News: The market sentiment appears cautiously optimistic, driven by positive developments in the mining sector (scrapped tax, increased production) and the launch of institutional derivatives. However, ongoing regulatory uncertainty from the SEC and negative media narratives around energy consumption present headwinds. The anticipation of CPI data and the Shapella upgrade also adds to short-term uncertainty. Overall, the short-term outlook is mixed but leans slightly bullish due to institutional product launches and favorable mining news.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 40% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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