News: Bitcoin is showing resilience, holding above the $4,000 mark and testing resistance levels, indicating short-term bullish momentum. Positive developments include Fidelity Digital Assets going live, signaling institutional adoption, and a Brazilian court ruling favoring a crypto exchange against a major bank, which could improve banking access. However, minor pullbacks are observed across the market, and concerns about potential token supply overhang from ICOs persist, suggesting a cautious outlook for the longer term.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
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