News: Today's analysis shows a mixed bag of signals. Long-term, institutional interest in Bitcoin infrastructure and regulated products continues to grow, with firms like Blockstream and Stone Ridge making significant moves. Predictions from traditional finance institutions about Bitcoin's future price, particularly around the halving, are bullish. However, short-term, macro concerns like US recession fears are currently favoring gold over Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset, creating some bearish pressure. Geopolitical events in Hong Kong are driving increased Bitcoin trading volume, suggesting it's being used as an alternative asset. The launch of new crypto ETPs in Europe signals continued product innovation and institutional adoption.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 50% | Base 30% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The launch of a mining farm by Blockstream, a reputable company, with Fidelity as a customer, signif"}