News: Bitcoin showed resilience by bouncing back above $40,000 after touching a five-week low, indicating short-term buying interest. However, broader market sentiment remains cautious due to the strengthening US dollar and continued concerns about rising interest rates, which are leading to outflows from crypto funds. Despite these headwinds, positive developments like institutional adoption discussions and expansion of crypto-backed financial services offer some bullish undertones.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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