News: The market is showing mixed signals today. Long-term, regulatory developments in Wyoming and Indonesia, along with institutional interest via an Ethereum ETP listing in Switzerland, provide a bullish backdrop. However, short-term sentiment is being weighed down by reports of widespread wash trading on unregulated exchanges and the potential selling pressure from Mt. Gox creditors. Bitcoin has also slipped back below $4,000, indicating technical weakness. Macroeconomic factors, like the Fed's stance, add to the uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "State-level regulatory clarity in the US is a significant step towards broader institutional adoptio"}