News: Bitcoin shows signs of a technical breakout, potentially retesting highs above $13,000, supported by a narrative of it being a safe-haven asset amidst global trade tensions. However, regulatory uncertainty persists, with the UK providing guidance but also proposing retail derivative bans. Institutional interest remains a key driver, with figures like Tim Draper continuing to advocate for Bitcoin and new infrastructure like Blockstream's mining facility launching. Meanwhile, localized banking restrictions in Israel highlight ongoing friction points.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.6000000000000001, "key_reason": "The strong negative sentiment and calls for a moratorium from US lawmakers signal a high likelihood "}