News: The market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with geopolitical tensions easing and some positive regulatory signals emerging. Long-term, the focus is on institutional adoption and the evolving narrative around Bitcoin as a store of value, while short-term price action is influenced by broader market sentiment and technicals. The ongoing discussion around Bitcoin's energy consumption and the impact of global tax policies are key factors to monitor.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 40% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "The issuance of a Bitcoin-backed bond by a sovereign nation is a significant step in legitimizing Bi"}