News: Bitcoin is showing signs of consolidation, failing to hold key resistance levels around $63K-$64K, with declining transaction volumes suggesting a range-bound market. Upcoming inflation data is a major macro hurdle that could introduce volatility. While long-term prospects remain bullish due to ETF adoption and halving effects, short-term sentiment is cautious, with potential downside if key support levels break. Developments in Bitcoin's utility, like stablecoin integration via Lightning Labs, offer a positive counterpoint.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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