News: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Bitcoin is trading back above $19,000, indicating some resilience despite hawkish commentary from Fed Chair Powell and a record rate hike by the ECB. Ethereum continues to rally on anticipation of the Merge upgrade. However, the SEC Chair's assertion that most cryptocurrencies are securities introduces significant regulatory uncertainty, potentially creating downward pressure. The focus remains on macro indicators and upcoming regulatory developments.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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