News: The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate hike was largely priced in, with market focus shifting to forward guidance. Bitcoin remained relatively stable around $28,600. Positive developments include increased Bitcoin transaction volume driven by Ordinals and BRC-20 tokens, signaling growing network utility. However, a proposed 30% tax on crypto mining electricity could increase operational costs for miners, potentially impacting hash rates. Concerns about the banking sector, highlighted by PacWest's struggles, continue to drive safe-haven flows into Bitcoin, while a depegging event for TrueUSD introduces stablecoin-related risks.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 50% | Base 30% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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