News: Bitcoin is trading below $40,000, facing resistance and consolidation, with broader market sentiment influenced by rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions from the Russia-Ukraine conflict. While institutional inflows are showing strength, concerns about macroeconomics and regulatory developments in the EU are creating a mixed short-term outlook. The crypto market is also seeing specific altcoin volatility and miner operational updates.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The successful seizure of a large amount of Bitcoin linked to a major hack signals increased regulat"}