News: The crypto market is showing mixed signals today. Bitcoin is trading sideways, hovering around $3,800, with attention focused on the upcoming Ethereum Constantinople hard fork, which is expected to reduce ETH supply and potentially boost market sentiment. Positive news from Square regarding its Bitcoin revenue and the ongoing efforts for a Bitcoin ETF filing provide some bullish undercurrents. However, broader market sentiment remains cautious, with the Dow Jones fluctuating, indicating potential macro influences.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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