News: Bitcoin is holding steady around the $20,000-$21,000 level, but sentiment remains cautious due to ongoing recession fears and the impact of the crypto winter. Technical indicators suggest a potential short-term relief rally, but the broader market is still under pressure from macroeconomic factors and the fallout from crypto lender defaults. Miners are also selling holdings, adding to selling pressure. Institutional sentiment is mixed, with some seeing long-term value while regulatory concerns persist.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: HOLD
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