News: Bitcoin's price action is heavily influenced by the approaching U.S. presidential election, with volatility surging and analysts predicting significant price swings. Despite this short-term uncertainty, strong institutional inflows into ETFs and continued corporate Bitcoin accumulation by companies like MicroStrategy and Semler Scientific provide a bullish undertone. The market is also reacting to election poll shifts, impacting currency markets and potentially risk assets. The narrative of Bitcoin's long-term growth independent of political outcomes remains a key driver.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "MicroStrategy's continued aggressive acquisition of Bitcoin demonstrates strong institutional convic"}