News: Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline of nearly 9% on June 25th, falling through key support levels, indicating immediate bearish pressure. However, on-chain data suggests underlying growth with new user adoption and long-term holder accumulation, hinting at potential resilience. Meanwhile, a senior Fed official's comments on Tether raise concerns about stablecoin stability and potential regulatory scrutiny, adding a layer of uncertainty. El Salvador's proactive approach to Bitcoin adoption, including a $30 BTC giveaway, continues to be a positive long-term driver, while the ongoing wait for U.S. Bitcoin ETF approvals remains a key potential catalyst.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 40% | Base 30% | Bear 30%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.5, "key_reason": "The substantial Bitcoin holdings by major corporations validate Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class."}