News: The crypto market is experiencing a mixed sentiment today, with Bitcoin and Ethereum showing declines amid heightened geopolitical tensions from Pelosi's Taiwan trip and ongoing Fed rate hike fears. This macro uncertainty is overshadowing positive developments like the ETH options market surpassing Bitcoin's and River Financial dropping trading fees. MicroStrategy's significant impairment charge and CEO transition also add a layer of corporate-specific uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Major institutional players like JPMorgan entering DeFi signals a significant step towards mainstrea"}