News: Bitcoin remains range-bound below $20,000, awaiting clearer macroeconomic signals. Positive on-chain data suggests accumulation, while the upcoming Ethereum Merge is a key bullish catalyst for ETH. However, liquidity issues at major mining pool Poolin and ongoing regulatory concerns from U.S. congressmen introduce bearish short-term risks. The worsening European energy crisis also adds to macro headwinds.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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