News: Long-term sentiment remains bullish, driven by institutional interest (Paul Tudor Jones, Fidelity report) and the ongoing narrative of Bitcoin as an inflation hedge (Bloomberg report). The successful Bitcoin halving continues to underpin supply-side bullishness. Short-term, Bitcoin is consolidating but showing resilience, defending key support levels. The upcoming listing of a Bitcoin ETP on Deutsche Börse and real-world adoption examples like Coca-Cola vending machines add to positive short-term catalysts. However, Bitcoin is approaching a key resistance level, making a breakout crucial for continued upward momentum.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 60% | Base 30% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.6499999999999999, "key_reason": "The Bitcoin halving reduces the supply of new Bitcoin entering the market. Historically, this supply"}