News: Bitcoin experienced a bearish day on Saturday, falling below key support levels and indicating short-term weakness. The withdrawal of the VanEck/SolidX ETF proposal removes a potential near-term bullish catalyst, while positive developments like the Lightning Network's security test and new exchange launches in Japan and the Philippines offer some underlying optimism for adoption. The ongoing Craig Wright lawsuit settlement talks add an element of uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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