News: Bitcoin's short-term trend has turned bearish, ending a four-week winning streak and showing signs of weakness after failing to break key resistance levels. Miners face reduced revenue post-halving, potentially increasing selling pressure. However, long-term factors like unlimited QE and increasing institutional infrastructure remain bullish catalysts. Square's involvement in stimulus programs adds to positive adoption narratives.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Unlimited quantitative easing by major central banks can devalue fiat currencies and increase inflat"}