News: The market sentiment remains cautious, influenced by ongoing macroeconomic concerns and a strengthening dollar, which typically pressures risk assets like Bitcoin. While there are long-term bullish indicators such as increasing adoption for wealth preservation and significant protocol upgrades like Ethereum's Merge, the immediate outlook is tempered by potential rate hikes and a general risk-off sentiment in traditional markets. New token launches introduce speculative activity but lack immediate broad market impact.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The launch of a Bitcoin ETF under a different regulatory framework could pave the way for more innov"}