News: The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a significant downturn, with Bitcoin falling to a four-month low and breaching key support levels. Negative sentiment is amplified by regulatory actions in Japan, where six exchanges received business improvement orders, and by the Bank of Korea denying plans for a CBDC. While Bitcoin's RSI indicates oversold conditions, suggesting a potential short-term bounce, the persistent bearish trend and lack of positive catalysts point towards continued downward pressure. Altcoins are also heavily impacted, with Bitcoin Cash showing significant losses.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 25% | Base 40% | Bear 35%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "down", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The immediate and sharp decline in Bitcoin, dragging the entire market down, indicates strong bearis"}