News: Bitcoin experienced a moderate recovery today, driven by easing geopolitical tensions surrounding Russia and Ukraine, which boosted overall market sentiment. However, regulatory headwinds persist, with the SEC imposing a significant penalty on BlockFi and India's central bank calling for a crypto ban. These conflicting signals create an uncertain short-term outlook, while long-term adoption trends, particularly among millennials and institutional investors, remain a bullish factor.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "The IMF's acknowledgment of Bitcoin's role in the digital asset revolution provides significant vali"}