News: The crypto market remains in a precarious state, with Bitcoin struggling to maintain momentum above $4,000 despite a Friday rally. Long-term, institutional adoption signals from the NYSE Chairman offer a bullish outlook, contrasting with the ongoing bearish sentiment from retail investor exits and market crashes. Short-term, volatility persists, with altcoins like Bitcoin Cash ABC showing sharp but potentially unsustainable moves. The legal battle involving Craig Wright adds a layer of uncertainty, while adoption in regions like Venezuela provides a glimmer of fundamental support.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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