News: Bitcoin experienced a notable price drop, falling below $9,500, influenced by broader market weakness and the Fed's cautious economic outlook. Despite this, institutional interest remains a strong underlying bullish factor, with Three Arrows Capital increasing its stake in GBTC. Mining hardware news from Marathon is positive for infrastructure, but Bitmain's shipment halts introduce supply chain concerns. Adoption news from Coca-Cola vending machines and Bitcoin IRA's focus on small savers offer incremental bullish signals for long-term adoption.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Ohanian's positive outlook, coupled with Bitcoin's price performance and the halving event, suggests"}