News: Bitcoin continues its consolidation phase, trading range-bound below $24,000, indicating a temporary pause in its strong upward momentum. The major news of the day is the SEC's lawsuit against Ripple, which has caused a significant price crash for XRP and negatively impacted altcoin sentiment. Institutional adoption remains a strong long-term bullish driver, with companies like MicroStrategy and SkyBridge Capital increasing their Bitcoin exposure. Regulatory uncertainty, particularly concerning the FinCEN wallet rule, poses a potential short-term headwind.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 55% | Base 35% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.575, "key_reason": "The SEC's lawsuit against Ripple and the classification of XRP as an unregistered security directly "}