News: The crypto market is dominated by the impending Bitcoin halving, a supply-reducing event that historically boosts prices but faces short-term uncertainty due to potential 'sell the news' effects and ongoing geopolitical tensions. Spot Bitcoin ETF outflows continue, adding bearish pressure, while major altcoins have seen significant drops. Despite this, long-term institutional adoption via ETFs and corporate treasury strategies remains a strong bullish driver. Market sentiment is mixed, with volatility expected around the halving.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 35% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The strong performance of Bitcoin ETFs signals significant institutional interest and capital inflow"}