News: The crypto market remains under significant pressure due to the ongoing fallout from the FTX collapse, with major players like Genesis suspending operations. Institutional investors are showing a bearish sentiment, as indicated by short positions in Bitcoin futures. Macroeconomic data, such as U.S. retail sales, is also influencing the Federal Reserve's outlook, potentially leading to continued hawkishness, which is generally bearish for risk assets. Despite some positive developments like Fidelity expanding Ether trading, the overwhelming sentiment is bearish in the short term.

Market Probabilities: 
Bull 20% | Base 40% | Bear 40%

Recommendations: 
Short-term: SELL
Long-term: HOLD
{"sentiment": "neutral", "price_direction": "down", "impact_strength": "medium", "timeframe": "medium_term", "confidence": 0.55, "key_reason": "The FTX crisis triggered a severe liquidity crunch and widespread fear of contagion, leading to a sh"}