News: Bitcoin is experiencing downward pressure, trading below $50,000, influenced by macro concerns like the Evergrande default and ongoing regulatory scrutiny in China. However, positive developments such as MicroStrategy's continued BTC accumulation and the strong recovery of the Bitcoin hashrate offer some counterbalancing bullish signals. Institutional interest remains a key driver, with companies like Ledger launching crypto-linked cards and Ripple expanding its liquidity services, indicating continued adoption trends.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The launch of a Bitcoin Futures ETF represents a major step towards mainstream adoption and institut"}