News: Bitcoin experienced mixed price action on Sunday, showing initial strength but ultimately pulling back, ending the week with a net loss. Institutional interest in CME Bitcoin futures has significantly declined, potentially due to the allure of DeFi, signaling reduced traditional market engagement. Meanwhile, prominent crypto figure John McAfee's arrest on tax evasion charges and the SEC's lawsuit against him for ICO promotions are creating negative sentiment and highlighting regulatory risks. Despite these headwinds, some technical indicators for Bitcoin remain bullish in the short term, with steady price increases observed.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Fidelity's initiative to launch a Bitcoin fund with the SEC signals strong institutional conviction."}