News: Bitcoin experienced a volatile trading day, showing resilience by holding support levels despite a prior sharp decline. The launch of new high-leverage futures contracts on Binance introduces potential for increased short-term volatility. Long-term, positive developments like institutional interest and enterprise adoption of blockchain technology continue to build a bullish case, though immediate price action remains uncertain.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The halving event historically correlates with price increases due to reduced supply. The price acti"}