News: The crypto market is showing mixed signals. Bitcoin is consolidating, awaiting a breakout from a descending triangle pattern, with key support at $3,500 and resistance around $3,600. Negative sentiment persists with JP Morgan predicting further downside, while the withdrawal of the VanEck ETF proposal due to the US government shutdown adds to regulatory uncertainty. However, the market is showing some resilience against negative news, and long-term adoption narratives, like potential Russian adoption and growing Bitcoin use cases, remain supportive.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The call for regulation from a major economic bloc like the EU signals a maturing market. While regu"}