News: The crypto market is showing mixed signals. Long-term, institutional adoption remains a key driver, with Fidelity considering retail crypto trading and Galaxy Digital enhancing on-chain data infrastructure. However, macro factors like geopolitical tensions and tech sector layoffs are creating headwinds, suggesting a cautious short-term outlook. The upcoming US midterm elections add another layer of uncertainty. While some altcoins like Dogecoin are showing short-term strength, Bitcoin's price action remains range-bound, influenced by Fed policy and large whale movements.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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