News: Bitcoin has shown resilience, hovering around $11,800 with other top cryptocurrencies also seeing gains, indicating positive short-term momentum. While macro factors like the US-China trade war easing had a muted impact, the market appears to be driven by internal dynamics and historical analogies. The growing mainstream adoption and institutional interest remain key long-term drivers, though a disconnect between price surges and app growth suggests caution regarding new user onboarding.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 60% | Base 30% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.625, "key_reason": "Bitcoin's consistent price appreciation and new yearly highs signal a strong bullish trend. This ren"}