News: The crypto market is navigating a complex geopolitical landscape and increasing regulatory attention. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine continues to highlight crypto's role in cross-border transactions and donations, while the EU's potential regulation on proof-of-work mechanisms presents a significant short-term risk. Meanwhile, institutional adoption signals, such as major brands entering the metaverse and cities considering Bitcoin as legal tender, provide long-term bullish undercurrents. Investor sentiment remains mixed, with a focus on macro events and regulatory developments.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The endorsement from a respected investor like Bill Miller signals strong institutional conviction. "}