News: The crypto market is experiencing mixed signals. On the long-term front, government adoption in Australia and institutional interest from the Swiss stock exchange operator are positive developments. However, the SEC's ongoing review of Bitcoin ETFs, with a likely negative outcome according to some analysis, introduces regulatory uncertainty. Short-term, a decline in Google searches for 'Bitcoin Price' and bearish price targets from industry figures suggest waning retail interest and potential for further downside. Conversely, a slight market recovery and positive commentary from VCs offer some bullish counterpoints.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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