News: Bitcoin experienced a significant downturn over the weekend, closing Sunday down 1.8% and marking a substantial weekly loss of nearly 20%. The price has fallen below the critical $10,000 level, with analysts attributing the crash partly to the disappointing launch of Bakkt. Meanwhile, regulatory clarity is being sought as major exchanges collaborate to rate crypto assets for securities classification, introducing an element of uncertainty. On a positive note, institutional interest is growing with VanEck's ETF-like product and increased open interest on BitMEX, while Lightning Network adoption is being simplified.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The ability to purchase Bitcoin with a credit card directly on the Lightning Network significantly l"}