News: Bitcoin is showing resilience, trading above $9,300, mirroring a rally in global stock markets, indicating a positive correlation and risk-on sentiment. While a report on Lightning Network vulnerabilities introduces a minor bearish element, the overall short-term outlook is cautiously optimistic due to strong equity performance and increasing institutional interest. Long-term, the anticipation of the Bitcoin halving, growing institutional adoption via funds and derivatives, and positive analyst predictions continue to paint a bullish picture, despite some institutional skepticism.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 60% | Base 30% | Bear 10%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: BUY
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "low", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.6499999999999999, "key_reason": "The completion of a substantial offering by a regulated Bitcoin fund demonstrates increasing institu"}