News: Bitcoin experienced a notable sell-off, breaking below $47,000 and testing its 200-day moving average, driven by broader crypto market weakness and anticipation of the Jackson Hole symposium. However, positive long-term signals persist, including institutional interest in ETFs and growing DeFi adoption on networks like Avalanche. Whale accumulation suggests underlying bullish sentiment, while upcoming Fed commentary remains a key uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The filing of a crypto ETF by a traditional asset manager like Victory Capital indicates growing ins"}