News: On Christmas Day, the crypto market is relatively quiet, with a focus on year-end reviews. Long-term, institutional adoption continues to be a strong bullish signal, with Fidelity launching institutional custody in Canada and Mastercard integrating Bitcoin rewards. However, broader macroeconomic factors like inflation and potential Fed tightening remain a background concern. Short-term, the performance of altcoins and new DeFi launches on L2s like Optimism are being monitored for potential volatility and capital flows.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 50% | Base 30% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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