News: Bitcoin experienced a slight downturn today, dipping below $43,000 as Fed Chair Powell tempered expectations for a March rate cut, signaling a potentially more hawkish stance. This macro uncertainty, coupled with mixed stock market performance and the anticipation of mega-cap tech earnings, creates a cautious environment. However, the ongoing strong demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs and positive developments like Thailand's crypto-friendly regulations offer underlying bullish support. The market appears to be consolidating after the initial ETF excitement, with retail sentiment showing mixed signals.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The anticipation of SEC approval for spot Bitcoin ETFs has been a major driver of Bitcoin's price. A"}