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stringlengths 12
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|---|---|---|
Will scramjets be used in production before 2050?
| 0.25
|
Manifold
|
Will Neymar play a match in Ligue 1 in 2024?
| 0.5
|
Manifold
|
Will Neymar play a match in the English Premier League in 2024?
| 0.34
|
Manifold
|
Will human lives again be saved by a rocket's Launch Escape System before 2025?
| 0.14
|
Manifold
|
Will Jaylen Brown be selected to an All-NBA team before the end of 2030?
| 0.83
|
Manifold
|
Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?
| 0.81
|
Manifold
|
Will an intercity highspeed / Maglev (>500 km/h) passenger train operate in Europe before 2035?
| 0.12
|
Manifold
|
Will there be an electric* passenger airliner in commercial operation before 2028?
| 0.32
|
Manifold
|
Will there be an orbital collision event creating a large amount (>100) of new debris before 2024?
| 0.16
|
Manifold
|
Will someone in the world engage in stratospheric aerosol injection before the year 2030?
| 0.55
|
Manifold
|
Will the Cyberpunk 2077 DLC: Phantom Liberty be rated positively on steam
| 0.83
|
Manifold
|
Will OCD be curable by 2030?
| 0.21
|
Manifold
|
This Emacs user switches to Vim keybindings before July 2024?
| 0.59
|
Manifold
|
Will Boston Mayor Michelle Wu be reelected in 2025?
| 0.76
|
Manifold
|
Will Russia's frozen state assets be seized before 2026 ?
| 0.54
|
Manifold
|
Will the winner of the 2024 Nevada Democratic presidential primary go on to win the nomination?
| 0.81
|
Manifold
|
Will the winner of the 2024 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary go on to win the nomination?
| 0.92
|
Manifold
|
Will Mitch McConnell still be a senator in 2024?
| 0.76
|
Manifold
|
Will an AI doctor replace the role of a human doctor in a first world country before the end of 2025?
| 0.16
|
Manifold
|
Will an AI doctor replace the role of a human doctor in a first world country before the end of 2024?
| 0.12
|
Manifold
|
Will an official Bloodborne port/remake/remaster be released for PC before 2027?
| 0.28
|
Manifold
|
Will Nerissa Ravencroft hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2024?
| 0.4
|
Manifold
|
Will Koseki Bijou hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2024?
| 0.3
|
Manifold
|
Will Fuwawa and Mococo hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2024?
| 0.61
|
Manifold
|
Will Shiori Novella hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2024?
| 0.31
|
Manifold
|
Will a human die in orbit before 2025?
| 0.11
|
Manifold
|
Will NVIDIA announce laptop RTX 4070 Ti in 2023?
| 0.58
|
Manifold
|
Will Joe Biden say Eliezer Yudkowsky's name in public before 2024?
| 0.04
|
Manifold
|
Will Ilya Sutskever leave open AI before 2024?
| 0.06
|
Manifold
|
Will there be a federal election in Canada in 2024?
| 0.55
|
Manifold
|
Will a top brand smartphone feature a room temperature superconductor before 2027?
| 0.07
|
Manifold
|
Will Joe Manchin win at least one state in the 2024 Democratic primaries?
| 0.08
|
Manifold
|
Will the winner of the 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary go on to win the nomination?
| 0.84
|
Manifold
|
Will the winner of the 2024 Nevada Republican presidential primary go on to win the nomination?
| 0.7
|
Manifold
|
Will the winner of the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary go on to win the nomination?
| 0.64
|
Manifold
|
Will the winner of the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses go on to win the nomination?
| 0.64
|
Manifold
|
Will the New York Times declare that there is definitive proof of non-Earth-originating life by 2030?
| 0.18
|
Manifold
|
Will Twitter/X be valued at over 100 billion before 2040?
| 0.38
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins New Mexico, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.83
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins New Mexico, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.61
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Virginia, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.72
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Virginia, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.65
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Alaska, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.37
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Alaska, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.85
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Maine, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.72
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Maine, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.63
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Iowa, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.38
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Iowa, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.79
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Ohio, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.41
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Ohio, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.83
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins ME-2, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.41
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins ME-2, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.77
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins NE-2, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.62
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins NE-2, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.71
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins New Hampshire, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.76
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins New Hampshire, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.66
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Minnesota, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.89
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Minnesota, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.59
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Texas, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.43
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Texas, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.95
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Florida, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.43
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Florida, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.93
|
Manifold
|
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2050?
| 0.65
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Michigan, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.73
|
Manifold
|
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2040?
| 0.48
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Michigan, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.77
|
Manifold
|
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2035?
| 0.45
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Nevada, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.63
|
Manifold
|
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2030?
| 0.33
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Nevada, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.71
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins North Carolina, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.41
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins North Carolina, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.86
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Pennsylvania, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.79
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Pennsylvania, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.84
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Georgia, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.55
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Georgia, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.83
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Arizona, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.59
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Arizona, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.78
|
Manifold
|
If the Republican nominee wins Wisconsin, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.66
|
Manifold
|
If the Democratic nominee wins Wisconsin, will they win the presidency (2024)?
| 0.77
|
Manifold
|
Will >50% of the tasks in the WebArena benchmark be solved by EOY 2024?
| 0.82
|
Manifold
|
Will someone send me a Managram of 5000 Mana by August 1st?
| 0.1
|
Manifold
|
Will we find or make a wormhole to another observable universe that lets information flow both ways by the end of 2100?
| 0.13
|
Manifold
|
Will the domain qwerztz7319165.audio (completely random and expensive) be registered by August 1st?
| 0.04
|
Manifold
|
Будет ли побит рекорд стоимости BTC по отношению к USDT до 2027 года?
| 0.44
|
Manifold
|
Will @danshipper have > 50k Twitter followers by the end of 2024
| 0.59
|
Manifold
|
Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2026?
| 0.13
|
Manifold
|
Will Jonas Vinegaard take part in the 2024 Olympic Games in Paris?
| 0.56
|
Manifold
|
By the end of 2028, will either Erling Haaland or Kylian Mbappé have played in an MLS league match?
| 0.19
|
Manifold
|
If the room temp superconductor is real, will the US gov announce aliens before 2024?
| 0.04
|
Manifold
|
How many members will there be in @autogynephilic's Sexology community by 2028?
| 0.11
|
Manifold
|
Will there be an Electoral College tie by 2049?
| 0.19
|
Manifold
|
Will Riot's upcoming fighting game Project L have an open beta or be fully released before the end of 2024?
| 0.67
|
Manifold
|
Will a Republican win the popular vote by 2037?
| 0.48
|
Manifold
|
Will Riot's upcoming fighting game Project L have an officially announced name before the end of 2024?
| 0.72
|
Manifold
|
Conditional on a Republican winning the 2024 POTUS election, will they have won the popular vote?
| 0.2
|
Manifold
|
Will an autonomous AI agent become a self-made millionaire by the end of 2024?
| 0.14
|
Manifold
|
Will manchester city will win chanpions league 2024
| 0.27
|
Manifold
|
Will the Elon Musk tweet "X will become the most valuable brand on Earth. Make my words." hold up before 2026?
| 0.04
|
Manifold
|
Will Joe Rogan quit podcasting before 2030?
| 0.17
|
Manifold
|
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