News: Bitcoin faces headwinds from a strengthening US dollar ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, suggesting potential short-term bearish pressure. Meanwhile, positive developments like institutional interest in Bitcoin swaps and major players like Coinbase focusing on institutional services offer long-term bullish signals. The Bitcoin Cash fork and regulatory scrutiny on decentralized exchanges (like EtherDelta) introduce short-term volatility and uncertainty. Positive commentary on Ethereum's potential and adoption by traditional entities provide some counterbalancing bullish sentiment.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "A major financial institution like Morgan Stanley recognizing Bitcoin as an institutional investment"}