News: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, institutional adoption of blockchain technology by companies like IBM and the development of merchant payment solutions by Coinbase are positive indicators. However, regulatory warnings from the U.S. Treasury and the arrest of a Bitcoin exchange founder highlight ongoing risks. Short-term, Litecoin is showing strength ahead of its LitePay launch, while Bitcoin faces price pressure and market maturation. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with a focus on technological development and adoption, but tempered by regulatory and security concerns.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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