News: Bitcoin is showing signs of consolidation, trading within a tight range after a modest Saturday gain. Macroeconomic factors, particularly the ongoing stimulus package negotiations and the implications of a zero-interest-rate environment, are key drivers influencing market sentiment. The upcoming Tuesday deadline for stimulus talks presents a significant event risk, with potential for either a bullish or bearish reaction depending on the outcome.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Consistently closing above $10,000 for an extended period signals strong underlying demand and a pot"}