News: Bitcoin is treading water amidst heightened geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, which are driving a risk-off sentiment and strengthening the US Dollar. This macro environment is pressuring speculative assets, with Bitcoin showing negative momentum. However, potential institutional adoption signals from BlackRock could provide a bullish counterpoint. Meanwhile, widespread crypto advertising during the Super Bowl and El Salvador's continued pro-Bitcoin policies offer some positive adoption narratives, though their short-term impact is overshadowed by macro concerns.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 30% | Base 40% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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