News: The market sentiment is mixed, with positive long-term indicators like institutional adoption (Rakuten, Samsung) and potential catalysts like halving events. However, short-term concerns persist due to exchange hacks (Bithumb) and ongoing scams. Analyst sentiment is leaning bullish, suggesting a potential end to the bear market if key resistance levels are breached.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 50% | Base 30% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "A major e-commerce player like Rakuten obtaining a license to operate a crypto exchange in Japan is "}