News: Bitcoin remains range-bound below $30K, showing resilience but lacking strong upward catalysts. The revocation of Sam Bankman-Fried's bail introduces a minor element of caution. Long-term, the sustained institutional interest in spot Bitcoin ETFs from major players like BlackRock and Fidelity continues to be the dominant bullish narrative, suggesting potential for significant capital inflows. However, short-term price action is muted, with Bitcoin appearing resistant to positive macroeconomic data like lower inflation.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 50% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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