News: The market sentiment remains mixed, with ongoing concerns about macroeconomic factors like inflation and geopolitical risks weighing on Bitcoin's price, as indicated by its correlation with stocks. However, positive developments such as institutional adoption (Goldman Sachs) and growing political support for crypto offer potential upside. The crypto industry is also facing scrutiny over its environmental impact, which could lead to regulatory pressure. Short-term, exchange-related news and research initiatives are creating minor price movements.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The increasing correlation between Bitcoin and traditional stock markets, particularly tech stocks, "}