News: The market shows a mixed picture with strong underlying bullish sentiment for Bitcoin, evidenced by expert predictions and institutional adoption news. However, short-term volatility persists, with some negative sentiment and regulatory concerns (Binance DEX geoblocking, ex-SEC official's comments) creating headwinds. The Lightning Network's real-world test and technical improvements like Erlay offer positive catalysts, while recent price action indicates resilience after a dip.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 30% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
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