News: Bitcoin experienced volatility today, influenced by mixed signals from macroeconomic data and Fed commentary. While US equities showed some resilience on Powell's hints of rate cuts, the crypto market saw mixed performance. Bitcoin Cash's halving event caused price swings, and a high funding rate suggests potential for further short-term pullbacks. Meanwhile, ARK Invest's Bitcoin ETF saw significant outflows, contrasting with the long-term bullish trend driven by institutional adoption via ETFs.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The increasing holdings by spot Bitcoin ETFs signify substantial institutional capital entering the "}