News: Bitcoin is consolidating in a tight range ($6,700-$7,400) as the market awaits clearer direction, despite significant global monetary stimulus. The options market shows skepticism about the immediate impact of the upcoming halving, while regulatory bodies like the FSB are issuing warnings about stablecoins. In the mining sector, Bitmain's partial refunds to customers highlight pressure on miner profitability. However, positive developments include India lifting its crypto ban and Kraken's planned expansion, signaling growing adoption in emerging markets.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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