News: The crypto market is showing mixed signals today. On the long-term front, institutional interest is growing with Polychain Capital reaching a $1 billion fund and Robinhood planning a crypto wallet, indicating positive adoption trends. However, cautionary notes from figures like Bill Gates and economist Robert Shiller, alongside restrictive regulations in Zimbabwe, highlight ongoing skepticism and regulatory hurdles. Short-term, a general 'risk-off' sentiment in broader markets due to trade war fears could pressure crypto prices. Positive developments include the launch of a Bitcoin ATM in South Africa and potential tax policy changes in Japan, suggesting increased accessibility and a more favorable environment. However, concerns about Bitcoin's price finding a bottom and limited utility for payment-focused crypto could lead to short-term volatility.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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