News: The market is showing mixed signals. Long-term, the anticipation of Federal Reserve rate cuts and increasing institutional adoption via ETFs remain strong bullish drivers. However, short-term, the upcoming US presidential election introduces significant regulatory uncertainty, potentially leading to volatility. Analysts are divided on the immediate impact of potential rate cuts, with some warning of a bearish reaction if economic distress is signaled. Despite this, historical seasonal trends and positive ETF inflows offer some short-term bullish support.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 50% | Base 30% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "Bitcoin's fixed supply is increasingly recognized as a key characteristic for hedging against inflat"}