News: Bitcoin experienced a significant downturn today, falling over 6% and heading for its worst weekly loss since March 2020. This decline is largely attributed to a broader market sell-off in riskier assets, triggered by a rout in global bond markets and rising yields. While some institutional adoption news, like the continued interest from Wall Street and the growth in digital asset ETPs, remains a long-term bullish signal, the immediate macro environment is creating headwinds. The indecisive trading and negative GBTC premium further highlight short-term uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Elon Musk's vocal support for Bitcoin, coming from one of the world's most influential entrepreneurs"}