News: Bitcoin remains in a consolidation phase, trading between key support and resistance levels. Institutional adoption continues with companies like Meitu and MicroStrategy making significant purchases, reinforcing the long-term bullish narrative. However, concerns about Bitcoin's environmental impact and geopolitical narratives from figures like Peter Thiel introduce short-term bearish sentiment and regulatory uncertainty. Technical indicators suggest a potential breakout is imminent, but the direction remains unclear.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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