News: Bitcoin experienced a significant pullback today, falling below $70,000 after a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report reduced expectations for imminent Fed rate cuts. This macro data point overshadowed positive developments like the ongoing 18-day inflow streak for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and bullish technical analysis predicting a rally to $83K-$100K. The market sentiment shifted bearishly in the short term due to the jobs data, while longer-term institutional adoption via ETFs and technical breakouts remain supportive.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The halving event directly impacts Bitcoin's supply, creating scarcity. Historically, this has led t"}