News: The market sentiment is leaning towards risk-on, with stocks rallying and the dollar weakening, fueled by hopes of a Fed pivot and potential easing of China's COVID restrictions. This positive macro environment is generally supportive of Bitcoin. However, ongoing concerns about inflation and geopolitical tensions (Ukraine war) introduce a degree of uncertainty. News of crypto scams and regulatory developments in the UK add to the mixed signals. The upcoming US CPI data will be a key catalyst for short-term price action.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 30% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
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