News: Bitcoin is consolidating around the $40,000 mark, showing signs of stabilization after recent declines, with some analysts pointing to potential seasonal strength in April/May. However, persistent macroeconomic fears, including inflation and potential recession, continue to weigh on the market, leading to significant losses in meme coins. A major DeFi exploit further adds to security concerns. Despite the bearish macro backdrop, the anticipation of a spot Bitcoin ETF and positive developments like AMC accepting crypto payments offer pockets of bullish sentiment, while specific altcoins are being watched for potential short-term gains.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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