News: Bitcoin's 10th anniversary is marked by a largely stable market, with key technical levels being tested. The ongoing bear market sentiment is reinforced by a year-on-year loss and bearish predictions from industry leaders like the BitMEX CEO. However, positive developments like regulatory approvals for stablecoins in New York and simplified KYC processes in Australia offer glimmers of long-term adoption potential. The market awaits the monthly close for directional cues, with a critical support level at the 21-month EMA.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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