News: Bitcoin experienced a mixed Saturday, failing to break through the $9,700 resistance level, indicating short-term consolidation. Long-term sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, driven by institutional adoption news like the TSX listing of a Bitcoin fund and the launch of a Bitcoin 401(k) plan. The upcoming halving's impact is still a key bullish driver, while broader socio-political narratives around financial sovereignty could also support adoption.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "The listing of a regulated, closed-end Bitcoin fund on a major stock exchange like the TSX is a stro"}