News: Bitcoin shows signs of a potential bullish trend reversal with a high-volume breakout from a falling wedge pattern, targeting $3.8K. Positive developments include Jack Dorsey's commitment to Lightning Network integration in Cash App and a new ETF proposal combining Bitcoin futures with sovereign debt, signaling growing institutional interest. However, macro headwinds persist with Nobel laureate Paul Krugman warning of a global recession, which could introduce volatility. SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce's comments suggest a more nuanced regulatory approach, potentially easing concerns around ETF approvals.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
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