News: Bitcoin is struggling to maintain the $11,000 level amid low trading volumes, indicating a lack of strong conviction. Broader market sentiment is cautious due to fears of a trade war and significant stock market declines, which typically lead to a risk-off environment. Negative news regarding altcoin performance and the emergence of fake cryptocurrencies further contribute to a bearish short-term outlook. However, regulatory developments in Wyoming and the increasing political adoption of crypto offer some long-term bullish signals.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "A weakening U.S. dollar often correlates with increased demand for alternative assets like Bitcoin, "}