News: The crypto market is experiencing mild losses, with Bitcoin trading below $6,400, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend. Key developments include internal conflicts within the Bitcoin Cash community ahead of its hard fork, and legal actions against telecom companies over SIM-swap crypto thefts, highlighting security vulnerabilities. Positive long-term signals include Samsung's entry into ASIC chip manufacturing and international regulatory collaboration between Switzerland and Israel, suggesting growing industry maturity. However, short-term sentiment remains cautious.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 50% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The ongoing public dispute and impending hard fork for Bitcoin Cash create uncertainty and potential"}