News: Bitcoin has seen a notable price surge this week, nearing $7,500, with some analysts expressing renewed bullish sentiment. However, this rally is accompanied by a significant drop in trading volume, suggesting a potential lack of conviction and a risk of short-term pullback. Macroeconomic factors, including trade war tensions and the US dollar's volatility, continue to create an uncertain environment. Regulatory news, such as China's successful crypto ban enforcement and legal actions against ICO fraudsters, add to the mixed signals.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: HOLD
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