News: Today's news presents a mixed bag of signals for Bitcoin. On the long-term front, the Winklevoss twins' initiative for self-regulation and the potential for EU-wide crypto rules offer a path towards greater institutional adoption and market maturity. However, ongoing SEC delays on Bitcoin ETFs and reports of bot manipulation highlight persistent regulatory hurdles and market integrity concerns. Short-term, Jack Ma's comments on blockchain for a cashless society provide a minor bullish sentiment boost, while continued ETF uncertainty and the potential launch of a Roger Ver-backed exchange introduce mixed volatility.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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