News: The crypto market is showing mixed signals today. On the long-term front, institutional adoption continues to be a key theme, with Fidelity allowing Bitcoin in 401(k)s and discussions around greener mining practices gaining traction. Geopolitical events are also highlighting Bitcoin's role as a conflict currency. However, concerns about a potential recession and a strengthening US dollar due to Fed rate hikes and China's COVID lockdowns are creating headwinds. Short-term, the market is sensitive to macroeconomic factors, with the Nasdaq's performance being a key indicator. El Salvador's low Bitcoin adoption is a minor negative, while municipal adoption of mining in Fort Worth and financing for mining operations offer slight positive sentiment.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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