News: The crypto market is experiencing mixed signals. Long-term, institutional adoption and infrastructure development, such as the Ethereum Shanghai upgrade and the growth of Bitcoin ETFs, remain bullish drivers. However, ongoing regulatory scrutiny from the SEC and political rhetoric from figures like President Biden introduce short-term uncertainty and potential bearish sentiment. The Bitcoin conference is also a focal point, with political figures like RFK Jr. offering support, which could provide a minor bullish boost.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The successful Shanghai upgrade enhances Ethereum's utility and scalability, removing a key uncertai"}