News: The market sentiment appears mixed today. While there's positive news regarding institutional interest and infrastructure development (TD Ameritrade backing ErisX), bearish commentary from Michael Novogratz about Bitcoin's year-end price target and reports of bot manipulation are creating headwinds. Low Bitcoin volume remains a concern, contributing to a general bearish short-term outlook, despite some positive long-term signals like increasing hashrates and corporate blockchain adoption.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The involvement of a major investment bank like Goldman Sachs in crypto custody is a strong signal o"}