News: The crypto market is showing mixed signals today. Fidelity's launch of commission-free retail trading for Bitcoin and Ethereum is a significant bullish development for adoption and liquidity. However, Coinbase's earnings miss, Block's drop in Bitcoin revenue, and the UK's new crypto ad regulations introduce bearish elements. The Federal Reserve's rate hike is also weighing on sentiment, causing Bitcoin and Ether to fall. Despite the bearish macro backdrop, consistent investor buying on dips and Ethereum's resurgence offer some positive counter-narratives.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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