News: Bitcoin is experiencing price stagnation near key support levels, with traders closely watching upcoming US PCE inflation data for direction. A bearish sentiment is prevalent, with potential for further declines if support breaks. However, positive developments in institutional adoption, such as progress on Ethereum ETFs and political endorsements, offer underlying bullish signals for the longer term. The market remains sensitive to macroeconomic indicators and leveraged positions.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs and the halving event are significant long-term catalysts. These f"}