News: The market sentiment is mixed, with positive developments in institutional adoption via Australian ETFs and Robinhood's expansion potentially driving short-term bullishness for BTC and ETH. However, macro headwinds from tightening monetary policy and Bitcoin trading like an 'overpriced tech stock' suggest a bearish undertone. Regulatory actions, like the SEC's minor win against Ripple, add to short-term volatility. The Luna Foundation Guard's significant BTC purchase remains a strong long-term bullish signal.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The narrative of Bitcoin becoming a reserve currency, as predicted by a key early adopter, suggests "}