News: The cryptocurrency market remains volatile, with Bitcoin struggling to hold the $10,000 level amidst ongoing regulatory concerns from the SEC regarding ETFs and reports of illicit use. However, positive developments like Robinhood's zero-fee crypto trading and increased interest in blockchain ETFs offer glimmers of potential retail adoption and renewed investor attention. Geopolitical factors, such as Iran's cryptocurrency development, add to the complex landscape, while the failure of new forks like Litecoin Cash highlights market selectivity.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "sideways", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The SEC's cautious stance on crypto ETFs is a major roadblock for institutional adoption. Delays or "}