News: The market sentiment remains cautious as the year-end approaches. Long-term, institutional interest is signaled by Nasdaq's planned Bitcoin futures launch, while regulatory actions like the SEC's focus on ICO influencers and G20 calls for crypto taxation introduce short-term headwinds. Developments in scaling solutions like the Lightning Network show continued technological progress, but the overall market is still grappling with the aftermath of earlier price declines and the impact on mining operations.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The planned launch of regulated Bitcoin futures by Nasdaq and VanEck signals growing institutional a"}