News: Bitcoin is showing mixed signals today, struggling to gain bullish momentum while facing headwinds from potential Mt. Gox distributions and regulatory uncertainty. However, positive long-term developments are emerging, with institutional interest growing, as evidenced by BlackRock surpassing Grayscale in ETF AUM and major banks like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley increasing their Bitcoin ETF holdings. Donald Trump's evolving stance and potential policy shifts continue to be a significant bullish factor for the long term, impacting crypto stocks and mining operations. Short-term, mining profitability is low, and leveraged traders face risks, contributing to a cautious market sentiment.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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