News: Bitcoin experienced a significant sell-off, breaking below key support levels and indicating bearish short-term sentiment. However, long-term indicators remain cautiously optimistic, with institutional adoption and infrastructure development continuing. Geopolitical events and the upcoming halving are providing underlying bullish narratives, but immediate price action is dominated by profit-taking and a broader market downturn affecting altcoins.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The significant recovery from the previous year's sell-off indicates strong underlying buying pressu"}