News: The crypto market is navigating a complex landscape of regulatory uncertainty and shifting investor sentiment. While some news points to potential long-term adoption through blockchain ETFs and developing country use cases, short-term sentiment is being influenced by prominent figures expressing skepticism (Musk, Buffett) and technical indicators suggesting bull exhaustion. The market is also sensitive to macro factors like rising interest rates, which could lead to a risk-off environment. The Coincheck hack continues to cast a shadow, highlighting security risks.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The Coincheck hack represents a significant security failure in a major exchange, eroding trust and "}