News: The crypto market is showing signs of a short-term recovery, with Bitcoin breaking above $22,000, driven by a combination of technical signals and a cooling of recession fears from the Fed. However, lingering macroeconomic concerns, such as strong U.S. jobs data potentially leading to more aggressive rate hikes, introduce a bearish undertone. The long-term outlook remains cautious due to ongoing inflation and the potential for economic slowdowns, with significant bearish sentiment evident in investor positioning like short Bitcoin ETFs.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: HOLD
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