News: The market sentiment is mixed, with a strong US jobs report suggesting the Federal Reserve might maintain higher interest rates for longer, which is a bearish signal for risk assets like Bitcoin. Concurrently, influential investors like Jeremy Grantham are issuing dire macroeconomic warnings, further increasing recession fears and potentially dampening risk appetite. However, the long-term outlook remains cautiously optimistic due to ongoing institutional interest and positive developments in the spot Bitcoin ETF space, despite short-term headwinds from macro data and negative sentiment.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: BUY
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