News: The market sentiment is mixed, with strong positive signals from Ethereum's record highs and DeFi growth, suggesting overall crypto market bullishness. However, Bitcoin is showing signs of faltering after hitting technical resistance, and negative commentary from prominent figures like Charlie Munger introduces a bearish undertone. Meanwhile, institutional developments like BNY Mellon's involvement in a Bitcoin ETF and Venmo's crypto integration continue to point towards long-term adoption, while news of DeFi exploits introduces short-term risk.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 50% | Base 30% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "A major e-commerce player like Shopify exploring DeFi and crypto payments, especially Lightning, cou"}