News: Bitcoin experienced a slight downturn on June 18th, failing to hold key resistance levels and dipping below support, indicating short-term bearish sentiment. However, the broader market shows underlying strength in DeFi, with the COMP token surging and Tether supply on Compound increasing significantly, suggesting robust activity in decentralized finance. Institutional adoption continues with Nomura's crypto custody venture launch. Miners are also holding onto their Bitcoin, reducing selling pressure. The upcoming $1 billion options expiry on Deribit next week poses a potential volatility event.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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