News: Bitcoin's price action is currently influenced by the anticipation of the upcoming halving event, which is a strong bullish catalyst. However, broader macroeconomic concerns, such as rising oil prices due to Middle East tensions and a potential slide in the S&P 500 amid inflation worries, introduce bearish pressures. The mixed signals suggest a period of consolidation or increased volatility as the market digests these competing factors.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The crossing of the $1 trillion market cap signifies significant capital deployment into Bitcoin, pr"}