News: Bitcoin showed resilience, bouncing back above $8,000 and reclaiming a $150 billion market cap after a recent dip. However, the highly anticipated Bakkt futures launch disappointed with low initial trading volumes, tempering institutional adoption expectations. Meanwhile, positive developments like Venezuela's potential crypto payment activation and Ethereum's strong performance offered some bullish sentiment, while regulatory news regarding SEC settlements with Sia and Block.one introduced a bearish undertone. A bug in the Lightning Network, though fixed, added a layer of short-term uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The launch of Bakkt's physically-backed Bitcoin futures was a major catalyst expected to attract ins"}