News: Bitcoin showed resilience on Saturday, recovering from recent losses and trading within a tight range, with resistance at $10,500. Positive sentiment in traditional markets, driven by U.S.-China trade talks and Fed comments, provides a slight bullish tailwind. However, the inability to break key resistance levels suggests potential short-term consolidation. Long-term, institutional adoption signals like Fidelity's charity expansion and Square's strong Bitcoin revenue remain positive, while regulatory uncertainty from U.S. presidential statements poses a bearish risk.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 40% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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