News: Bitcoin is trading around $10,850, consolidating ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate announcement. The Fed's dovish stance, targeting inflation above 2%, is generally supportive for risk assets like Bitcoin, potentially pushing it towards $11K. However, mixed signals from Ether options and broader market uncertainty create a volatile short-term outlook. Increased new investor activity is a positive on-chain signal.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 50% | Base 30% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The Fed's commitment to accommodative monetary policy and higher inflation targets is generally seen"}