News: Bitcoin experienced a notable price decline, slipping below $27,000, primarily driven by escalating geopolitical tensions from the Hamas-Israel conflict, which fostered a risk-off sentiment. This overshadowed positive macro signals like falling bond yields and hints from Fed officials about potentially ending rate hikes. In the crypto space, Jim Cramer's bearish commentary on Bitcoin added to negative sentiment, while on-chain data showed continued accumulation by long-term holders, suggesting underlying demand. Developments like the potential for Bitcoin smart contracts via 'BitVM' and Standard Chartered's bullish Ether forecast offered glimpses of future utility, but the immediate focus remains on macro and geopolitical risks.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: BUY
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