News: Bitcoin experienced a severe flash crash today, plummeting by over 20% from recent highs due to a large sell order on Bitstamp, leading to significant liquidations on derivatives exchanges like BitMEX. While some analysts see this as a potential catalyst for a future rally, the immediate impact is a sharp increase in volatility and a bearish sentiment across the market. Macroeconomic data remains mixed, with US retail sales disappointing, which could weaken the dollar and indirectly support crypto, but the dominant short-term signal is the sharp price decline and its implications for market stability.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The sudden, sharp price drop and massive liquidations indicate extreme short-term volatility and a p"}