News: Bitcoin is showing signs of consolidation around the $41,000 level after a recent surge, influenced by broader market sentiment and macroeconomic factors. Positive developments include continued corporate adoption (MicroStrategy, Tesla) and potential for increased financial inclusion through crypto. However, regulatory uncertainty and geopolitical tensions remain key risks. The market is closely watching upcoming CPI data and corporate earnings for directional cues.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 45% | Base 35% | Bear 20%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: HOLD
Long-term: BUY
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