News: The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a significant downturn, with Bitcoin falling below $3,500 and other altcoins seeing substantial losses. This broad market sell-off is driven by macro concerns, including the US-China trade war and government shutdown, leading to a risk-off sentiment. Technical indicators suggest further downside potential, with Bitcoin breaking key support levels and analysts warning of a 'crypto nuclear winter' if prices fall below $3,000. Despite the bearish short-term outlook, long-term developments like institutional adoption and expansion into new markets continue.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 20% | Base 30% | Bear 50%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bearish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.6, "key_reason": "The breach of the $3,500 support level signifies a continuation of the bearish trend, likely to pres"}