News: The crypto market is showing mixed signals today. On the long-term front, institutional adoption is progressing with Ether futures launching, but regulatory uncertainty around ICOs persists. Macroeconomic factors like potential central bank digital currency exploration by the Bank of England add to the complex landscape. Short-term, Bitcoin is showing signs of consolidation and potential weakness, with a significant amount of BTC lost or stolen potentially impacting supply. Major exchanges like Binance experienced trading halts due to security issues, adding to market jitters. Despite some positive signs like enterprise blockchain adoption and a slight market cap increase, the overall sentiment leans cautious.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 35% | Base 40% | Bear 25%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "sideways", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The launch of regulated Ether futures contracts by an FCA-authorized exchange is a major step toward"}