News: The market sentiment remains mixed, with some positive long-term signals from institutional adoption (Fidelity) and technological advancements (BTCPay, Alibaba BaaS). However, short-term price action is subdued, with Bitcoin struggling to gain momentum and facing resistance. Regulatory news from China regarding merchant acceptance is a positive development, but broader regulatory scrutiny (Senate hearing) and bans (California political donations) introduce uncertainty.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 40% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "Fidelity's entry into providing institutional-grade custody and trading services for Bitcoin is a si"}