News: Bitcoin showed resilience, holding above the $20,000 mark despite a volatile trading session and a reversal in US stock markets. Positive sentiment around potential Fed rate hike pauses is providing some support, while increased open interest in perpetual swaps suggests high leverage and potential for short-term volatility. Regulatory uncertainty remains a key factor, with the CFTC potentially increasing oversight and US legislative efforts stalling.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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