News: Long-term sentiment remains bullish, driven by sustained institutional inflows into ETPs and positive developments regarding spot Bitcoin ETF applications, particularly BlackRock's refiling with Coinbase. However, short-term signals are mixed, with mixed US inflation data creating macro uncertainty and a surge in Shiba Inu open interest potentially diverting retail attention from Bitcoin. Bitcoin is also showing signs of short-term profit-taking, dipping below $30,000, which could lead to further consolidation.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "A record high in long-term holder supply indicates strong conviction and reduced selling pressure fr"}