News: Bitcoin remains in a low-volatility consolidation phase, with key resistance at $6,449. Bitcoin Cash, however, is showing strong bullish momentum, surging over 12% due to its upcoming hard fork and exchange support, with Coinbase announcing its backing. Macroeconomic concerns, such as the widening US trade deficit and the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, pose potential bearish headwinds for risk assets. Legal disputes involving early crypto figures like Charlie Shrem could introduce short-term uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Bitcoin Cash's significant price surge, driven by anticipation of its hard fork and support from maj"}