News: The market faces significant downward pressure from the impending Mt. Gox payouts, potentially flooding the market with supply and crashing prices. Meanwhile, a large dormant Bitcoin wallet has become active, adding to the uncertainty. Bitcoin Cash shows continued weakness, while Bitcoin itself experienced a choppy week with a late sell-off, indicating potential for further declines. The overall sentiment is cautious, with a looming SEC ETF decision adding another layer of uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 25% | Base 40% | Bear 35%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "down", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The impending payout of a large volume of Bitcoin from Mt. Gox represents a significant supply shock"}