News: Bitcoin's correlation with the S&P 500 has reached a 17-month high, indicating increased sensitivity to traditional market movements. While Ethereum's upcoming upgrade presents a bullish catalyst for ETH, geopolitical tensions and potential regulatory actions in New York regarding Bitcoin mining create headwinds. The market is showing mixed signals, with some altcoins exhibiting strength while major cryptocurrencies consolidate around key support levels.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve are a direct headwind for speculative assets l"}