News: Today's market sentiment is cautiously optimistic, driven by lower-than-expected US inflation data which has weakened the dollar and fueled hopes of a less aggressive Federal Reserve. This macro improvement is boosting both traditional equities and cryptocurrencies, with Ether notably outperforming Bitcoin following a successful final testnet for its upcoming Merge. Institutional interest remains a key theme with BlackRock launching a spot Bitcoin trust, signaling growing adoption. However, concerns linger regarding potential stablecoin de-pegging events and the ongoing 'crypto winter' narrative.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 60% | Base 30% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.6499999999999999, "key_reason": "A major asset manager like BlackRock offering direct bitcoin exposure is a significant bullish signa"}