News: The crypto market is experiencing a significant downturn this week, with Bitcoin and Ethereum dropping over 10%, largely driven by macroeconomic concerns like potential Fed rate hikes and a strengthened dollar, alongside ongoing regulatory crackdowns by the SEC. Despite this, there are underlying positive developments, such as advancements in Bitcoin's Lightning Network usability and resilience in certain financial service providers, which could offer support. The market sentiment remains cautious, influenced by mixed stock market earnings and evolving crypto cycles.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Regulatory actions against major exchanges like Binance create significant uncertainty and can lead "}