News: The market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with major stock indices hitting new records, suggesting a continued risk-on environment that benefits Bitcoin. However, concerns about MicroStrategy's valuation and regulatory scrutiny on exchanges like KuCoin introduce some short-term uncertainty. The looming Bitcoin halving event is also a key factor, expected to increase volatility in the coming days. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs are picking up again, reinforcing the bullish long-term outlook, while options expiry presents a short-term volatility catalyst.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "The approval and subsequent strong performance of Bitcoin spot ETFs by major asset managers like Bla"}