News: The crypto market remains under pressure, with Bitcoin struggling to hold above $20,000 amid growing recession fears fueled by weak consumer confidence data from the US and Eurozone. Negative news from major crypto lenders like Genesis, facing significant losses due to exposure to Three Arrows Capital, is exacerbating contagion fears and liquidity concerns. Despite these headwinds, MicroStrategy continues its accumulation strategy, signaling a persistent bullish conviction from a key institutional player. Regulatory developments, such as Russia easing crypto taxes, are noted but have limited immediate global impact.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: HOLD
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