News: Bitcoin remains range-bound around $26,500, showing resilience despite a hawkish Federal Reserve stance and broader equity market declines. The potential for spot Bitcoin ETF approvals continues to be a long-term bullish driver, with Ether also showing ETF-related momentum. However, short-term headwinds persist due to macro concerns and disappointing network activity on Ethereum. Regulatory developments in Hong Kong add a layer of caution.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 45% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "The court's decision directly challenges the SEC's previous denials of spot Bitcoin ETFs, creating a"}