News: As 2018 concludes, Bitcoin remains under bearish pressure, ending the year below $4,000 after significant drops throughout December. Despite this, there are glimmers of long-term optimism, with institutional developments like Bakkt's substantial funding round and the approval of the world's first crypto ETP in Switzerland signaling growing infrastructure and adoption. However, negative sentiment from traditional finance figures and ongoing regulatory uncertainty continue to weigh on short-term sentiment, creating a mixed outlook for the immediate future.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The continued sharp decline in Bitcoin's price, coupled with its correlation to the broader crypto m"}