News: Bitcoin is showing signs of consolidation, holding key support at $3,900, but technical indicators like MACD suggest the recent rally may be losing steam, pointing to potential short-term bearish pressure. Long-term, institutional interest remains a key driver, with the SEC reviewing ETF proposals and major companies like Starbucks exploring crypto payments, signaling positive adoption trends. However, regulatory developments, such as potential strict rules in Texas, introduce uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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