News: Bitcoin is consolidating around the $10,000 mark, showing signs of technical weakness with prices below key moving averages. The crypto market is also dealing with negative sentiment from a significant DeFi exploit (SushiSwap rug pull) and a hack on the ETERBASE exchange, which could dampen overall confidence and liquidity. However, positive long-term signals persist, including institutional adoption (MicroStrategy) and growing retail adoption in emerging markets (Ukraine). Canaan's share buyback program offers a minor bullish signal for mining infrastructure.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Square's strong performance and its Cash App's integration of Bitcoin transactions signal growing ma"}