News: Bitcoin is trading around $4,100, showing mixed sentiment with some key resistance levels to overcome. Long-term, the potential for institutional adoption via ETFs and growing utility through the Lightning Network remain positive drivers. However, macro concerns like yield curve inversions and ongoing regulatory discussions create short-term uncertainty. The market appears to be in a consolidation phase, awaiting clearer catalysts.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The potential approval of a Bitcoin ETF, especially one structured with traditional assets, could si"}