News: Bitcoin remains stable above $64,000 despite increased ETF outflows, suggesting a potential decoupling from short-term flow sentiment. The Bitcoin halving has concluded, with mining stocks showing strength, indicating market anticipation of post-halving price appreciation. Meanwhile, macro data showing slowing growth and persistent inflation is creating a risk-off sentiment in traditional markets, which could spill over into crypto. The re-entry of Stripe into crypto payments with USDC and strong NFT market activity on Ethereum provide some positive adoption signals.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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