News: The crypto market is experiencing significant bearish pressure today, primarily driven by lingering investor jitters over the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, as indicated by hawkish FOMC minutes. Bitcoin has entered its longest losing streak since 2018, falling towards the $40,000 mark. This macro-economic sentiment is overshadowing positive developments like PayPal's potential stablecoin launch and ongoing institutional interest in crypto ETFs. Geopolitical events in Kazakhstan add a layer of uncertainty, though their direct impact on Bitcoin price remains unclear.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 25% | Base 40% | Bear 35%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: HOLD
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