News: The crypto market shows mixed signals today. Long-term, the increasing adoption of the Lightning Network and institutional interest via Grayscale's ETH Trust filing are bullish indicators. However, the lingering impact of the Twitter hack and regulatory scrutiny from OFAC sanctions introduce bearish elements. Short-term, positive sentiment from DBS Bank and strong on-chain volume for BTC and ETH are bullish, but technical analysis highlights a critical support level for BTC, suggesting potential volatility. Ether's declining exchange balances are a bullish short-term catalyst for ETH.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 30% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "The continuous growth in the Lightning Network's capacity is a strong indicator of its increasing ut"}