News: The market is closing out 2024 with a mixed sentiment. While Bitcoin has seen significant gains throughout the year, driven by ETF approvals and 'Trump euphoria,' recent news suggests this rally is losing steam as the year ends. MicroStrategy's sharp price correction after its Nasdaq-100 inclusion highlights short-term volatility. Macroeconomic factors, including potential Fed rate cut adjustments and political shifts under a 'Trump 2.0' administration, are creating uncertainty. However, significant institutional accumulation, like Tether's large Bitcoin purchase, provides underlying support. The focus remains on how these macro and political narratives will shape asset flows into the new year.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The milestone of Bitcoin exceeding $100,000, coupled with political tailwinds from a pro-crypto admi"}