News: Today's market sentiment is cautiously optimistic, driven by positive regulatory news from China regarding Bitcoin mining and the ongoing integration of crypto into mainstream financial services like Square's Cash App. While Bitcoin experienced a slight pullback, the underlying bullish trend remains intact, supported by strong retail adoption and institutional interest in regulatory clarity from hubs like Hong Kong. The halving narrative continues to underpin long-term bullish sentiment.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "The Fed's balance sheet expansion is a macro tailwind for risk assets, including Bitcoin. Coupled wi"}