News: Bitcoin experienced a mixed day, showing resilience to the OKEx withdrawal suspension but struggling to maintain upward momentum, closing below $11,500. The OKEx situation, stemming from a police investigation and the detention of its founder, remains the dominant short-term negative catalyst, creating liquidity concerns and market uncertainty. Long-term, institutional inflows into Grayscale and the growth of DeFi continue to provide a bullish backdrop, with developments in Bitcoin DeFi and Lightning Network scalability offering further positive signals. However, the immediate focus remains on the fallout from the OKEx event.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 45% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "The suspension of withdrawals at a major exchange like OKEx creates immediate fear and uncertainty, "}