News: The market is reacting to mixed signals, with encouraging inflation data (PCE at 2.6%) providing some support, yet U.S. job growth exceeding expectations is tempering rate-cut hopes. Bitcoin saw a pullback after a brief surge, partly due to German government BTC transfers to exchanges, suggesting potential selling pressure. Analyst sentiment remains mixed, with some predicting a strong 2025 while others highlight ongoing selling pressure from miners and profit-taking. Institutional adoption via ETFs continues to be a long-term positive, but short-term headwinds from macro data and on-chain activity are creating uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Large outflows from Bitcoin investment products signal reduced institutional demand and potential se"}