News: Bitcoin is approaching its halving event, creating significant anticipation and mixed signals. While experts predict a bullish impact and price recovery is evident, there's also a looming possibility of a short-term sell-off due to market indecision and historical patterns. Macroeconomic data, particularly the US employment report, will be a key driver of risk sentiment. Institutional adoption continues to grow, providing a solid long-term foundation.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 50% | Base 30% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The approaching halving event is a well-understood bullish catalyst. The price recovery to pre-crash"}