News: Long-term signals show increasing institutional interest with Yale's investment and regulatory progress in New York, alongside South Korea's blockchain funding, pointing towards potential adoption. However, the BIS report highlights the sensitivity to regulation, creating uncertainty. Short-term, market sentiment is divided, with some anticipating a 'storm' after a period of calm, while traditional market news suggests a potential rotation towards safer assets. The acquisition of Bithumb offers a localized bullish catalyst.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "A doubling of Bitcoin's hashpower, even during a bear market, signifies robust miner confidence and "}