News: The market is showing mixed signals today. Long-term, institutional adoption continues to be a driving force, with news of clearing houses and auditing software from major firms like PwC signaling growing infrastructure. Macro concerns from the US-China trade war are creating a bearish short-term sentiment, while Bitcoin's price action is consolidating in a tight range, indicating potential for a breakout. The upcoming Bitcoin halving is a subtle bullish factor for the medium term. Regulatory news from the CFTC regarding a departing official adds a layer of uncertainty to short-term price movements.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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