News: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, the potential for a Bitcoin ETF approval remains a key driver, though recent SEC feedback has been largely negative. China's proposed mining ban poses a significant long-term bearish risk. However, positive sentiment is being fueled by billionaire investor Mike Novogratz's bullish outlook and technical indicators suggesting a potential rally. Short-term, Bitcoin is hovering around $5,250 with broad market strength, but rising transaction fees indicate network congestion. Litecoin is consolidating, and Bakkt's regulatory hurdles introduce uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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