News: Bitcoin is showing signs of consolidation, trading around the $9,200 level after a recent dip. The market is highly correlated with the S&P 500, making it sensitive to broader macroeconomic sentiment. While the Fed's balance sheet contraction could be a bearish signal due to reduced liquidity, positive developments in Lightning Network adoption and institutional interest in crypto mining offer some underlying support. However, ongoing scams and failed breakouts contribute to trader uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The potential integration of crypto into PayPal and Venmo could onboard a massive user base, signifi"}