News: Bitcoin experienced a volatile weekend, sliding towards three-week lows and struggling to hold key support levels, largely influenced by the looming Bitcoin Cash hard fork and broader market consolidation. Despite some positive news regarding blockchain adoption in traditional finance (HSBC) and institutional interest (Goldman Sachs), the immediate sentiment remains bearish due to technical weakness and potential network uncertainty. Regulatory developments, such as the ECB's call for stricter bank segregation of crypto business and New York's inquiry into exchanges, add to the short-term uncertainty, though they may foster long-term stability.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The breach of key technical support levels and reaching three-week lows indicates strong bearish mom"}