News: The market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with long-term indicators like the 'golden cross' suggesting a potential bullish trend continuation. Institutional interest is evident through growing AUC at Coinbase Custody and strategic asset acquisition for Bakkt. However, short-term price action for major altcoins (BCH, LTC, XRP) shows choppiness and failure to break resistance, indicating consolidation. Legal uncertainties surrounding Craig Wright continue to add a layer of volatility. The development of new infrastructure like HTC's full-node smartphone and Square's crypto team are positive long-term adoption signals.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 50% | Base 30% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The endorsement of a well-known billionaire investor like Novogratz carries significant weight, sign"}