News: Bitcoin experienced significant volatility, with high transaction fees and a hashrate drop due to Chinese miner outages creating short-term bearish pressure. However, positive technical indicators and resilient liquidity suggest potential for a short-term bounce. Long-term, institutional adoption continues to grow with major banks and regulated exchanges entering the space, supported by infrastructure developments like the Lightning Network. The potential approval of crypto ETFs in the US remains a key catalyst.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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