News: Geopolitical tensions surrounding Russia and Ukraine are dominating market sentiment, leading to a flight to safety and a sell-off in risk assets, including Bitcoin. While some news points to potential increased demand for Bitcoin due to sanctions, the immediate impact is bearish due to broader market fear. Regulatory developments, such as the delay in US crypto policy and Russia's acknowledgment of the impossibility of banning Bitcoin, offer mixed signals for the short term, with the former creating uncertainty and the latter a slight positive.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "down", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Heightened geopolitical tensions are driving investors towards safe-haven assets like gold, while ri"}