News: Bitcoin experienced a slight pullback on July 25th, ending the day down, but the near-term bullish trend remains intact. Macroeconomic factors, particularly the potential for a large US stimulus package, offer a bullish tailwind, though geopolitical tensions with China introduce uncertainty. Long-term, institutional adoption via Grayscale and mainstream integration through partnerships like MasterCard and Samsung continue to provide a strong bullish foundation. However, the increasing correlation with equities suggests Bitcoin may be more susceptible to broader market downturns.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.625, "key_reason": "Substantial inflows into Grayscale's products demonstrate strong institutional adoption and capital "}