News: Bitcoin experienced a significant pullback on August 18th, reversing earlier gains and breaking key support levels, indicating short-term bearish sentiment. This price action, coupled with news of regulatory enforcement against crypto fraud and a decrease in carry trade yields impacting stablecoin demand, suggests a cautious outlook. However, long-term indicators remain positive with institutional adoption and network security improvements.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 35% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "MicroStrategy's substantial investment validates Bitcoin as a corporate treasury asset, attracting f"}