News: The market is showing mixed signals. Long-term, regulatory uncertainty persists with U.S. regulators signaling increased oversight, while institutional caution from figures like the UBS Chairman remains a bearish factor. However, the growing adoption of crypto by mainstream platforms like Robinhood offers a bullish counterpoint. Short-term, inflation fears are driving a rally in gold, potentially benefiting Bitcoin's 'digital gold' narrative. Conversely, Coinbase's restriction on credit card purchases could hinder new retail investor onboarding, and negative commentary from influential investors like Charlie Munger adds to bearish sentiment.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: HOLD
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