News: Bitcoin is trading near critical support levels around $32,000, influenced by a global risk-off sentiment stemming from higher-than-expected US inflation data. Rising bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike are adding to the bearish pressure, while gold shows resilience. Positive developments include continued growth in the Lightning Network and institutional interest in crypto debit cards, but these are overshadowed by macro concerns in the short term. Regulatory scrutiny remains a key factor, with Senator Warren's inquiry to the SEC highlighting ongoing oversight discussions.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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