News: Bitcoin experienced a mixed day, showing resilience with a notable rally on Thursday, breaking key resistance levels, but faltered slightly as global markets reacted to rising US-China tensions. Despite negative commentary from institutions like Goldman Sachs, trader conviction appears strong, suggesting underlying bullish sentiment. However, upcoming CME futures expiry and geopolitical risks introduce significant short-term volatility. Long-term, developments in regulatory compliance, institutional adoption via new derivatives, and retail accessibility through payment apps continue to build a positive outlook.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 30% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "Bitcoin's ability to rally amidst significant global economic contraction suggests a decoupling from"}