News: Bitcoin faces a challenging start to September, with a notable price dip and historical bearish trends for the month. Consecutive outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and cautious sentiment in derivatives markets suggest short-term downward pressure. However, long-term bullish factors, including increasing institutional adoption via ETFs and potential government interest in Bitcoin as a reserve asset, remain in play. Key economic data releases this week will be critical in determining the immediate direction.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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