News: Bitcoin experienced volatility driven by ETF rumors, with a brief spike above $30,000 followed by a retraction. Strong US retail sales data pushed bond yields higher, creating a bearish macro backdrop for risk assets. Negative sentiment in Hong Kong post-JPEX scandal adds to short-term headwinds, while positive developments in UK crypto adoption and mining infrastructure expansion offer some underlying bullish support.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 45% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The court's ruling in favor of Grayscale is a major catalyst, signaling a potential approval for spo"}