News: The crypto market is experiencing mixed signals today. Macroeconomic concerns, driven by FOMC minutes suggesting potential Fed tapering, are pressuring risk assets like Bitcoin, causing it to pull back towards support levels. However, strong on-chain data indicating reduced exchange balances and growing institutional interest from major banks launching Bitcoin funds provide a bullish undertone. Security concerns remain with the Liquid exchange hack, but Bitcoin's resilience suggests limited immediate impact. Overall, the short-term outlook is cautious due to macro headwinds, while long-term adoption trends remain positive.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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