News: Bitcoin showed some resilience over the weekend, breaking through a short-term resistance level, but remains stalled below its 100-day moving average, indicating indecision. Macroeconomic factors like the US-China trade war continue to create market uncertainty, favoring safe-haven assets like gold. Regulatory developments, such as Singapore's proposed VAT exemption and positive sentiment from industry leaders, offer long-term bullish signals, while the growth of the Lightning Network improves scalability. However, immediate technicals suggest potential for a short-term pullback.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The narrative of Bitcoin as a digital gold or safe-haven asset is crucial for attracting institution"}