News: Bitcoin is experiencing a bearish trend, breaking below ascending trendlines and approaching key support zones around $37K-$40K. This is influenced by a strong dollar, rising yields, and concerns over tech stock performance, with some analysts predicting further downside. However, institutional interest remains evident with significant Bitcoin purchases by entities like the Luna Foundation Guard, and the potential for a spot Bitcoin ETF continues to be a long-term bullish factor. Geopolitical events are not currently driving broad market activity, but the utility of Bitcoin in crisis situations is being highlighted.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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