News: The crypto market is showing mixed signals today. El Salvador's President Bukele's re-election is a positive, albeit minor, signal for Bitcoin adoption. However, the adoption of spot Bitcoin ETFs is facing a temporary slowdown due to institutional due diligence, potentially impacting inflows. Miner updates from Argo Blockchain show a decrease in production, while Marathon Digital and Riot Platforms report mixed operational results, with some stock declines noted in January. Analyst Markus Thielen offers a bullish $70K Bitcoin target for year-end, citing macro factors and ETF demand. Conversely, rising interest rates and hawkish Fed commentary from Chair Powell are creating headwinds, leading to a slip in Bitcoin prices and declines in crypto-related stocks. Genesis's proposed asset sale could introduce selling pressure.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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