News: Bitcoin experienced volatility today, reacting to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech. While he reiterated the 'disinflationary process,' his caution about the timeline for taming inflation led to a 'pop and drop' scenario, with Bitcoin initially rising before falling. Institutional sentiment appears to favor Bitcoin over Ether based on CME futures data, and positive developments in AI crypto tokens suggest growing interest in the sector. However, ongoing regulatory discussions and the potential for further rate hikes remain key concerns.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 45% | Bear 15%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "The arrest of a major industry figure like SBF reinforces negative sentiment and increases regulator"}