News: The market is reacting to a stronger-than-expected May jobs report, which is dampening expectations for near-term Fed rate cuts and potentially leading to a risk-off sentiment. This macro backdrop is a headwind for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. However, ongoing positive developments in the ETF space, such as continued inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs and the potential for Ethereum ETFs, provide underlying support. The narrative around Bitcoin's post-halving supply crunch and institutional adoption remains a strong long-term bullish factor.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Strong ETF demand coupled with reduced new supply post-halving creates a scenario for a potential su"}