News: The macro environment remains a key driver, with a strengthening US Dollar and hawkish Federal Reserve policy suggesting a risk-off sentiment that could pressure Bitcoin. Long-term, the ongoing debate and progress around Bitcoin ETFs continue to be a significant factor for institutional adoption. Meanwhile, regulatory developments in India highlight the persistent challenges in achieving clear legal frameworks. The market is exhibiting low short-term volatility, indicating a potential consolidation phase before a directional move.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The SEC's repeated rejection of Bitcoin ETFs signals a significant regulatory roadblock. This direct"}