News: The crypto market is experiencing significant downward pressure, with Bitcoin falling below $4,000 again and the overall market cap declining by $7 billion. This is occurring amidst broader macroeconomic uncertainty, including a US government shutdown and a sharp sell-off in equity markets. While some altcoins like Bitcoin Cash ABC saw massive weekly gains, they are now experiencing sharp reversals, highlighting the market's volatility. Negative sentiment is amplified by vocal critics like Nouriel Roubini, while regulatory uncertainty around ETFs continues to weigh on the market.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 25% | Base 40% | Bear 35%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "sideways", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The breach of the $6,000 support level and the drop to a one-year low for Bitcoin signifies a strong"}