News: The crypto market is experiencing mixed signals. While some analysts suggest the Fed's hawkish stance might not last, leading to potential short-term bullishness, the immediate sentiment remains cautious. Weak Meta earnings and the SEC's continued delays on spot Bitcoin ETFs are contributing to bearish pressure. MicroStrategy's impairment charge also adds to negative sentiment. However, the launch of a Bitcoin-heavy inflation ETF and strong performance from Ethereum suggest underlying bullish trends may persist, albeit with significant short-term volatility.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Hawkish Federal Reserve commentary directly impacts risk assets like Bitcoin by increasing borrowing"}