News: Bitcoin is showing signs of consolidation, trading near $7K, influenced by positive macroeconomic news from the US stimulus package. However, a stablecoin protocol exploit on PegNet introduces a bearish element, highlighting potential vulnerabilities in DeFi. Long-term, institutional interest remains a key bullish driver, with major firms exploring Bitcoin futures and traditional banks integrating crypto services. The upcoming Bitcoin halving continues to be a significant factor for future price action.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "Ethereum's increasing network activity and the growth of DeFi applications demonstrate its expanding"}