News: Bitcoin is showing signs of divergence from traditional markets as traders position for a significant Federal Reserve rate hike, leading to profit-taking and increased volatility expectations. While some analysts are cautious about May's seasonal trends, efforts to address environmental concerns and institutional adoption signals like Goldman Sachs' Bitcoin-backed loans offer potential bullish counterpoints. Miner selling could add short-term pressure.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "high", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The use of crypto for significant humanitarian aid during a major geopolitical event demonstrates it"}