News: The market is reacting to the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and hawkish commentary, causing Bitcoin and Ether to retrace after initial rebounds. However, positive developments like the launch of crypto futures ETFs in Hong Kong and the MetaMask-PayPal partnership offer some bullish signals for adoption and liquidity. Jack Dorsey's funding for decentralized social media also points to growing infrastructure development.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The FTX collapse eroded trust in centralized exchanges, leading to a significant withdrawal of Bitco"}