News: Bitcoin experienced a slight uptick, trading above $23,000, buoyed by Fed Chair Powell's comments suggesting the disinflationary process has begun. This macro sentiment is positive, but tempered by ongoing industry-specific headwinds. The Ordinals protocol continues to drive development and adoption, while news of hacks and regulatory investigations (e.g., Kraken) introduce short-term uncertainty. The market is also digesting reports of DCG selling Grayscale shares, indicating potential liquidity pressures.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 40% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The bankruptcy of a major lender like Genesis signals systemic risk and can lead to further delevera"}