News: Bitcoin has maintained its position above $23,000, showing resilience as traders await the Federal Reserve's next move. Positive sentiment is being driven by expectations of a Fed pivot and strong performance in Layer 2 solutions like Polygon's MATIC. However, regulatory uncertainty, highlighted by the White House's call for increased oversight and the denial of a Wyoming crypto bank's Fed application, introduces a degree of caution. The market is also watching for potential contagion effects from past failures, though recent miner activity and institutional interest suggest underlying strength.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 40% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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