News: Bitcoin experienced a volatile trading day, showing initial strength and breaking resistance levels before pulling back. CME futures volume surged, indicating increased institutional interest supporting the recent rally. However, a 5% dip in Bitcoin price and news of a crypto fund shutting down introduce bearish short-term signals. The upcoming halving continues to be a key factor influencing miner sentiment and hardware pricing.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The lifting of the banking ban in India removes a major hurdle for crypto adoption and trading. This"}