News: Bitcoin is showing signs of stabilization after a volatile January, with mixed signals from the market. Institutional buying from MicroStrategy and positive adoption news from El Salvador and Arizona offer bullish short-term catalysts. However, technical indicators suggest continued range-bound trading with potential downside risk, as indicated by bearish sentiment from analysts like Katie Stockton. The broader macro environment, including the RBA ending QE, adds a layer of uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, signaling an end to quantitative easing and potential rate hik"}