News: The crypto market is experiencing a mixed sentiment following the first week of spot Bitcoin ETF trading. While inflows into these ETFs have been robust, Bitcoin's price has seen some retracement, creating short-term uncertainty. Macroeconomic factors, particularly the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, remain a key driver. The ongoing regulatory landscape, with developments in Hong Kong and legal challenges in the US, adds further complexity. Overall, the long-term outlook remains bullish due to institutional adoption, but short-term price action is influenced by profit-taking and macroeconomic signals.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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