News: The market sentiment remains heavily influenced by geopolitical tensions stemming from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, leading to a broad risk-off environment. European equities have seen significant declines, and this risk aversion is impacting Bitcoin, pushing it below $39,000. While there are some positive developments like increased crypto donations for Ukraine and institutional interest in NFTs, the dominant macro factors are bearish for the short term. The IMF's stance on CBDCs and the increasing correlation between Bitcoin and stocks further reinforce this cautious outlook.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 25% | Base 40% | Bear 35%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "down", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The growing correlation between crypto and traditional markets amplifies the impact of macroeconomic"}