News: The crypto market is showing mixed signals today. Long-term, the growth of blockchain in retail and the crypto wallet market indicates increasing adoption. However, the lingering effects of contagion from 2022 and macroeconomic headwinds like inflation and monetary tightening present ongoing bearish pressures. Short-term, a high-profile dispute involving Gemini and DCG, along with significant layoffs at Coinbase, inject uncertainty and bearish sentiment. Conversely, positive market reactions to Coinbase's cost-cutting and a narrowing discount for GBTC offer some bullish undertones. Low Bitcoin liquidity remains a key concern, potentially capping short-term price movements.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The pervasive contagion in 2022, exemplified by Terra and FTX, has fundamentally reshaped the crypto"}