News: The primary catalyst for today's market remains the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which saw significant trading volume and mixed investor reactions. While some ETFs experienced strong inflows, major financial institutions like Vanguard are restricting access, creating a bifurcated market. Regulatory caution from the SEC and critical commentary from traditional finance figures like Goldman Sachs introduce uncertainty, contrasting with continued institutional interest shown by Cathie Wood's investment. Macroeconomic data on inflation and jobless claims also contributed to a choppy trading day.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The SEC's approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs is a watershed moment, significantly lowering the barrier to"}