News: Bitcoin experienced a volatile trading day, with a sharp intraday pump followed by a slip, indicating ongoing indecision. The weakening correlation with traditional safe-haven assets like gold suggests a shift in market narrative. Meanwhile, positive developments in institutional adoption, such as pension fund investments and the IPO of a mining hardware manufacturer, alongside regulatory innovation in Wyoming, provide long-term bullish signals. The upcoming sale of a crypto-friendly smartphone and the appointment of Bakkt's CEO to the US Senate are also noteworthy.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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