News: The market is experiencing significant bearish pressure today due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with Iran launching drones at Israel, causing a broad sell-off in risk assets including Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. This is compounded by Bitcoin's sharp price correction, falling over 7% and briefly below $62,000, indicating immediate selling pressure and increased volatility. However, long-term bullish catalysts like the upcoming halving and continued institutional interest, as evidenced by BlackRock's strong Q1 performance, remain in play, suggesting potential for recovery.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Large institutional purchases like MicroStrategy's signal strong conviction and can attract further "}