News: Bitcoin experienced a notable dip today, falling to a one-month low following the release of Federal Reserve minutes indicating discussions about shrinking the central bank's balance sheet. This hawkish sentiment from the Fed is a near-term bearish catalyst. However, some analysts suggest that declining retail interest could lead to a short squeeze and a potential recovery rally. Meanwhile, institutional adoption in DeFi continues to grow, with Aave attracting significant players, and innovative crypto dividend offerings are emerging, signaling ongoing long-term adoption trends. Altcoins like Osmosis and Chainlink are showing strong performance, potentially indicating a rotation of capital.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The achievement of new all-time highs indicates strong market demand and growing institutional accep"}