News: Bitcoin experienced a notable pullback on Sunday after a strong week, closing below $40,000, indicating short-term profit-taking and potential resistance. However, long-term sentiment remains cautiously optimistic with institutional interest growing and El Salvador's potential legal tender status. The U.S. infrastructure bill's crypto tax provisions introduce regulatory uncertainty, with key senators already deeming parts 'unworkable.' Mining difficulty is increasing, suggesting a recovery in network activity.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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