News: Bitcoin experienced a slight dip, failing to break key resistance levels, indicating short-term bearish sentiment. Geopolitical events in Hong Kong are subtly increasing demand for crypto as a hedge, while broader macro concerns around the U.S. economy and Fed policy are creating uncertainty. The lack of strong upward momentum in Bitcoin and altcoins suggests a cautious market environment. Institutional interest remains a long-term positive, but immediate price action is subdued.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 45% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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