News: Bitcoin's price volatility is at a five-month low, suggesting an impending significant move, though indicators are mixed. Altcoins like Ether and XRP are showing strength against Bitcoin, hinting at a potential altcoin season. Regulatory headwinds persist, with Binance US facing state restrictions and the Libra project encountering widespread opposition, while the VanEck/SolidX Bitcoin ETF proposal was withdrawn, dampening institutional optimism. However, long-term developments like institutional lending platforms and government adoption of blockchain continue to build infrastructure.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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