News: The market sentiment remains cautious, with Bitcoin showing resilience by finding support from equity market rallies, particularly in the tech sector. However, bearish on-chain indicators like NUPL suggest underlying weakness. Regulatory pressures continue, with the IMF urging El Salvador to scale back its Bitcoin adoption and US lawmakers probing mining companies' energy usage. Institutional investors appear unfazed by volatility, indicating continued long-term confidence. The strengthening US dollar presents a headwind.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "A ban in a major economy like Russia could signal a broader trend of restrictive regulation, potenti"}