News: Bitcoin experienced a notable price drop after failing to sustain the $10,500 resistance, falling back towards the $10,000 mark. This technical pullback is occurring amidst news of potential "significant new requirements" for cryptocurrencies from the US Treasury, adding regulatory uncertainty. Meanwhile, positive developments like BlockFi's substantial funding round and ongoing discussions around the Bitcoin halving continue to provide underlying bullish sentiment for the longer term.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "A strong technical breakout above key resistance levels indicates increasing buying pressure and mar"}