News: The crypto market is experiencing significant downward pressure today, with Bitcoin falling below $20,000 and Ether seeing a sharp decline post-Merge. This is amplified by negative sentiment in traditional markets, driven by FedEx's profit warning and ongoing recession fears, which are likely to be exacerbated by upcoming Fed rate hikes. Regulatory scrutiny from the U.S. Treasury also adds to short-term uncertainty. While long-term institutional interest remains, the immediate outlook is bearish.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 20% | Base 30% | Bear 50%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "bearish", "price_direction": "down", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.6, "key_reason": "Sustained bullish sentiment from large traders indicates strong conviction in Bitcoin's long-term po"}