News: Bitcoin is showing signs of stalling near key resistance levels, with technical indicators suggesting potential short-term downside. The market is grappling with the aftermath of China's mining crackdown, which is improving miner profitability elsewhere, and ongoing regulatory scrutiny from bodies like FinCEN. Meanwhile, institutional adoption continues with Ark Invest filing for a Bitcoin ETF and Betterment considering crypto offerings, signaling long-term bullish potential despite short-term volatility. El Salvador's adoption of Bitcoin as legal tender remains a significant long-term bullish catalyst.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "El Salvador's adoption of Bitcoin as legal tender is a monumental event for cryptocurrency adoption."}