News: The crypto market is seeing mixed signals. Long-term, institutional adoption continues to be a positive driver, with partnerships like Ripple and MoneyGram, and banks exploring blockchain. However, concerns around Bitcoin's environmental impact and regulatory scrutiny on illicit activities like ransomware payments persist. Short-term, the focus is on regulatory discussions, with Trump's comments and McAfee's response, alongside news of potential EU ATM regulations, creating uncertainty. The expansion of Lightning Network for retail payments offers a bullish short-term catalyst.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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