Some links… And what to do with them.
Meteorology is at last recognising teleconnections. But only across oceans; nothing likely to account for the relationship of weather and earthquakes and volcanoes in the next 2 or 3 years.
Not that there is any safety in the self congratulatory smugness of Linux. Heartbleeding our activities has seen to that. There is no excuse for smugness. It is a ceiling that has beset scientific research through the ages. One only has to remember Kopernik and Galileo trying to crash their systems into reality to see how pervasive a daft idea can be.
Some poor buggers even managed to get the heads of Christian churches to murder them for producing… of all things: bibles!
What you can see straight away on the SED list (and it goes back several years -300 quakes at a time at the mere click of a button) is the activity of tropical storms and volcanoes mitigate the magnitudes of and the number of earthquakes reported.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html A click of a button takes you back one day at a time.
This is a chart worth saving as there is quite a lot of background to the formation of tornadoes that should be described but is largely ignored by meteorologists. I will detail some of it later.
http://parsonsweather.com/wxtropical.php I have just discovered this site. Not sure I will keep it in my first choice.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/?atlc This one for obvious reasons. It opens in the Pacific first for me.
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/?select1=Unified%20Surface%20Analysis&select2=UA_Entire&select3=3&select4=normal&select6=Script Annoying titles to the charts means they are difficult to save in sequence.
The JTWC is the US military's warning system for tropical storms outside North American waters. Not a part of the World Meteorological Organisation's network (that job belongs to NOAA) damned great site though, overall.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/europe/surface_pressure.html It may miss tornado set-ups OPC catches.
Both the US and the British versions catch most tele-connection issues. At the time of writing, the large cyclone forecast in both sites is showing that a tropical storm of short duration is pending. The Met Office one has useful frontal systems for forecasting volcanic activity.
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/ The US analyses of the North Atlantic and North Pacific can be found here.
http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-precip&tz=UTC&area=SH&model=G&chartSubmit=Refresh+View An amazing amount of information on this one.
The BoM chart is composed with very little "good old-fashioned" data and almost no human conflict to the computer models used. The disposition and tone as well as the distance from the Antarctic shore of the cyclones reveal the likelihood of earthquakes of large magnitude and/or tornado -volcanic activity. The various other "set-outs" of the isobar arrangements tell the general set-up of systems in the northern hemisphere (large cyclonic and anticyclonic or small cyclonic and anticyclonic systems) tropical storms and the likelihood of blocking highs.
http://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/cartes_e.html The North American forecast.
This is composed of data from Mexico, USA and Canada. The charts are a composite of spaghetti. The system uses many varieties of models and many iterations of the composites. All overlaid one on top of the other they resemble a plate of spaghetti.
I don't know how they sort them out but the way that Low systems are arranged on the final product (and occasionally the Highs) indicate that there will be large earthquakes if only one chart shows the set-up. At the moment and for the greater part of this spell there are three lows in a row. Several such charts indicate a lot of volcanic activity. Intense activity!
One such chart alone, or one like it composed of highs, indicate a large magnitude earthquake.
I could write a book on all this and dedicate an whole chapter to each of the above sites and still need to cross reference their charts to cover information I'd leave out -or forget.
All over by tomorrow with volcanoes in.
That's the way to do it. Full frontal schleppage and the bricks are free.
It is still a rain spell (May 21 @ 12:59 (and May 28 @ 18:40)) but you don't get a Cat 4 without it finding an anticyclone somewhere -and sharing it with those of us that live on the edge of the world.
The following one is a doubly unstable spell but going on anticyclonic; rather similar to phases at the time of 04:00, 10:00, 16:00 and 22:00 presumably "but for different reasons" or not as the case may be.
So what does the voice of many thunders say?
If only we could get the friendly bombs to fall on GCHQ and the rats of Westminster. OT a little but does anyone know of any British Prime Minister since say for example Churchill, who hasn't been the biggest traitor to democracy since the lie was invented?
I can't help thinking that total anarchy would be better than what we have here at the moment. It works for the Internet after all, why wouldn't it work on a country full of civilians?
The Eastern Pacific's first named storm of 2014, Amanda, put on an impressive performance of rapid intensification over the Memorial Day weekend, becoming the strongest May Eastern Pacific hurricane ever recorded on Sunday.
Amanda peaked as a top-end Category 4 hurricane with 155 mph winds at 15 UTC (10 am EST) May 25, beating the previous May record holder, Hurricane Adolph of 2001, which reached a peak intensity of 145 mph on May 29th of that year.
9 days later and 4 decades earlier Hurricane Ava the earliest Category 5 storm on record in the Eastern Pacific peaked at 160 mph on June 6, 1973. May of 2014, 2001 and 1973 had unusually warm ocean temperatures along the path of these intense hurricanes: at least 0.4°C above average.
Oh dear me. Sorry about that. Boy am I glad only fools and donkeys read my stuff.
> > All over by t+48?
> Well it is t+48.
> At 40 minutes past or to an hour the timing of the phase could go anywhere. With an hurricane in decline we usually get the wet weather it entails. But this could well be an anticyclonic spell.
No it couldn't. Not in the North Atlantic anyway.
> The instability engendered with a phase at 6/12 or 3/9 o'clock generally means thunder. And thunder generally means a mixture of high and low pressure systems in much the same region one after the other. This is pretty much how things look on the North Atlantic charts today, Wednesday 28 May 2014.
But the timing brings it nearer 1 o'clock that 6 so it is wet wet wet all the way way way. Sorry about that.
> Mar 30 18:45 so presumably is the prototype for today's, though a little early in the season but things were completely blank almost between the 1st and the 8th.
> Maybe it is time for a rethink.
Good job nobody saw me.
Look out for Sunday, 1 June.
Personally I thought the weather was already getting cooler.
Re: Look out for Sunday, 1 June.
> Personally I thought the weather was already getting cooler.
A contra-rotating system filling the SW quadrant (180 to 100) all the way in to the South Pole.
Blocking Highs are just some sort of description of events that over the decades of ignorance about weather that has become a defacto "belief" or misunderstood explanation.
Whatever the case, tornadoes and volcanic eruptions started up again at the date give above.
The North Atlantic chart for midnight 3 June 2014 shows the development of a tropical storm. The signal is the mirror of TSs located with the first chart in the Davies Straight.
By noon today on that chart run it is on the point of southern Greenland. Also showing there the Icelandic Low stretches from Greenland to southern England.
By midnight Woden's day there are two Lows in the N Atlantic making three in a row with the pressure over Scandinavia. By noon the system is all joined up in a synod like the amoeba of christianity that brought so much love into the world from the dark ages on.
1. Amoeba stops moving and rounds off.
2. The nucleus begins to divide.
3. The nucleus has divided and the cytoplasm starts to constrict.
4 The constriction continues to divide the cytoplasm.
5. The daughter amoebae separate.
1. The component cells fuse.
2. Conjunction unites three systems.
3. The nuclii are separated by as little as 4 millibars -if that.
4. One nucleus absorbs another becoming the dominant centre.
5. The smaller remaining nucleus is absorbed by the larger one.
Part 4 takes place at noon Thursday and part 5 at t+84 noon, Friday June 6th, one day into the next spell.
> > > I wonder what this will do to Amanda.
> > The same system that brought Amanda has now sent the wave to Mexico. I think the direction for storm systems at that latitude is east to west normally but this system is shaping up to give us our first Atlantic storm if it doesn't die on us in the next day or two.
> No idea why there is a break in this list. Maybe the storm broached. If so the gyroscopic activity or nutation should have split the convergence into its many parts. That it hasn't (if the storm HAS gone ashore) makes this wave very powerful.
> Boris be damned it is still Amanda and will still be Amanda no matter what they call it in the North Atlantic on the 5th or shortly thereafter.
There are of course quite a lot of other asides I posted to there as well as to sci.geo.earthquakes.
Pretty pictures in the next thread along with a TL/DR explanation.