News: The market sentiment heading into the new year is mixed. Long-term, the increasing discussion around CBDCs and institutional adoption via ETFs (despite recent SEC denials) suggests a maturing crypto landscape. However, concerns about inflation and regulatory hurdles remain. Short-term, Grayscale's declining AUM indicates potential institutional outflows, while the general year-end recap articles provide context but little immediate price direction. The market appears to be consolidating, awaiting clearer macro signals.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "Rising inflation is a key macroeconomic factor that can drive investors towards alternative assets l"}