News: The market sentiment remains mixed, with Bitcoin holding above the critical $30,000 support level despite bearish technicals. Positive institutional developments, such as Bank of America's potential entry into Bitcoin futures trading and Square's focus on Bitcoin DeFi, offer bullish undercurrents. However, ongoing regulatory scrutiny on exchanges like Binance and concerns about the broader macro environment, including a strengthening dollar and gold's sell-off, present short-term headwinds. The migration of miners away from China continues to reshape the network's geography.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
{"sentiment": "bullish", "price_direction": "up", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.525, "key_reason": "El Salvador's adoption of Bitcoin as legal tender is a landmark event that could significantly boost"}