News: The crypto market is showing mixed signals heading into the weekend. Long-term, positive developments in regulatory clarity and institutional adoption, particularly from Grayscale and Singapore, are building a case for sustained growth. However, short-term sentiment is being weighed down by geopolitical tensions between the US and China, impacting global markets and potentially leading to risk-off behavior. Technical indicators for Bitcoin are also flashing bearish signals with an approaching death cross, suggesting potential near-term downside.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "SEC approval for blockchain-based equity settlement is a major step for traditional finance adoption"}