News: Global markets are showing signs of recovery, with stocks climbing and the dollar weakening, suggesting a potential shift towards risk-on sentiment. Bitcoin has also seen a notable price increase, breaking above $24,000, driven by easing bond yields and anticipation of inflation data. However, continued stress in the crypto lending sector, exemplified by Hodlnaut's withdrawal suspension and the ongoing fallout from Three Arrows Capital's default, presents significant headwinds. Regulatory actions, such as the U.S. sanctioning of Tornado Cash, add another layer of uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The bankruptcy of a major crypto lender like Celsius highlights systemic risks and contagion within "}