News: Long-term sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, driven by institutional adoption signals like Fidelity's custody services and PayPal's potential crypto integration. Macro factors like inflation expectations continue to support Bitcoin as a hedge. Short-term, Bitcoin is trading sideways with low volume, showing some technical support but lacking strong conviction. Developments in regulatory compliance (FATF Travel Rule) and stablecoin growth are positive indicators for liquidity and adoption.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 50% | Base 40% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.6, "key_reason": "Major tech adoption of the Bitcoin blockchain for critical infrastructure like decentralized identit"}