News: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, institutional adoption continues to be a strong theme, with major banks like Citi considering Bitcoin futures and Visa partnering with crypto payment firms. However, the IMF's warning against crypto as legal tender and protests in El Salvador introduce regulatory and adoption concerns. Short-term, altcoins are seeing inflows as Bitcoin experiences outflows, suggesting a potential rotation. Technical indicators for Bitcoin show a divergence that could signal future gains, while negative commentary from billionaire John Paulson adds a bearish sentiment. Mining expansion in the US is a positive infrastructure development.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 30% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "Large-scale purchases of mining hardware by major players like Marathon signal robust confidence in "}