News: The market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, the approval of Bakkt's trust license and potential institutional adoption via Coinbase's acquisition of Xapo are strong bullish indicators. However, short-term technicals for Bitcoin remain bearish, with price defending support but facing resistance. Macroeconomic sentiment is cautiously optimistic due to easing recession fears, but regulatory reminders from FinCEN and Coinbase's Zcash delisting highlight ongoing compliance challenges.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The NYDFS approval for Bakkt's trust license is a significant regulatory milestone, directly enablin"}