News: The crypto market is experiencing significant downward pressure, mirroring a broader sell-off in US stocks driven by weak consumer data and negative retail earnings outlooks. Bitcoin has fallen below key support levels, with altcoins like Solana and Cardano also seeing substantial declines. While some institutional analysts suggest fears of a 'crypto winter' are overblown, regulatory concerns, highlighted by SEC Chair Gary Gensler's warnings and potential mining moratoriums in New York, add to the bearish sentiment. However, positive developments like Berkshire Hathaway's investment in crypto fintech and expanded crypto payment options by Shopify and Tag Heuer offer glimmers of long-term adoption.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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