News: Bitcoin's price action remains range-bound, struggling to break key resistance levels despite some positive short-term indicators like increased merchant adoption for XRP and regulatory clarity in the UK. However, bearish sentiment from influential figures like Ray Dalio and ongoing SEC enforcement actions create headwinds. The market appears to be in a consolidation phase, with anticipation building for the halving event, suggesting a potential accumulation period.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "A rising hash rate signifies a more secure and robust network, often correlating with increased mine"}