News: The market shows mixed signals today. Bitcoin is finding support despite geopolitical tensions, indicating resilience, but faces resistance at key technical levels, suggesting potential short-term consolidation. Institutional inflows are returning to Bitcoin, while Ethereum sees outflows, pointing to a rotation. Regulatory developments in Brazil and Mexico offer a bullish outlook for regional adoption, while El Salvador's experiment continues to draw international scrutiny. The Terra ecosystem received a significant boost with a $1 billion reserve for UST, potentially stabilizing LUNA. However, derivatives data suggest Bitcoin may not be out of the woods yet, and a ransom demand in crypto highlights ongoing illicit use concerns.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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