News: The market is experiencing mixed signals today. On the long-term front, institutional interest is growing with Northern Trust offering services and Square patenting payment networks, suggesting increasing adoption. However, the SEC's continued rejection of Bitcoin ETFs presents a short-term regulatory headwind. Tom Lee's optimistic price target offers a sentiment boost, while negative commentary from a former PayPal CEO introduces some FUD. Japan is tightening exchange regulations, adding to regulatory uncertainty, and Thailand plans to seize crypto from criminals, indicating increased global enforcement.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The involvement of a large, established custodian like Northern Trust is a significant indicator of "}