News: Bitcoin is showing signs of consolidation, trading near the $40,000 mark, with mixed signals from macroeconomic factors and regulatory developments. Rising interest rates are dampening trading volumes and re-evaluating risk-reward calculations, suggesting potential short-term bearish pressure. However, long-term adoption trends, particularly in sustainable mining and new technological applications like Web3, remain a bullish undercurrent. The SEC's continued delays in the Ripple case introduce legal uncertainty for XRP, while the broader market grapples with inflation and monetary policy shifts.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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