News: Today's market sentiment is mixed, with weak economic data (PMI, home sales) creating conflicting signals. While some data suggests a potential slowdown, leading to a 'risk-off' mood and bearish outlook for Bitcoin (evidenced by CME futures discounts and analyst downgrades for miners), there are also signs of potential investor accumulation and the launch of new crypto products (Ripio card). Technical indicators for Bitcoin are also flashing mixed signals, with some suggesting further downside but others having a history of trapping sellers.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "High inflation figures, particularly in major economies, increase the likelihood of aggressive monet"}