News: Bitcoin is experiencing a notable downturn, trading below $57,000, driven by significant outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs and broader macroeconomic concerns about the U.S. economy. The market is highly sensitive to upcoming jobs data, which could influence the Federal Reserve's rate cut decisions. Political developments, including potential conflicts of interest related to Donald Trump's crypto business, add to the short-term uncertainty. While long-term institutional adoption remains a bullish factor, the immediate outlook is bearish due to sustained selling pressure and economic jitters.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The direct involvement of a major financial institution like Morgan Stanley in distributing Bitcoin "}