News: The crypto market is experiencing mixed signals. On the long-term front, positive developments include Brazil's major financial firm launching an exchange and France cutting crypto taxes, indicating growing adoption and regulatory easing. However, Warren Buffett's continued criticism and ongoing regulatory debates, particularly regarding XRP, introduce bearish sentiment and uncertainty. Short-term, the market is pressured by escalating US-China trade tensions leading to a risk-off sentiment, a hack of the Coinrail exchange, and ongoing price declines suggesting Bitcoin has not bottomed. Positive news from the SEC clarifying Ethereum is not a security provided a brief bullish impulse, but overall sentiment remains cautious.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: HOLD
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