News: Bitcoin has fallen back below the $30,000 mark, indicating waning bullish momentum and a resurgence of bearish sentiment, partly fueled by fears of global central bank tightening. Ether also saw significant short liquidations, suggesting broader market deleveraging. However, positive developments include the launch of Bitcoin and Ether ETFs in Australia, signaling continued institutional interest, and ongoing investment in Lightning Network infrastructure. The dollar's dip on hopes of peaking inflation offers a slight counter-narrative, but the immediate outlook remains cautious.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The development and adoption of the Lightning Network directly address Bitcoin's scalability limitat"}