News: The market sentiment remains mixed, with long-term indicators pointing towards continued institutional adoption and potential macro tailwinds, particularly around the halving's supply shock and political shifts. Short-term, however, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, exacerbated by significant Bitcoin ETF outflows. Despite this, positive developments in Ethereum ETF anticipation and broader crypto infrastructure, like Stripe's re-entry and Bitcoin L2 scaling solutions, offer pockets of bullish sentiment. The intersection of mining with AI also presents an interesting new dynamic.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The article emphasizes Bitcoin's strong historical performance and suggests continued upside potenti"}