News: The long-term outlook remains bullish, primarily driven by sustained institutional interest in Bitcoin spot ETFs, with analysts increasing approval odds. MicroStrategy's positive outlook and filings from TradFi giants like Direxion further support this sentiment. In the short term, Elon Musk's denial of a Twitter crypto token launch has minimal impact. However, unconfirmed rumors of SBF executing a rug pull on Coinbase's Base L2 could introduce minor bearish sentiment. Overall, the market appears to be consolidating, with long-term institutional catalysts outweighing short-term speculative noise.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 60% | Base 30% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.6499999999999999, "key_reason": "BlackRock's substantial assets under management and high ETF approval rate make its Bitcoin spot ETF"}