News: Bitcoin and Ether are showing slight gains, mirroring a cautious optimism in traditional markets as investors await Fed Chair Powell's speech at Jackson Hole. However, significant discounts in CME Bitcoin futures and warnings from legal bodies about Bitcoin transactions suggest underlying bearish sentiment. The Mastercard-Binance partnership offers a bullish adoption narrative, but macroeconomic uncertainty and potential regulatory scrutiny remain key concerns.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "This partnership represents a significant step towards mainstream adoption of Bitcoin for everyday t"}