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3 Best Prop Bets for Dolphins vs Bills Saturday Night Football Week 15 (Josh Allen Dashes Through the Snow)
Best prop bets for Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Night Football Week 15 game. / AP Photo/Adrian Kraus
Week 15 of the 2022 NFL season brings us the first Saturday games of the campaign, including a Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills showdown at 8:15 p.m. ET. FanDuel Sportsbook currently lists the Bills as the 7-point home favorites in a game that could see quite a fair amount of snow.
Saturday Night Football Prop Bets
Here are three of the best prop bets for the Dolphins vs Bills matchup, courtesy of NFL odds on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Dolphins vs Bills Saturday Night Football Prop Bets Tonight
1. Josh Allen — Rushing Yards: Over 48.5 (-114)
With temperatures dropping and snow falling, there's a solid chance that both teams could abandon the pass. That's far from a problem for Josh Allen, who loves using his legs, proven by his 48.3 rushing yards per game. Though that average is below his projected total for the week, I'm confident that the Bills quarterback can finish with the over. He's gone over that number in four of his last seven games, almost doing it for a fifth time with 47 rushing yards against the New York Jets last week. It also helps that the Dolphins allow over 40 more yards on the road (127.7) than they do at home (85.7). With Allen also averaging 53 rushing yards in nine previous games against the rival Dolphins, I see big things happening for him on the ground.
2. Tua Tagovailoa — Passing Yards: Under 236.5 (-114)
Despite a brief injury scare, Tua Tagovailoa has been having his best NFL campaign yet, averaging 273.1 passing yards — nearly 70 more than he had in 2021 (204.1). While he's had no issue surpassing 236.5 passing yards this season (eight times in 11 games), Saturday's snowy forecast will likely result in his throwing the ball less. Even if the weather was nicer, Tagovailoa has been held to 205 or fewer passing yards in his last three starts against the Bills, having not finished with over 236.5 since January 2021. Buffalo has also held opposing QBs to fewer than that amount nine times this season, including in each of the last three games. In other words, expectations should be tempered on this prop.
3. James Cook — Receiving Yards: Over 14.5 (-114)
James Cook was barely involved in the Bills' passing game last week, catching his lone target for nine yards. Nevertheless, that seems to be an anomaly considering how the rookie RB received 11 total targets in the previous two weeks. With the snow playing a factor, the Bills could wind up sending plenty of short dump passes his way. Yes, he still has to compete with Nyheim Hines and Devin Singletary for touches, but neither of the duo has seen more than two targets over the last five games. Fortunately for Cook, the Dolphins also allow the sixth-most receiving yards per game to RBs (44.5), making it even likelier that he goes over 14.5, which is a fairly low bar in general.