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Will scramjets be used in production before 2050?
0.25
Manifold
Will Neymar play a match in Ligue 1 in 2024?
0.5
Manifold
Will Neymar play a match in the English Premier League in 2024?
0.34
Manifold
Will human lives again be saved by a rocket's Launch Escape System before 2025?
0.14
Manifold
Will Jaylen Brown be selected to an All-NBA team before the end of 2030?
0.83
Manifold
Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?
0.81
Manifold
Will an intercity highspeed / Maglev (>500 km/h) passenger train operate in Europe before 2035?
0.12
Manifold
Will there be an electric* passenger airliner in commercial operation before 2028?
0.32
Manifold
Will there be an orbital collision event creating a large amount (>100) of new debris before 2024?
0.16
Manifold
Will someone in the world engage in stratospheric aerosol injection before the year 2030?
0.55
Manifold
Will the Cyberpunk 2077 DLC: Phantom Liberty be rated positively on steam
0.83
Manifold
Will OCD be curable by 2030?
0.21
Manifold
This Emacs user switches to Vim keybindings before July 2024?
0.59
Manifold
Will Boston Mayor Michelle Wu be reelected in 2025?
0.76
Manifold
Will Russia's frozen state assets be seized before 2026 ?
0.54
Manifold
Will the winner of the 2024 Nevada Democratic presidential primary go on to win the nomination?
0.81
Manifold
Will the winner of the 2024 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary go on to win the nomination?
0.92
Manifold
Will Mitch McConnell still be a senator in 2024?
0.76
Manifold
Will an AI doctor replace the role of a human doctor in a first world country before the end of 2025?
0.16
Manifold
Will an AI doctor replace the role of a human doctor in a first world country before the end of 2024?
0.12
Manifold
Will an official Bloodborne port/remake/remaster be released for PC before 2027?
0.28
Manifold
Will Nerissa Ravencroft hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2024?
0.4
Manifold
Will Koseki Bijou hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2024?
0.3
Manifold
Will Fuwawa and Mococo hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2024?
0.61
Manifold
Will Shiori Novella hit 1 million subscribers on YouTube before 2024?
0.31
Manifold
Will a human die in orbit before 2025?
0.11
Manifold
Will NVIDIA announce laptop RTX 4070 Ti in 2023?
0.58
Manifold
Will Joe Biden say Eliezer Yudkowsky's name in public before 2024?
0.04
Manifold
Will Ilya Sutskever leave open AI before 2024?
0.06
Manifold
Will there be a federal election in Canada in 2024?
0.55
Manifold
Will a top brand smartphone feature a room temperature superconductor before 2027?
0.07
Manifold
Will Joe Manchin win at least one state in the 2024 Democratic primaries?
0.08
Manifold
Will the winner of the 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary go on to win the nomination?
0.84
Manifold
Will the winner of the 2024 Nevada Republican presidential primary go on to win the nomination?
0.7
Manifold
Will the winner of the 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary go on to win the nomination?
0.64
Manifold
Will the winner of the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses go on to win the nomination?
0.64
Manifold
Will the New York Times declare that there is definitive proof of non-Earth-originating life by 2030?
0.18
Manifold
Will Twitter/X be valued at over 100 billion before 2040?
0.38
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins New Mexico, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.83
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins New Mexico, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.61
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Virginia, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.72
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Virginia, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.65
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Alaska, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.37
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Alaska, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.85
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Maine, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.72
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Maine, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.63
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Iowa, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.38
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Iowa, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.79
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Ohio, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.41
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Ohio, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.83
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins ME-2, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.41
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins ME-2, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.77
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins NE-2, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.62
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins NE-2, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.71
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins New Hampshire, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.76
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins New Hampshire, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.66
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Minnesota, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.89
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Minnesota, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.59
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Texas, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.43
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Texas, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.95
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Florida, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.43
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Florida, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.93
Manifold
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2050?
0.65
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Michigan, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.73
Manifold
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2040?
0.48
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Michigan, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.77
Manifold
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2035?
0.45
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Nevada, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.63
Manifold
Will a current US President visit Taipei before 2030?
0.33
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Nevada, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.71
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins North Carolina, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.41
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins North Carolina, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.86
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Pennsylvania, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.79
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Pennsylvania, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.84
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Georgia, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.55
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Georgia, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.83
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Arizona, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.59
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Arizona, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.78
Manifold
If the Republican nominee wins Wisconsin, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.66
Manifold
If the Democratic nominee wins Wisconsin, will they win the presidency (2024)?
0.77
Manifold
Will >50% of the tasks in the WebArena benchmark be solved by EOY 2024?
0.82
Manifold
Will someone send me a Managram of 5000 Mana by August 1st?
0.1
Manifold
Will we find or make a wormhole to another observable universe that lets information flow both ways by the end of 2100?
0.13
Manifold
Will the domain qwerztz7319165.audio (completely random and expensive) be registered by August 1st?
0.04
Manifold
Будет ли побит рекорд стоимости BTC по отношению к USDT до 2027 года?
0.44
Manifold
Will @danshipper have > 50k Twitter followers by the end of 2024
0.59
Manifold
Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2026?
0.13
Manifold
Will Jonas Vinegaard take part in the 2024 Olympic Games in Paris?
0.56
Manifold
By the end of 2028, will either Erling Haaland or Kylian Mbappé have played in an MLS league match?
0.19
Manifold
If the room temp superconductor is real, will the US gov announce aliens before 2024?
0.04
Manifold
How many members will there be in @autogynephilic's Sexology community by 2028?
0.11
Manifold
Will there be an Electoral College tie by 2049?
0.19
Manifold
Will Riot's upcoming fighting game Project L have an open beta or be fully released before the end of 2024?
0.67
Manifold
Will a Republican win the popular vote by 2037?
0.48
Manifold
Will Riot's upcoming fighting game Project L have an officially announced name before the end of 2024?
0.72
Manifold
Conditional on a Republican winning the 2024 POTUS election, will they have won the popular vote?
0.2
Manifold
Will an autonomous AI agent become a self-made millionaire by the end of 2024?
0.14
Manifold
Will manchester city will win chanpions league 2024
0.27
Manifold
Will the Elon Musk tweet "X will become the most valuable brand on Earth. Make my words." hold up before 2026?
0.04
Manifold
Will Joe Rogan quit podcasting before 2030?
0.17
Manifold