News: Bitcoin is trading near a 6-month low, below $26,000, as enthusiasm from the Grayscale ETF win wanes and the SEC delays decisions on other applications. Analyst sentiment suggests spot ETF approval is unlikely this year, contributing to a bearish short-term outlook. Technical indicators also point to a loss of upward momentum. However, longer-term, positive regulatory developments and institutional interest, such as Standard Chartered's bullish forecast and PayPal's stablecoin launch, suggest underlying strength. Ether is expected to outperform Bitcoin in the short term due to potential ETF momentum.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Positive regulatory developments, like the Ripple decision, are creating a more favorable environmen"}