News: Bitcoin experienced a mixed day, with positive sentiment stemming from a weaker jobs report and strong earnings, which boosted risk assets and revived rate-cut hopes. However, the halving's impact on miner profitability continues to pose a potential short-term bearish pressure. The first inflow into GBTC is a notable positive sign for ETF sentiment, while regulatory news regarding crypto crime remains a background factor.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.625, "key_reason": "The halving event directly impacts Bitcoin's supply dynamics, reducing the rate of new issuance. Thi"}