News: The market shows mixed signals. Long-term, institutional adoption is a key theme with JPMorgan's coin and Samsung's potential wallet integration, while regulatory clarity remains a focus. Short-term, a potential positive monthly close for Bitcoin could boost sentiment, but the Coinmama data breach and ongoing QuadrigaCX scandal introduce bearish elements related to security and trust. Macroeconomic factors like falling mortgage rates offer a slight bullish tailwind.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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