News: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, positive developments include the growing capacity of the Lightning Network and increasing institutional interest through exchange initiatives and potential mainstream adoption like Starbucks. Regulatory clarity in Switzerland is also a strong long-term bullish factor. However, short-term technical indicators for Bitcoin suggest a potential pullback due to bearish divergence and declining volumes, despite holding key support levels. Concerns about increasing crypto scams in Australia and regulatory scrutiny on crypto-related stocks add to short-term bearish sentiment.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The substantial growth in Lightning Network capacity and its underlying metrics directly addresses B"}