News: Bitcoin is trading near a critical support level around $10,000, with mixed technical signals suggesting potential for a short-term bounce or further decline. Macroeconomic factors, including trade war tensions and a less dovish Fed, are creating market caution, which could favor Bitcoin as a safe haven. However, negative news regarding illicit use of cryptocurrencies poses a short-term bearish risk. Altcoins like Litecoin and Bitcoin Cash ABC are showing significant bearish momentum.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "Geopolitical tensions and trade wars often drive investors towards alternative assets like Bitcoin, "}