News: The crypto market is reacting to significant regulatory news, particularly the Binance settlement and the resignation of its CEO, CZ. This event, coupled with mixed signals from global markets and the Federal Reserve minutes, creates a complex short-term outlook. While the resolution of the Binance issue might remove some uncertainty, the broader regulatory crackdown and macroeconomic caution could lead to volatility. Long-term, the continued progress on spot Bitcoin ETFs and institutional adoption remains a strong bullish driver.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 45% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The Binance settlement and CEO's guilty plea represent a major regulatory event. While the resolutio"}