News: The market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic following the recent Bitcoin halving, with historical trends suggesting potential upside. Institutional adoption via ETFs continues to be a strong tailwind, driving Bitcoin towards new highs. However, concerns about leverage and potential regulatory scrutiny persist, creating a mixed short-term outlook. The focus remains on the post-halving price action and the continued inflow into Bitcoin ETFs.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 60% | Base 30% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.6499999999999999, "key_reason": "The combination of institutional ETF adoption and the impending halving event creates a powerful bul"}