News: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, institutional skepticism from UBS (Donovan) continues to weigh on sentiment, while adoption drivers like Revolut's banking license and the potential for Bitcoin in authoritarian countries offer a more optimistic outlook. Short-term, Bitcoin futures trading at a discount and continued market slumps suggest bearish pressure, though a slight price recovery towards $3,700 and exchange support for Ethereum's hard fork provide minor bullish counterpoints. The key resistance level at the 10-week SMA remains a critical technical indicator.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "sideways", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "This represents a strong bearish signal from a major financial institution, indicating potential ins"}