News: Bitcoin's price action is showing resilience, with positive signals from a weakening U.S. dollar and a decrease in exchange reserves, suggesting accumulation. Institutional interest is growing with Coinbase's acquisition of Tagomi and new hybrid IRA offerings. However, negative sentiment from Goldman Sachs and ongoing legal battles like the Craig Wright case introduce some uncertainty. The halving event's long-term bullish impact remains a key narrative, while short-term price action will likely be influenced by macroeconomic trends and investor sentiment.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.625, "key_reason": "The halving event directly reduces the rate of new Bitcoin creation, a fundamental driver of its sca"}