News: The crypto market sentiment remains cautious, influenced by ongoing macroeconomic concerns and the upcoming Ethereum Merge. While institutional interest continues to be debated, the potential for a contentious hard fork during the Merge introduces short-term volatility. Broader market weakness in tech stocks, driven by interest rate fears, also casts a bearish shadow. However, positive developments like institutional validation of blockchain technology and potential easing of inflation provide underlying bullish signals for the longer term.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Tesla's decision to sell a substantial portion of its Bitcoin holdings can be interpreted as a beari"}