered the barrier to entry for institutional and retail inves"}