News: The market is heavily focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision, leading to a risk-off sentiment across traditional markets and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin has shown weakness, testing key support levels, while Ether is also under pressure following its post-Merge slump and potential regulatory scrutiny from the SEC. Despite some positive developments like institutional interest and miner support initiatives, the dominant factor remains macroeconomic uncertainty driven by the Fed's monetary policy.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "down", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The significant drop in US stocks and rising Treasury yields ahead of the Fed decision signal strong"}