News: Bitcoin has shown resilience, reclaiming the $30,000 level, bolstered by positive U.S. inflation data and the successful completion of Ethereum's Shapella upgrade. These events suggest a bullish short-term outlook. However, ongoing regulatory scrutiny, particularly concerning SEC oversight and stablecoin legislation in the U.S. Congress, introduces an element of uncertainty. The market is also monitoring DeFi protocol security, with a recent exploit on Hundred Finance posing a minor bearish risk.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 60% | Base 30% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.6499999999999999, "key_reason": "Bitcoin crossing $30K and Ethereum's successful Shapella upgrade are significant positive catalysts."}