News: The crypto market is showing mixed signals. Bitcoin is holding around $11,000 after a volatile weekend, with mixed price action compared to other majors. Regulatory developments, particularly from Russia moving towards regulation and positive tones from US Senate hearings, offer long-term bullish potential. However, rising US mortgage rates and hawkish Fed sentiment present short-term headwinds. Altcoins like Bitcoin Cash are showing bearish signs after failing to break resistance, indicating potential for broader market weakness. The continued adoption of blockchain technology by traditional industries provides a supportive backdrop.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "A major economy like Russia moving towards regulation rather than a ban signals a growing acceptance"}