News: Bitcoin shows resilience, trading higher despite a downturn in U.S. stock futures, indicating a potential decoupling. The upcoming Bitcoin halving remains a dominant bullish narrative, driving anticipation in the futures market. However, concerns about the sustainability of recent gains and broader macroeconomic risks from U.S.-China trade tensions introduce short-term uncertainty. The strong performance of altcoins like Tezos and increased activity from U.S. investors and whales suggest underlying bullish momentum, but the market remains sensitive to macro events.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 50% | Base 30% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The pandemic is accelerating discussions around crypto's role in finance, potentially solidifying na"}