News: Bitcoin shows resilience, with long-term indicators pointing towards accumulation and institutional adoption, notably through Morgan Stanley offering ETFs. However, short-term sentiment is mixed, with minor ETF outflows from BlackRock's IBIT and ongoing discussions about meme coin potential. Macroeconomic factors, including US stock market strength and anticipation of Fed rate cuts, provide a generally supportive backdrop, though political uncertainty and Mt. Gox supply concerns remain lingering risks.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "The decision by Morgan Stanley to offer Bitcoin ETFs to its clients is a significant endorsement fro"}