News: Bitcoin experienced a notable surge to $61K ahead of the Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate decision, with positive inflows into BlackRock's ETF offering a glimmer of optimism. However, significant sell orders at resistance levels and a general market caution ahead of the Fed meeting suggest potential for capped gains and volatility. MicroStrategy's continued debt offering to buy Bitcoin provides a consistent demand signal. Meanwhile, political developments, including Trump's new crypto venture and ongoing discussions on crypto legislation, add layers of uncertainty and potential long-term influence.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The deepening correlation with traditional markets means Bitcoin's price will be increasingly influe"}