News: Bitcoin showed strong upward momentum over the weekend, breaking key resistance levels and ending the week with significant gains. This technical strength, coupled with ongoing narratives around Bitcoin as an inflation hedge amidst global stimulus, suggests a bullish short-term outlook. Institutional adoption signals, like the Italian bank's BTC trading and Square's involvement in stimulus programs, continue to provide long-term support. Meanwhile, increased stablecoin activity is boosting Ethereum's network usage, indicating broader ecosystem growth.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 65% | Base 25% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.675, "key_reason": "The halving event directly impacts Bitcoin's supply dynamics, reducing the rate of new coin issuance"}