News: Bitcoin is trading flat, showing resilience against a strengthening dollar but also sliding back towards $26K as macro jitters and rising interest rates trigger a renewed correlation with declining U.S. equities. The SEC's repeated delays on spot Bitcoin ETF applications for Ark and Global X, coupled with JPMorgan Chase UK restricting crypto transactions, add to short-term bearish sentiment and regulatory uncertainty. However, political pressure from House lawmakers to approve ETFs offers a glimmer of bullish hope. A minor concern arose from Marathon Digital mining an invalid block, but its impact is expected to be minimal.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The launch of a Bitcoin fund by a major financial institution like Nomura signals growing institutio"}