News: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, the approval of Hong Kong ETFs and institutional interest from BlackRock in Ethereum are strong bullish indicators. The upcoming Bitcoin halving also remains a key long-term bullish catalyst. Short-term, a 'meme coin supercycle' narrative is emerging, potentially driving speculative activity, while a regulatory bill targeting mining in North Carolina introduces localized bearish sentiment. Renewed investor confidence is also noted in recent price surges for BTC and ETH.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 60% | Base 30% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.625, "key_reason": "The approval of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong is a significant step towards broader in"}