News: The market is abuzz with anticipation for the upcoming Bitcoin halving, with search interest reaching fever pitch and price hovering near $10,000. Institutional interest is growing, evidenced by the successful $48M offering of the Bitcoin Fund on the TSX and the potential allocation by macro investor Paul Tudor Jones. However, macroeconomic headwinds from US-China trade tensions and internal struggles at Bitmain introduce uncertainty. Retail adoption is also showing strength with Coinstar expanding its Bitcoin ATM network. The high percentage of profitable holders ahead of the halving presents a mixed signal, with potential for profit-taking.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
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