News: The dominant narrative today is BlackRock's filing for a spot Bitcoin ETF, which has injected significant bullish sentiment into the market, driving prices up and liquidating short positions. This institutional interest is a major positive catalyst. However, ongoing regulatory actions by the SEC against major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance continue to cast a shadow, creating uncertainty for altcoins and the broader market. The Fed's pause on interest rate hikes offers some macro support, but regulatory clarity remains the key factor for sustained growth.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 60% | Base 30% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
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