News: The crypto market is showing signs of a potential early-year recovery, with Bitcoin up around 7% and Ethereum surging 19% in the last 48 hours. This positive momentum is occurring despite a bearish start to the year for Nasdaq futures, suggesting a possible decoupling from traditional markets. However, Bitcoin is facing resistance around the $4,000 mark, indicating a critical juncture for the short-term trend. Merchant adoption for Bitcoin Cash continues to grow, but its direct impact on Bitcoin is limited.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 30% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
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