News: The crypto market is showing signs of stabilization with Bitcoin trading above $21,000, driven by a potential shift in miner behavior towards accumulation and a slight recovery in altcoins. However, persistent macroeconomic fears, particularly recession risks highlighted by major financial institutions, continue to temper optimism. Regulatory scrutiny on staking and lending, alongside the launch of a short Bitcoin ETF, adds to short-term uncertainty. The upcoming testimony of Fed Chair Powell is a key event that could significantly influence market direction.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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