News: The market sentiment is cautious today, influenced by hawkish commentary from Fed Chair Powell regarding potential larger rate hikes and recession risks, which has pressured both stocks and cryptocurrencies. While institutional adoption signals remain strong with news like Australia approving crypto ETFs and MicroStrategy continuing its Bitcoin accumulation, the immediate focus is on macroeconomic factors. Regulatory developments, such as the OCC's order against Anchorage Digital and EU discussions on crypto taxes, add to the short-term uncertainty. The Luna Foundation Guard's Bitcoin reserve activity also presents a potential catalyst for volatility.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "This event marks a significant milestone in institutional adoption, showing major banks are actively"}