News: Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery, nearing $65,000 amid broader crypto market gains. Positive analyst sentiment from Bernstein and TD Cowen, coupled with the first inflows into GBTC after a long streak of outflows, suggest a potential short-term bullish trend. However, recent miner production updates show a decrease, reflecting the halving's impact. Macroeconomic sentiment remains cautiously optimistic with rate-cut hopes alive.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 60% | Base 30% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.6499999999999999, "key_reason": "The historical context of Bitcoin's price movements, especially leading up to and following halving "}