News: Geopolitical tensions surrounding Russia and Ukraine continue to drive market volatility, impacting both traditional and crypto markets. The euro is weakening against the dollar due to stagflation fears, while commodity currencies are strengthening. In crypto, while some analysts expect bearish sentiment to fade, Bitcoin is drifting lower. However, positive developments include increased crypto donations for Ukraine and significant adoption news like Lugano making Bitcoin de facto legal tender, suggesting underlying resilience and growing use cases.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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